The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Illinois (17‑9) vs Wisconsin (20‑5) |
21 | Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 18% | 40% | 22% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 31% | 27% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 28% | 29% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (13‑13) vs Ohio St. (15‑11) |
3 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 32% | 27% | 16% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 31% | 27% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 30% | 26% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Maryland (20‑6) vs USC (14‑11) |
3 | Maryland Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 33% | 27% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 31% | 27% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| USC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 28% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (13‑13) vs Nebraska (17‑9) |
3 | Penn State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 39% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 31% | 27% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 27% | 28% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa (14‑11) vs Oregon (18‑8) |
2 | Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 34% | 28% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 31% | 27% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oregon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 30% | 26% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan St. (20‑5) vs Purdue (19‑7) |
1 | Michigan St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 30% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 31% | 27% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 31% | 27% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (13‑12) vs UCLA (19‑7) |
1 | Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 24% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 31% | 27% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rutgers (12‑14) vs Washington (13‑12) |
0 | Rutgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 31% | 27% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 31% | 27% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 31% | 26% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||