The Most Important Games for the Michigan St. Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan St. Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Michigan St. (20‑5) vs Purdue (19‑7) |
59 | Michigan St. Wins | 24% | 27% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Purdue Wins | 6% | 9% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 23% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota (13‑12) vs UCLA (19‑7) |
14 | Minnesota Wins | 16% | 20% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UCLA Wins | 15% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois (17‑9) vs Wisconsin (20‑5) |
10 | Illinois Wins | 16% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 14% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| USC (14‑11) vs Maryland (20‑6) |
9 | USC Wins | 16% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maryland Wins | 15% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nebraska (17‑9) vs Penn State (13‑13) |
2 | Nebraska Wins | 15% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn State Wins | 15% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oregon (18‑8) vs Iowa (14‑11) |
0 | Oregon Wins | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa Wins | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ohio St. (15‑11) vs NorthwesternN. Western (13‑13) |
0 | Ohio St. Wins | 15% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 15% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington (13‑12) vs Rutgers (12‑14) |
0 | Washington Wins | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rutgers Wins | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||