The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Maine (3‑16) vs New Hampshire (4‑12) |
17 | Maine Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 24% | 26% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 22% | 31% | 19% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 37% | 24% | ||
| UMBC (9‑7) vs Binghamton (4‑15) |
7 | UMBC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 22% | 32% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 22% | 31% | 19% | ||
| Binghamton Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 28% | 25% | ||
| NJIT (8‑11) vs Bryant (6‑12) |
1 | NJIT Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 22% | 31% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 22% | 31% | 19% | ||
| Bryant Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 21% | 32% | 19% | ||
| Vermont (11‑7) vs Albany (7‑12) |
0 | Vermont Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 22% | 31% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 22% | 31% | 19% | ||
| Albany Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 33% | 19% | ||