The Packers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Packers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% |
Lose Next Game | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 40% |
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Best Case Scenario | 15% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 35% |
Current Standings | 14% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% |
Worst Case Scenario | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 37% |
Best Case Scenario Saints beats Forty-Niners Chiefs beats Eagles Falcons beats Vikings |
Worst Case Scenario Forty-Niners beats Saints Eagles beats Chiefs Vikings beats Falcons |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
15 of 15 | 100% | 17 | 0 | 0 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 15 | 93% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
13 of 15 | 87% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 64% | 32% | 2% | <1% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
12 of 15 | 80% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33% | 45% | 13% | 1% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 15 | 73% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 10% | 36% | 28% | 6% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 15 | 67% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1% | 15% | 29% | 15% | 24% | 13% | 2% | <1% |
9 of 15 | 60% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 3% | 17% | 21% | 18% | 26% | 12% | 2% |
8 of 15 | 53% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 19% | 7% | 24% | 26% | 17% |
7 of 15 | 47% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 1% | 9% | 24% | 53% |
6 of 15 | 40% | 8 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 85% |
5 of 15 | 33% | 7 | 10 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 97% |
4 of 15 | 27% | 6 | 11 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 15 | 20% | 5 | 12 | 0 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 15 | 13% | 4 | 13 | 0 | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | X | <1% | >99% |
1 of 15 | 7% | 3 | 14 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 15 | 0% | 2 | 15 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |