The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Oregon (1‑0) vs UCLA (1‑0) |
4 | Oregon Wins | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| UCLA Wins | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Washington (1‑0) vs USC (1‑0) |
4 | Washington Wins | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| USC Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Minnesota (1‑0) vs Michigan St. (1‑0) |
2 | Minnesota Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Wisconsin (1‑0) vs NorthwesternN. Western (1‑0) |
2 | Wisconsin Wins | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Rutgers (0‑0) vs Indiana (1‑0) |
1 | Rutgers Wins | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Indiana Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Ohio St. (0‑1) vs Nebraska (1‑0) |
1 | Ohio St. Wins | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Purdue (0‑1) vs Iowa (0‑0) |
0 | Purdue Wins | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Iowa Wins | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||