The Most Important Games for the Michigan State Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan State Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (6‑2) vs Notre Dame (4‑6) 2 Games Remaining |
29 | Michigan State Sweeps 2 Games | 25% | 24% | 25% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | 13% | 20% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 7% | 1% | ||
| Ohio State (3‑5) vs Wisconsin (7‑0‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
9 | Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | 27% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | 21% | 23% | 23% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Penn State (2‑7‑1) vs Michigan (8‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | 26% | 24% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 22% | 22% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (6‑2) vs Notre Dame (4‑6) |
15 | Michigan State Wins | 24% | 24% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 17% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Ohio State (3‑5) vs Wisconsin (7‑0‑1) |
6 | Ohio State Wins | 25% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 22% | 23% | 23% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Penn State (2‑7‑1) vs Michigan (8‑1) |
5 | Penn State Wins | 24% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 22% | 22% | 22% | 18% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||