Are the SMU Mustangs going to play in the Conference Championship game? The SMU standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 9 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| Miami | 5i Miami Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 26 vs C. Michigan 52-3 Won Sat, Oct 03 @ Clemson 41-13 Won Sat, Oct 17 vs Florida St. 43-35 Won Sat, Oct 24 vs Pittsburgh 52-23 Sat, Oct 31 @ North Carolina Sat, Nov 07 @ Notre Dame Sat, Nov 14 vs Duke Sat, Nov 21 vs Virginia Tech |
0 | 5 | 81% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Wake Forest | 4 Wake Forest Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 26 @ Louisville 30-27 Won Sat, Oct 03 vs Stanford 57-3 Won Sat, Oct 10 @ N.C. State 38-14 Won Sat, Oct 17 @ California 41-7 Sat, Oct 31 vs Virginia Sat, Nov 07 vs Merrimack Sat, Nov 14 @ SMU Sat, Nov 21 @ Georgia Tech |
1 | 5 | 8% | 46% | 23% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| SMU | 4 SMU Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 26 vs Missouri St. 34-24 Won Sat, Oct 03 vs Boston College 25-16 Won Sat, Oct 17 vs Virginia 23-13 Won Sat, Oct 24 vs California 59-20 Sat, Oct 31 @ Syracuse Fri, Nov 06 vs Virginia Tech Sat, Nov 14 vs Wake Forest Sat, Nov 21 @ Notre Dame |
1 | 5 | 8% | 24% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Louisville | 3 Louisville Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Wake Forest 27-30 Lost Sat, Oct 03 @ N.C. State 28-31 Won Fri, Oct 09 vs Florida St. 44-20 Won Sat, Oct 17 @ Syracuse 34-26 Sat, Oct 31 vs Stanford Sat, Nov 07 @ Georgia Tech Sat, Nov 14 @ North Carolina Sat, Nov 21 vs Pittsburgh |
2 | 5 | <1% | 2% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Clemson | 2 Clemson Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 19 vs North Carolina 28-20 Won Fri, Sep 25 @ California 24-10 Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs Miami 13-41 Won Sat, Oct 17 vs Charleston Southern 37-0 Sat, Oct 24 vs Virginia Tech Sat, Oct 31 @ Florida St. Sat, Nov 07 @ Syracuse Sat, Nov 14 vs Georgia Tech |
1 | 3 | <1% | 4% | 12% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Duke | 2 Duke Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 26 vs William & Mary 62-7 Lost Sat, Oct 10 @ Georgia Tech 25-28 Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs North Carolina 20-24 Won Fri, Oct 23 @ Virginia 19-16 Sat, Oct 31 vs Boston College Sat, Nov 07 @ N.C. State Sat, Nov 14 @ Miami Fri, Nov 20 vs Clemson |
2 | 4 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| North Carolina | 2 North Carolina Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 19 @ Clemson 20-28 Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs Notre Dame 26-37 Won Sat, Oct 10 @ Pittsburgh 21-17 Won Sat, Oct 17 @ Duke 24-20 Sat, Oct 24 vs Syracuse Sat, Oct 31 vs Miami Sat, Nov 07 @ UConn Sat, Nov 14 vs Louisville |
1 | 3 | 2% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Virginia Tech | 2 Virginia Tech Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 26 @ Boston College 21-14 Lost Fri, Oct 02 vs Pittsburgh 33-35 Lost Sat, Oct 10 @ California 20-25 Won Sat, Oct 17 vs Georgia Tech 34-24 Sat, Oct 24 @ Clemson Fri, Nov 06 @ SMU Sat, Nov 14 vs Stanford Sat, Nov 21 @ Miami |
2 | 4 | 1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Pittsburgh | 2 Pittsburgh Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 02 @ Virginia Tech 35-33 Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs North Carolina 17-21 Lost Sat, Oct 17 @ Boston College 21-27 Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ Miami 23-52 Sat, Oct 31 vs Georgia Tech Fri, Nov 13 vs Florida St. Sat, Nov 21 @ Louisville Sat, Nov 28 @ California |
3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| California | 2 California Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 03 @ UNLV 31-39 Won Sat, Oct 10 vs Virginia Tech 25-20 Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Wake Forest 7-41 Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ SMU 20-59 Sat, Oct 31 @ N.C. State Sat, Nov 14 @ Virginia Sat, Nov 21 vs Stanford Sat, Nov 28 vs Pittsburgh |
3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 1% |
| Stanford | 2 Stanford Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 03 @ Wake Forest 3-57 Lost Sat, Oct 10 @ Notre Dame 7-58 Won Sat, Oct 17 vs Elon 34-7 Won Fri, Oct 23 vs N.C. State 31-28 Sat, Oct 31 @ Louisville Sat, Nov 14 @ Virginia Tech Sat, Nov 21 @ California Sat, Nov 28 vs SMU |
3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Virginia | 2 Virginia Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 03 @ Florida St. 7-38 Won Sat, Oct 10 vs Syracuse 28-25 Lost Sat, Oct 17 @ SMU 13-23 Lost Fri, Oct 23 vs Duke 16-19 Sat, Oct 31 @ Wake Forest Sat, Nov 14 vs California Sat, Nov 21 vs North Carolina Sat, Nov 28 @ Virginia Tech |
3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 1% |
| Boston College | 2 Boston College Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Virginia Tech 14-21 Lost Sat, Oct 03 @ SMU 16-25 Won Sat, Oct 17 vs Pittsburgh 27-21 Won Sat, Oct 24 @ Georgia Tech 49-27 Sat, Oct 31 @ Duke Sat, Nov 07 vs Florida St. Sat, Nov 14 @ Notre Dame Sat, Nov 21 vs Syracuse |
2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| N.C. State | 1 N.C. State Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 26 vs App. St. 41-31 Won Sat, Oct 03 vs Louisville 31-28 Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs Wake Forest 14-38 Lost Fri, Oct 23 @ Stanford 28-31 Sat, Oct 31 vs California Sat, Nov 07 vs Duke Sat, Nov 14 vs Syracuse Sat, Nov 21 @ Florida St. |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 8% |
| Florida St. | 1 Florida St. Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 26 vs Central Arkansas 34-7 Won Sat, Oct 03 vs Virginia 38-7 Lost Fri, Oct 09 @ Louisville 20-44 Lost Sat, Oct 17 @ Miami 35-43 Sat, Oct 31 vs Clemson Sat, Nov 07 @ Boston College Fri, Nov 13 @ Pittsburgh Sat, Nov 21 vs N.C. State |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 8% |
| Georgia Tech | 1 Georgia Tech Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 26 @ Stanford 27-34 Won Sat, Oct 10 vs Duke 28-25 Lost Sat, Oct 17 @ Virginia Tech 24-34 Lost Sat, Oct 24 vs Boston College 27-49 Sat, Oct 31 @ Pittsburgh Sat, Nov 07 vs Louisville Sat, Nov 14 @ Clemson Sat, Nov 21 vs Wake Forest |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 28% | 30% |
| Syracuse | 0 Syracuse Recent Games Lost Thu, Sep 17 @ Pittsburgh 13-27 Won Sat, Oct 03 @ UConn 42-41 Lost Sat, Oct 10 @ Virginia 25-28 Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Louisville 26-34 Sat, Oct 24 @ North Carolina Sat, Oct 31 vs SMU Sat, Nov 07 vs Clemson Sat, Nov 14 @ N.C. State |
4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 22% | 49% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Miami | 5 | 0 | 28% |
| (2)Wake Forest | 4 | 1 | 1% |
| (7)North Carolina | 2 | 1 | 1% |
| (6)Duke | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (5)Clemson | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (8)Virginia Tech | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (4)Louisville | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (11)Stanford | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (12)Virginia | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (13)Boston College | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (9)Pittsburgh | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (10)California | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (14)N.C. State | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| (17)Syracuse | 0 | 4 | <1% |
| (15)Florida St. | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| (16)Georgia Tech | 1 | 3 | X |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida St. (3‑4) |
27‑24 | Away | Mon Sep 7, 7:30 pm |
| 3 | Louisville (4‑3) |
31‑41 | Away | Sat Sep 19, 3:30 pm |
| 5 | Boston College (4‑3) |
25‑16 | Home | Sat Oct 3, 12:00 pm |
| 7 | Virginia (4‑4) |
23‑13 | Home | Sat Oct 17, 12:00 pm |
| 8 | California (3‑5) |
59‑20 | Home | Sat Oct 24, 12:00 pm |
| 9 | Syracuse (2‑4) |
Away | Sat Oct 31, 12:00 pm | |
| 10 | Virginia Tech (5‑2) |
Home | Fri Nov 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 11 | Wake Forest (6‑1) |
Home | Sat Nov 14, TBD | |
| 13 | Stanford (4‑4) |
Away | Sat Nov 28, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UC Davis | ‑‑ | 56‑10 | Home | Sat Sep 12, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | Missouri St. (2‑5) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 34‑24 | Home | Sat Sep 26, 9:00 pm |
| 12 | Notre Dame (6‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Sat Nov 21, 7:30 pm |