The Most Important Games for the Michigan St. Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan St. Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Michigan St. (14‑2) vs Penn State (12‑5) |
30 | Michigan St. Wins | 31% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (8‑9) vs Michigan (13‑3) |
3 | Minnesota Wins | 30% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 26% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington (10‑7) vs Purdue (13‑4) |
2 | Washington Wins | 29% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue Wins | 28% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa (12‑4) vs USC (10‑6) |
2 | Iowa Wins | 28% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| USC Wins | 28% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana (13‑4) vs Illinois (12‑4) |
2 | Indiana Wins | 28% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois Wins | 28% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. (10‑6) vs Wisconsin (13‑3) |
1 | Ohio St. Wins | 28% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 28% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Maryland (13‑4) vs NorthwesternN. Western (10‑6) |
1 | Maryland Wins | 27% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 28% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rutgers (9‑8) vs Nebraska (12‑4) |
0 | Rutgers Wins | 28% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | 28% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||