The Most Important Games for the Memphis Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Memphis Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Memphis Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11** First Round Bye |
12 | 13 | |||
| Memphis (7‑7) vs Florida Atlantic (10‑6) |
85 | Memphis Wins | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 11% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 8% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| E. Carolina (5‑10) vs UAB (10‑6) |
5 | E. Carolina Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | ||
| UAB Wins | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Rice (7‑9) vs Charlotte (8‑8) |
5 | Rice Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Charlotte Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| South Florida (9‑6) vs Tulsa (13‑2) |
1 | South Florida Wins | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Tulsa Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 6% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Texas-San Antonio (4‑11) vs Tulane (11‑4) |
0 | Texas-San Antonio Wins | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | ||
| Tulane Wins | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Wichita St. (9‑7) vs North Texas (10‑6) |
0 | Wichita St. Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | ||
| North Texas Wins | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 7% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||