The Most Important Games for the Michigan State Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan State Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (15‑5) vs Wisconsin (15‑3‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
53 | Michigan State Sweeps 2 Games | 27% | 29% | 26% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 21% | 30% | 29% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 14% | 32% | 40% | 9% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (8‑12‑1) vs Michigan (18‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
11 | Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | 16% | 26% | 26% | 22% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 21% | 30% | 29% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 20% | 32% | 32% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (4‑15‑1) vs Penn State (14‑6) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | 14% | 24% | 36% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 21% | 30% | 29% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | 12% | 20% | 29% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (15‑5) vs Wisconsin (15‑3‑2) |
26 | Michigan State Wins | 18% | 26% | 29% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 21% | 30% | 29% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 7% | 19% | 31% | 34% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (8‑12‑1) vs Michigan (18‑4) |
6 | Minnesota Wins | 15% | 22% | 28% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 21% | 30% | 29% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 11% | 21% | 31% | 30% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (4‑15‑1) vs Penn State (14‑6) |
3 | Notre Dame Wins | 13% | 23% | 32% | 24% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 21% | 30% | 29% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 12% | 21% | 30% | 30% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||