The Most Important Games for the Michigan State Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan State Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (7‑1) vs Notre Dame (3‑6‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
30 | Michigan State Sweeps 2 Games | 32% | 25% | 22% | 14% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | 18% | 22% | 24% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Ohio State (4‑4) vs Wisconsin (7‑1‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
11 | Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | 35% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 24% | 22% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (9‑3) vs Michigan (10‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | 31% | 23% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 31% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (7‑1) vs Notre Dame (3‑6‑1) |
15 | Michigan State Wins | 30% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 24% | 24% | 22% | 18% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State (4‑4) vs Wisconsin (7‑1‑2) |
7 | Ohio State Wins | 33% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 29% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Michigan (10‑2) vs Penn State (9‑3) |
1 | Michigan Wins | 31% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 31% | 23% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||