The Most Important Games for the Michigan St. Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan St. Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| USC (18‑7) vs Illinois (21‑5) |
28 | USC Wins | <1% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 25% | 20% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 28% | 22% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois Wins | <1% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 30% | 24% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn State (11‑16) vs Nebraska (22‑4) |
26 | Penn State Wins | <1% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 24% | 20% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 28% | 22% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nebraska Wins | <1% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 28% | 22% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana (17‑9) vs Purdue (21‑5) |
19 | Indiana Wins | <1% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 26% | 19% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 28% | 22% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Purdue Wins | <1% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 28% | 23% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (10‑16) vs Maryland (10‑14) |
0 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | <1% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 28% | 22% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 28% | 22% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maryland Wins | <1% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 28% | 22% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota (12‑14) vs Rutgers (11‑15) |
0 | Minnesota Wins | <1% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 28% | 22% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 28% | 22% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rutgers Wins | <1% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 28% | 22% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||