Where are the Michigan State Spartans going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Michigan State standings table presents the probabilities of the Spartans winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 |
| Wisconsin | 3i Wisconsin Recent Games Won Thu, Oct 30 vs Minnesota 5-2 Won Sat, Nov 01 vs Minnesota 4-0 Lost Fri, Nov 07 @ Michigan 4-7 Won Sat, Nov 08 @ Michigan 6-1 Fri, Nov 14 vs Ohio State Sat, Nov 15 vs Ohio State |
0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 35% | 26% | 21% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Michigan | 2 Michigan Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 31 @ N.Dame 5-3 Won Sat, Nov 01 @ N.Dame 2-1 Won Fri, Nov 07 vs Wisconsin 7-4 Lost Sat, Nov 08 vs Wisconsin 1-6 Fri, Nov 14 @ Penn State Sat, Nov 15 @ Penn State |
1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 19% | 24% | 23% | 20% | 11% | 3% | <1% |
| Penn State | 2 Penn State Recent Games Won Thu, Oct 30 @ Ohio State 3-2 Won Fri, Oct 31 @ Ohio State 4-3 Lost Fri, Nov 07 @ Michigan State 1-2 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ Michigan State 0-5 Fri, Nov 14 vs Michigan Sat, Nov 15 vs Michigan |
0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 14% | 5% | 1% |
| Minnesota | 2 Minnesota Recent Games Lost Thu, Oct 30 @ Wisconsin 2-5 Lost Sat, Nov 01 @ Wisconsin 0-4 Won Fri, Nov 07 vs N.Dame 3-0 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs N.Dame 4-1 Fri, Nov 14 vs Long Island Sat, Nov 15 vs Long Island |
0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 30% | 28% | 12% |
| Michigan State | 1 Michigan State Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 24 @ Northern Michigan 4-0 Won Sat, Oct 25 @ Northern Michigan 6-2 Won Fri, Nov 07 vs Penn State 2-1 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs Penn State 5-0 Fri, Nov 14 @ N.Dame Sat, Nov 15 @ N.Dame |
1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 30% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Notre Dame | 0 Notre Dame Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 31 vs Michigan 3-5 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs Michigan 1-2 Lost Fri, Nov 07 @ Minnesota 0-3 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ Minnesota 1-4 Fri, Nov 14 vs Michigan State Sat, Nov 15 vs Michigan State |
0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 30% | 56% |
| Ohio State | 0 Ohio State Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 24 vs Sacred Heart 1-2 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs Sacred Heart 3-0 Lost Thu, Oct 30 vs Penn State 2-3 Lost Fri, Oct 31 vs Penn State 3-4 Fri, Nov 14 @ Wisconsin Sat, Nov 15 @ Wisconsin |
0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 22% | 32% | 31% |
| Record | Total | Home (61%) |
Away (9%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | 30% | |||||||
| (6)Notre Dame | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 22% | 22% | <1% |
| (7)Ohio State | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20% | 18% | 2% |
| (4)Minnesota | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17% | 14% | 3% |
| (3)Penn State | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| (2)Michigan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| (1)Wisconsin | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Penn State (9‑3) |
2‑1 (OT) | Home | Fri Nov 7, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Penn State (9‑3) |
5‑0 | Home | Sat Nov 8, 4:00 pm |
| 7 | Notre Dame (3‑6‑1) |
Away | Fri Nov 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 7 | Notre Dame (3‑6‑1) |
Away | Sat Nov 15, 6:00 pm | |
| 8 | Wisconsin (7‑1‑2) |
Home | Fri Nov 21, TBD | |
| 8 | Wisconsin (7‑1‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 22, TBD | |
| 10 | Michigan (10‑2) |
Home | Fri Dec 5, 8:30 pm | |
| 10 | Michigan (10‑2) |
Away | Sat Dec 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Ohio State (4‑4) |
Away | Fri Jan 9, 6:30 pm | |
| 15 | Ohio State (4‑4) |
Away | Sat Jan 10, 5:00 pm | |
| 16 | Wisconsin (7‑1‑2) |
Away | Thu Jan 15, 9:00 pm | |
| 16 | Wisconsin (7‑1‑2) |
Away | Fri Jan 16, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | Minnesota (4‑7‑1) |
Home | Fri Jan 23, TBD | |
| 17 | Minnesota (4‑7‑1) |
Home | Sat Jan 24, 6:00 pm | |
| 18 | Penn State (9‑3) |
Away | Fri Jan 30, TBD | |
| 18 | Penn State (9‑3) |
Away | Sat Jan 31, TBD | |
| 19 | Michigan (10‑2) |
Away | Fri Feb 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Michigan (10‑2) |
Home | Sat Feb 7, 6:30 pm | |
| 21 | Notre Dame (3‑6‑1) |
Home | Thu Feb 19, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Notre Dame (3‑6‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 20, 6:00 pm | |
| 22 | Ohio State (4‑4) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 8:30 pm | |
| 22 | Ohio State (4‑4) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 8:00 pm | |
| 23 | Minnesota (4‑7‑1) |
Away | Thu Mar 5, 8:00 pm | |
| 23 | Minnesota (4‑7‑1) |
Away | Fri Mar 6, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | New Hampshire (4‑5) |
EastEast | 3‑4 | Home | Thu Oct 9 |
| 2 | New Hampshire (4‑5) |
EastEast | 2‑0 | Home | Fri Oct 10 |
| 3 | Boston University (5‑5‑1) |
EastEast | 4‑2 | Away | Fri Oct 17 |
| 3 | Boston University (5‑5‑1) |
EastEast | 4‑3 (OT) | Away | Sat Oct 18 |
| 4 | Northern Michigan (0‑12) |
CCHACCHA | 4‑0 | Away | Fri Oct 24, 7:07 pm |
| 4 | Northern Michigan (0‑12) |
CCHACCHA | 6‑2 | Away | Sat Oct 25, 6:07 pm |
| 9 | Colgate (2‑7‑1) |
ECACECAC | Home | Wed Nov 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 9 | Colgate (2‑7‑1) |
ECACECAC | Home | Fri Nov 28, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Ferris State (2‑8) |
CCHACCHA | Home | Sun Dec 28, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | TBD | ‑‑ | Away | Mon Dec 29, 4:00 pm |