The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Illinois (7‑2) vs Ohio St. (7‑1) |
64 | Illinois Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | ||
| Maryland (6‑3) vs Michigan (7‑0) |
4 | Maryland Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Purdue (8‑1) vs Minnesota (5‑4) |
1 | Purdue Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Penn State (8‑1) vs Indiana (7‑2) |
1 | Penn State Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Indiana Wins | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Wisconsin (7‑2) vs Nebraska (9‑0) |
0 | Wisconsin Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | ||