The Most Important Games for the Memphis Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Memphis Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Memphis Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Memphis (12‑15) vs Wichita St. (18‑10) |
44 | Memphis Wins | X | X | 1% | 7% | 18% | 17% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 4% | 12% | 13% | 19% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Wichita St. Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 27% | 17% | 6% | ||
| North Texas (16‑13) vs UAB (18‑10) |
7 | North Texas Wins | X | X | 1% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 21% | 17% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 4% | 12% | 13% | 19% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 4% | ||
| UAB Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 12% | 14% | 21% | 19% | 20% | 8% | 3% | ||
| South Florida (20‑8) vs Tulane (17‑11) |
6 | South Florida Wins | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 11% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 4% | 12% | 13% | 19% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Tulane Wins | X | X | <1% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 21% | 12% | 4% | ||
| Temple (15‑12) vs Florida Atlantic (15‑13) |
3 | Temple Wins | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 4% | 12% | 13% | 19% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | X | X | <1% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 18% | 20% | 12% | 4% | ||