The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Maine (10‑8) vs NJIT (3‑14) |
9 | Maine Wins | 17% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| NJIT Wins | 10% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| New Hampshire (3‑15) vs UMBC (9‑8) |
1 | New Hampshire Wins | 16% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| UMBC Wins | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Binghamton (9‑9) vs Vermont (9‑9) |
0 | Binghamton Wins | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Vermont Wins | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Albany (9‑9) vs Bryant (8‑9) |
0 | Albany Wins | 17% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Bryant Wins | 15% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | ||