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Thu Oct 29 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 8 of 18

Panthers What If?

The Panthers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Panthers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Panthers What If?

Next Game - Broncos (5‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 4 4 0 <1% 3% 14% 18% <1% 2% 3% 59%
Current Standings 3 4 0 <1% 2% 12% 18% <1% 1% 3% 64%
Lose Next Game 3 5 0 <1% 1% 8% 18% <1% 1% 2% 70%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario <1% 2% 12% 18% <1% 1% 2% 65%
Current Standings <1% 2% 12% 18% <1% 1% 3% 64%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 2% 12% 17% <1% 1% 3% 65%
Best Case Scenario
   Lions beats Vikings
Worst Case Scenario
   Vikings beats Lions
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
10 of 10 100% 13 4 0 19% 53% 27% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 12 5 0 3% 32% 56% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1%
8 of 10 80% 11 6 0 <1% 9% 59% 27% 1% 3% 1% <1%
7 of 10 70% 10 7 0 <1% 1% 36% 43% 1% 5% 8% 6%
6 of 10 60% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 11% 42% <1% 2% 9% 36%
5 of 10 50% 8 9 0 <1% <1% 2% 22% <1% <1% 2% 74%
4 of 10 40% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1% 94%
3 of 10 30% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
2 of 10 20% 5 12 0 X X X <1% X X X >99%
1 of 10 10% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 10 0% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs