The Steelers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Steelers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5% | 13% | 51% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4% | 11% | 44% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 5% | 3% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1% | 5% | 35% | 11% | 14% | 20% | 9% | 5% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 13% | 16% | 40% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 4% | 11% | 44% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 5% | 3% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 4% | 37% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 10% | 6% |
|
Best Case Scenario Raiders beats Chiefs Steelers beats Bengals Forty-Niners beats Bills |
Worst Case Scenario Chiefs beats Raiders Bengals beats Steelers Bills beats Forty-Niners |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 52% | 42% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5% | 36% | 59% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 12 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 8% | 79% | 4% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 44% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 1% | <1% |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 20% | 13% | 41% | 17% | 2% |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 1% | 16% | 42% | 37% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 93% |