The Most Important Games for the Michigan St. Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan St. Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Michigan St. (13‑2) vs NorthwesternN. Western (8‑6) |
70 | Michigan St. Wins | 8% | 15% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Rutgers (8‑7) vs Illinois (11‑3) |
12 | Rutgers Wins | 8% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Washington (9‑5) vs Purdue (13‑1) |
11 | Washington Wins | 8% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (9‑5) vs Michigan (12‑0) |
5 | Penn State Wins | 9% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Maryland (7‑6) vs Indiana (11‑3) |
5 | Maryland Wins | 7% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 14% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin (9‑5) vs UCLA (10‑4) |
4 | Wisconsin Wins | 8% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (9‑5) vs Iowa (12‑2) |
3 | Minnesota Wins | 8% | 14% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Oregon (8‑7) vs Ohio St. (10‑4) |
2 | Oregon Wins | 8% | 14% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||