The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Illinois (21‑5) vs USC (18‑7) |
68 | Illinois Wins | 11% | 59% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 49% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| USC Wins | 2% | 34% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana (17‑9) vs Purdue (21‑5) |
16 | Indiana Wins | 7% | 51% | 20% | 14% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 49% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Purdue Wins | 7% | 48% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn State (11‑16) vs Nebraska (22‑4) |
8 | Penn State Wins | 8% | 55% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 49% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nebraska Wins | 7% | 48% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (10‑16) vs Maryland (10‑14) |
0 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 7% | 49% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 49% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maryland Wins | 7% | 49% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota (12‑14) vs Rutgers (11‑15) |
0 | Minnesota Wins | 7% | 49% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 49% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rutgers Wins | 7% | 49% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||