The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Wisconsin (5‑0) vs Michigan (3‑1) |
3 | Wisconsin Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 24% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 25% | ||
| Iowa (5‑0) vs NorthwesternN. Western (4‑1) |
2 | Iowa Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 24% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 25% | ||
| USC (4‑1) vs Oregon (4‑0) |
1 | USC Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 24% | ||
| Oregon Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 24% | ||
| Washington (3‑1) vs UCLA (4‑1) |
1 | Washington Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 24% | ||
| UCLA Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 24% | ||
| Minnesota (4‑1) vs Michigan St. (4‑1) |
1 | Minnesota Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 24% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 24% | ||
| Maryland (4‑1) vs Ohio St. (3‑1) |
1 | Maryland Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 24% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 24% | ||
| Penn State (5‑0) vs Purdue (4‑1) |
0 | Penn State Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 24% | ||
| Purdue Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 24% | ||