The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Illinois (11‑3) vs Rutgers (8‑7) |
71 | Illinois Wins | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (8‑6) vs Michigan St. (13‑2) |
10 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Washington (9‑5) vs Purdue (13‑1) |
6 | Washington Wins | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Purdue Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Oregon (8‑7) vs Ohio St. (10‑4) |
3 | Oregon Wins | 2% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Minnesota (10‑5) vs USC (12‑3) |
2 | Minnesota Wins | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| USC Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Maryland (7‑6) vs Indiana (11‑3) |
2 | Maryland Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Indiana Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Michigan (13‑0) vs Wisconsin (10‑5) |
2 | Michigan Wins | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||