The Most Important Games for the Michigan State Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan State Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (22‑5‑3) vs Penn State (16‑11‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
69 | Michigan State Sweeps 2 Games | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | 59% | 38% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota (21‑7‑4) vs Ohio State (20‑8‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | 92% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | 92% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wisconsin (11‑18‑3) vs Notre Dame (9‑20‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | 93% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | 93% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (22‑5‑3) vs Penn State (16‑11‑3) |
24 | Michigan State Wins | 97% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn State Wins | 83% | 16% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ohio State (20‑8‑2) vs Minnesota (21‑7‑4) |
0 | Ohio State Wins | 94% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 94% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wisconsin (11‑18‑3) vs Notre Dame (9‑20‑1) |
0 | Wisconsin Wins | 93% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 93% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||