The Most Important Games for the Michigan State Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan State Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (12‑4) vs Ohio State (6‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
35 | Michigan State Sweeps 2 Games | 20% | 28% | 30% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 26% | 30% | 20% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 17% | 32% | 28% | 14% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (4‑11‑1) vs Michigan (16‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
9 | Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | 20% | 33% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 26% | 30% | 20% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 16% | 24% | 30% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (8‑10‑1) vs Penn State (11‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 27% | 32% | 14% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 26% | 30% | 20% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | 16% | 25% | 30% | 21% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (12‑4) vs Ohio State (6‑10) |
18 | Michigan State Wins | 17% | 27% | 30% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 26% | 30% | 20% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State Wins | 10% | 22% | 32% | 24% | 10% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (4‑11‑1) vs Michigan (16‑4) |
5 | Notre Dame Wins | 18% | 29% | 26% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 26% | 30% | 20% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 16% | 24% | 30% | 20% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (8‑10‑1) vs Penn State (11‑5) |
3 | Minnesota Wins | 17% | 26% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 26% | 30% | 20% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 16% | 25% | 29% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||