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Thu Oct 29 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 8 of 18

Ravens What If?

The Ravens What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Ravens play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Ravens What If?

Next Game - Bills (5‑1)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 5 3 0 3% 4% 2% 1% 11% 14% 14% 51%
Current Standings 4 3 0 2% 3% 2% 1% 8% 11% 12% 62%
Lose Next Game 4 4 0 <1% 2% 2% 1% 6% 10% 12% 67%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 3% 5% 3% 1% 12% 14% 15% 48%
Current Standings 2% 3% 2% 1% 8% 11% 12% 62%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 2% 3% 1% 5% 9% 11% 69%
Best Case Scenario
   Titans beats Bengals
   Ravens beats Bills
   Jets beats Raiders
Worst Case Scenario
   Bengals beats Titans
   Bills beats Ravens
   Raiders beats Jets
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
10 of 10 100% 14 3 0 66% 29% <1% X 5% <1% ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 13 4 0 22% 38% 9% <1% 27% 3% <1% ^
8 of 10 80% 12 5 0 2% 16% 14% 3% 40% 21% 3% <1%
7 of 10 70% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 5% 4% 22% 40% 23% 5%
6 of 10 60% 10 7 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 22% 40% 33%
5 of 10 50% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 79%
4 of 10 40% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
3 of 10 30% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 10 20% 6 11 0 X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
1 of 10 10% 5 12 0 X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 10 0% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs