The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Illinois (10‑3) vs Penn State (9‑4) |
66 | Illinois Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Rutgers (7‑6) vs Ohio St. (9‑3) |
5 | Rutgers Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Michigan (11‑0) vs USC (12‑1) |
4 | Michigan Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| USC Wins | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Minnesota (8‑5) vs NorthwesternN. Western (8‑5) |
4 | Minnesota Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Wisconsin (9‑4) vs Purdue (12‑1) |
3 | Wisconsin Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Purdue Wins | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Iowa (11‑2) vs UCLA (10‑3) |
3 | Iowa Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| UCLA Wins | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Indiana (10‑3) vs Washington (9‑4) |
1 | Indiana Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Washington Wins | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Nebraska (13‑0) vs Michigan St. (12‑1) |
1 | Nebraska Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Oregon (7‑6) vs Maryland (7‑5) |
0 | Oregon Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Maryland Wins | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||