The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| SMU (6‑1) vs Syracuse (3‑4) |
18 | SMU Wins | 10% | 29% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 25% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Syracuse Wins | 4% | 17% | 12% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia (4‑4) vs Wake Forest (6‑1) |
4 | Virginia Wins | 9% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 25% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 9% | 24% | 20% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stanford (4‑4) vs Louisville (4‑3) |
3 | Stanford Wins | 8% | 28% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 25% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Louisville Wins | 9% | 24% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina (4‑3) vs Miami (7‑0) |
2 | North Carolina Wins | 14% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 25% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Miami Wins | 7% | 26% | 21% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston College (4‑3) vs Duke (5‑2) |
2 | Boston College Wins | 10% | 26% | 21% | 17% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 25% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Duke Wins | 8% | 25% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| California (3‑5) vs N.C. State (3‑4) |
1 | California Wins | 9% | 25% | 20% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 25% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| N.C. State Wins | 9% | 25% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Tech (2‑5) vs Pittsburgh (5‑3) |
1 | Georgia Tech Wins | 9% | 25% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 25% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 8% | 25% | 20% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Clemson (4‑3) vs Florida St. (3‑4) |
1 | Clemson Wins | 8% | 26% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 25% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 9% | 25% | 21% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||