The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| SMU (7‑2) vs Wake Forest (8‑1) |
43 | SMU Wins | 4% | 38% | 19% | 29% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 19% | 15% | 29% | 19% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | <1% | <1% | 12% | 31% | 29% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina (5‑4) vs Louisville (6‑3) |
16 | North Carolina Wins | 2% | 26% | 18% | 14% | 21% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 19% | 15% | 29% | 19% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Louisville Wins | 2% | 11% | 10% | 44% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Tech (6‑3) vs Stanford (4‑5) |
1 | Virginia Tech Wins | 2% | 19% | 15% | 30% | 20% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 19% | 15% | 29% | 19% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stanford Wins | 2% | 18% | 14% | 29% | 18% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Syracuse (4‑5) vs N.C. State (4‑5) |
1 | Syracuse Wins | 2% | 18% | 15% | 29% | 20% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 19% | 15% | 29% | 19% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| N.C. State Wins | 2% | 18% | 14% | 29% | 19% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Tech (2‑7) vs Clemson (6‑3) |
0 | Georgia Tech Wins | 2% | 19% | 15% | 35% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 19% | 15% | 29% | 19% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Clemson Wins | 2% | 19% | 15% | 28% | 19% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Miami (8‑1) vs Duke (7‑2) |
0 | Miami Wins | 1% | 20% | 15% | 31% | 18% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 19% | 15% | 29% | 19% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Duke Wins | 6% | 15% | 15% | 24% | 21% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| California (3‑6) vs Virginia (4‑5) |
0 | California Wins | 2% | 19% | 15% | 30% | 18% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 19% | 15% | 29% | 19% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Wins | 2% | 18% | 15% | 29% | 19% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||