The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| SMU (6‑3) vs Boston College (1‑8) |
11 | SMU Wins | 2% | 11% | 20% | 18% | 19% | 20% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston College Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest (5‑3) vs Virginia (8‑1) |
9 | Wake Forest Wins | 5% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Wins | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 19% | 21% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| California (5‑4) vs Louisville (7‑1) |
1 | California Wins | 2% | 10% | 20% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Louisville Wins | 2% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 22% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina (3‑5) vs Stanford (3‑6) |
1 | North Carolina Wins | 2% | 10% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stanford Wins | 2% | 9% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Syracuse (3‑6) vs Miami (6‑2) |
1 | Syracuse Wins | 2% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Miami Wins | 2% | 9% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 21% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Clemson (3‑5) vs Florida St. (4‑4) |
1 | Clemson Wins | 2% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 2% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||