The Packers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Packers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Win Next Game | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 29% | 52% | 13% | 3% |
Current Standings | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 27% | 50% | 15% | 5% |
Lose Next Game | 8 | 4 | 0 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 43% | 24% | 13% |
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Best Case Scenario | 4% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 28% | 49% | 13% | 3% |
Current Standings | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 27% | 50% | 15% | 5% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 44% | 25% | 13% |
Best Case Scenario Bears beats Lions Packers beats Dolphins |
Worst Case Scenario Lions beats Bears Dolphins beats Packers |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
6 of 6 | 100% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 21% | 10% | X | X | 68% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 6 | 83% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3% | 4% | X | X | 72% | 21% | ^ | ^ |
4 of 6 | 67% | 12 | 5 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 36% | 60% | 3% | ^ |
3 of 6 | 50% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 65% | 27% | 1% |
2 of 6 | 33% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 28% | 54% | 18% |
1 of 6 | 17% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 20% | 78% |
0 of 6 | 0% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |