The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Maine (7‑21) vs Albany (10‑18) |
11 | Maine Wins | X | X | X | 10% | 58% | 25% | 5% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 4% | 25% | 40% | 24% | 7% | ^ | ||
| Albany Wins | X | X | X | X | 4% | 51% | 34% | 11% | ^ | ||
| UMBC (18‑8) vs Bryant (8‑19) |
2 | UMBC Wins | X | X | X | 4% | 26% | 43% | 21% | 5% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 4% | 25% | 40% | 24% | 7% | ^ | ||
| Bryant Wins | X | X | X | 4% | 22% | 27% | 30% | 17% | ^ | ||
| Vermont (18‑11) vs UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (13‑15) |
2 | Vermont Wins | X | X | X | 6% | 24% | 40% | 23% | 7% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 4% | 25% | 40% | 24% | 7% | ^ | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | X | X | X | X | 29% | 40% | 23% | 7% | ^ | ||
| Binghamton (6‑23) vs New Hampshire (8‑18) |
2 | Binghamton Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 28% | 44% | 19% | 5% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 4% | 25% | 40% | 24% | 7% | ^ | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | X | X | X | 4% | 24% | 38% | 26% | 9% | ^ | ||