The Most Important Games for the Michigan State Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan State Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Notre Dame (7‑14‑1) vs Minnesota (18‑4‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
28 | Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | 75% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 60% | 28% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | 58% | 29% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State (18‑2‑2) vs Michigan (13‑8‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
28 | Michigan State Sweeps 1 Game | 67% | 25% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 60% | 28% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Sweeps 1 Game | 51% | 32% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (18‑2‑2) vs Michigan (13‑8‑1) |
28 | Michigan State Wins | 67% | 25% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 60% | 28% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 51% | 32% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (7‑14‑1) vs Minnesota (18‑4‑2) |
16 | Notre Dame Wins | 69% | 22% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 60% | 28% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 60% | 28% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||