The Most Important Games for the Penn State Nittany Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nittany Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Penn State Nittany Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Penn State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Notre Dame (4‑9‑1) vs Wisconsin (10‑2‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
5 | Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 16% | 23% | 35% | 15% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 24% | 39% | 15% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | 6% | 12% | 24% | 39% | 16% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State (5‑9) vs Minnesota (6‑9‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | 6% | 13% | 25% | 40% | 12% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 24% | 39% | 15% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | 6% | 13% | 24% | 38% | 16% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Michigan (15‑3) vs Michigan State (11‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Michigan Sweeps 1 Game | 6% | 12% | 25% | 39% | 15% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 24% | 39% | 15% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State Sweeps 1 Game | 6% | 12% | 22% | 41% | 15% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Penn State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Notre Dame (4‑9‑1) vs Wisconsin (10‑2‑2) |
3 | Notre Dame Wins | 7% | 13% | 24% | 37% | 15% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 24% | 39% | 15% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 5% | 12% | 24% | 39% | 15% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State (5‑9) vs Minnesota (6‑9‑2) |
0 | Ohio State Wins | 6% | 12% | 25% | 39% | 14% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 24% | 39% | 15% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 6% | 13% | 24% | 38% | 15% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Michigan (15‑3) vs Michigan State (11‑3) |
0 | Michigan Wins | 6% | 12% | 25% | 39% | 15% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 24% | 39% | 15% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State Wins | 6% | 12% | 22% | 41% | 15% | 3% | <1% | ||