The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Maine (16‑11) vs Binghamton (14‑14) |
7 | Maine Wins | 1% | 14% | 78% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 71% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Binghamton Wins | X | 3% | 66% | 20% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| New Hampshire (7‑21) vs Albany (14‑13) |
2 | New Hampshire Wins | <1% | 9% | 80% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 71% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Albany Wins | <1% | 9% | 70% | 14% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (16‑11) vs Vermont (16‑11) |
1 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | 1% | 16% | 63% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 71% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Vermont Wins | <1% | 4% | 77% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UMBC (12‑16) vs NJIT (5‑22) |
0 | UMBC Wins | <1% | 9% | 71% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 71% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| NJIT Wins | <1% | 9% | 71% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||