The Most Important Games for the Memphis Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Memphis Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Memphis Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11** First Round Bye |
12 | 13 | |||
| Memphis (4‑0) vs Florida Atlantic (4‑2) |
18 | Memphis Wins | 35% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 23% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Temple (3‑1) vs Wichita St. (4‑0) |
3 | Temple Wins | 32% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wichita St. Wins | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Texas (3‑1) vs UAB (4‑2) |
2 | North Texas Wins | 31% | 20% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UAB Wins | 30% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Charlotte (3‑1) vs Tulane (4‑1) |
1 | Charlotte Wins | 32% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tulane Wins | 33% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rice (4‑1) vs Tulsa (3‑2) |
1 | Rice Wins | 32% | 20% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tulsa Wins | 32% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| E. Carolina (4‑1) vs South Florida (3‑2) |
1 | E. Carolina Wins | 32% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Florida Wins | 31% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||