PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Oct 14 12:30 am

NFL - Week 7 of 18

Packers What If?

The Packers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Packers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Packers What If?

Next Game - Cardinals (2‑4)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 4 1 1 9% 10% 8% 5% 9% 9% 9% 41%
Current Standings 3 1 1 8% 9% 7% 5% 8% 9% 8% 46%
Lose Next Game 3 2 1 3% 7% 7% 6% 7% 8% 9% 53%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 10% 11% 9% 8% 7% 9% 8% 39%
Current Standings 8% 9% 7% 5% 8% 9% 8% 46%
Worst Case Scenario 4% 7% 7% 4% 7% 9% 9% 54%
Best Case Scenario
   Saints beats Bears
   Eagles beats Vikings
   Packers beats Cardinals
Worst Case Scenario
   Bears beats Saints
   Vikings beats Eagles
   Cardinals beats Packers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
12 of 12 100% 15 1 1 94% 6% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 of 12 92% 14 2 1 72% 26% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
10 of 12 83% 13 3 1 36% 46% 13% 1% 4% <1% <1% ^
9 of 12 75% 12 4 1 8% 32% 31% 7% 18% 4% <1% <1%
8 of 12 67% 11 5 1 <1% 7% 23% 18% 25% 21% 5% <1%
7 of 12 58% 10 6 1 <1% <1% 5% 17% 10% 30% 27% 11%
6 of 12 50% 9 7 1 <1% <1% <1% 7% 1% 9% 26% 56%
5 of 12 42% 8 8 1 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 4% 94%
4 of 12 33% 7 9 1 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 12 25% 6 10 1 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 12 17% 5 11 1 X X X X X X <1% >99%
1 of 12 8% 4 12 1 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 12 0% 3 13 1 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs