The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| SMU (2‑0) vs Louisville (1‑1) |
15 | SMU Wins | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Stanford (1‑1) vs Duke (2‑0) |
3 | Stanford Wins | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Duke Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse (1‑1) vs Pittsburgh (2‑0) |
3 | Syracuse Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Wake Forest (2‑0) vs Miami (2‑0) |
2 | Wake Forest Wins | 15% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson (1‑1) vs North Carolina (2‑0) |
2 | Clemson Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||