The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Maine (1‑13) vs Bryant (3‑10) |
18 | Maine Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 23% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 32% | ||
| Bryant Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 25% | 36% | ||
| NJIT (4‑9) vs Binghamton (3‑11) |
4 | NJIT Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 32% | ||
| Binghamton Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 34% | ||
| Vermont (8‑6) vs New Hampshire (4‑8) |
2 | Vermont Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 32% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 17% | 24% | 33% | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (5‑9) vs Albany (5‑10) |
1 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 24% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 32% | ||
| Albany Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 24% | 32% | ||