The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Maine (6‑18) vs Bryant (7‑16) |
11 | Maine Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 28% | 22% | 8% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 22% | 22% | 26% | 1% | ||
| Bryant Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 19% | 23% | 36% | 2% | ||
| NJIT (12‑12) vs Binghamton (5‑19) |
2 | NJIT Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 23% | 22% | 26% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 22% | 22% | 26% | 1% | ||
| Binghamton Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 22% | 24% | 4% | ||
| Vermont (14‑10) vs New Hampshire (8‑13) |
1 | Vermont Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 25% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 22% | 22% | 26% | 1% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 23% | 22% | 27% | 1% | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (9‑15) vs Albany (8‑16) |
0 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 24% | 22% | 24% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 16% | 22% | 22% | 26% | 1% | ||
| Albany Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 22% | 28% | 1% | ||