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Thu Oct 29 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 8 of 18

Steelers What If?

The Steelers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Steelers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Steelers What If?

Next Game - Browns (5‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 6 2 0 13% 15% 9% 4% 16% 14% 11% 18%
Current Standings 5 2 0 10% 12% 7% 3% 16% 14% 12% 26%
Lose Next Game 5 3 0 4% 7% 5% 2% 19% 17% 14% 33%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 15% 15% 10% 4% 14% 14% 10% 18%
Current Standings 10% 12% 7% 3% 16% 14% 12% 26%
Worst Case Scenario 4% 7% 4% 2% 19% 17% 14% 33%
Best Case Scenario
   Titans beats Bengals
   Steelers beats Browns
   Broncos beats Chiefs
 Worst Case Scenario
   Bengals beats Titans
   Browns beats Steelers
   Chiefs beats Broncos
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
10 of 10 100% 15 2 0 82% 18% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 14 3 0 54% 37% 5% <1% 5% <1% ^ ^
8 of 10 80% 13 4 0 18% 40% 16% 2% 23% 2% <1% <1%
7 of 10 70% 12 5 0 2% 17% 19% 6% 38% 16% 1% <1%
6 of 10 60% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 9% 7% 25% 39% 15% 2%
5 of 10 50% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 28% 38% 24%
4 of 10 40% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 73%
3 of 10 30% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 97%
2 of 10 20% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
1 of 10 10% 6 11 0 X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 10 0% 5 12 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs