The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (15‑3) vs Michigan State (11‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
27 | Michigan Sweeps 1 Game | 40% | 31% | 19% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 30% | 23% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State Sweeps 1 Game | 26% | 30% | 27% | 13% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (4‑9‑1) vs Wisconsin (10‑2‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
22 | Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | 45% | 25% | 18% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 30% | 23% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | 32% | 31% | 23% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State (5‑9) vs Minnesota (6‑9‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | 34% | 29% | 23% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 30% | 23% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | 34% | 29% | 22% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (15‑3) vs Michigan State (11‑3) |
27 | Michigan Wins | 40% | 31% | 19% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 30% | 23% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State Wins | 26% | 30% | 27% | 13% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (4‑9‑1) vs Wisconsin (10‑2‑2) |
12 | Notre Dame Wins | 39% | 27% | 20% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 30% | 23% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 33% | 30% | 23% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State (5‑9) vs Minnesota (6‑9‑2) |
0 | Ohio State Wins | 34% | 30% | 23% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 30% | 23% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 34% | 29% | 23% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||