The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Stanford (1‑1) vs Syracuse (2‑0) |
1 | Stanford Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Florida St. (0‑3) vs California (4‑0) |
1 | Florida St. Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| California Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Louisville (2‑0) vs Georgia Tech (3‑1) |
1 | Louisville Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | ||
| N.C. State (2‑1) vs Clemson (1‑1) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | ||