The Steelers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Steelers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 37% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 39% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 43% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Standings | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 39% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 8% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 44% |
|
Best Case Scenario Steelers beats Seahawks Eagles beats Chiefs |
Worst Case Scenario Seahawks beats Steelers Chiefs beats Eagles |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 16 of 16 | 100% | 17 | 0 | 0 | 99% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 16 | 94% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 90% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 16 | 88% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 65% | 31% | 3% | <1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 16 | 81% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 31% | 45% | 15% | 2% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 16 | 75% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 8% | 32% | 31% | 8% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 16 | 69% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1% | 12% | 29% | 20% | 22% | 14% | 3% | <1% |
| 10 of 16 | 63% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 2% | 14% | 24% | 15% | 27% | 14% | 4% |
| 9 of 16 | 56% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 5% | 21% | 28% | 23% |
| 8 of 16 | 50% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 1% | 7% | 21% | 60% |
| 7 of 16 | 44% | 8 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 88% |
| 6 of 16 | 38% | 7 | 10 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| 5 of 16 | 31% | 6 | 11 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 4 of 16 | 25% | 5 | 12 | 0 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 16 | 19% | 4 | 13 | 0 | X | X | X | <1% | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 2 of 16 | 13% | 3 | 14 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 1 of 16 | 6% | 2 | 15 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 16 | 0% | 1 | 16 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |