The Most Important Games for the Memphis Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Memphis Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Memphis Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Memphis (11‑11) vs Charlotte (12‑10) |
120 | Memphis Wins | 1% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Charlotte Wins | <1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 4% | ||
| E. Carolina (7‑15) vs Temple (14‑8) |
14 | E. Carolina Wins | 1% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Temple Wins | 1% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Tulane (13‑8) vs Wichita St. (14‑9) |
10 | Tulane Wins | 1% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Wichita St. Wins | 1% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Tulsa (20‑3) vs South Florida (15‑8) |
10 | Tulsa Wins | <1% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| South Florida Wins | 1% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Texas-San Antonio (4‑18) vs North Texas (12‑11) |
6 | Texas-San Antonio Wins | 1% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| North Texas Wins | 1% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Rice (10‑13) vs UAB (14‑9) |
2 | Rice Wins | 1% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| UAB Wins | 1% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||