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Mon Feb 17 11:30 am

Big 10 Basketball - Week 16 of 18

Nebraska Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Nebraska Cornhuskers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cornhuskers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nebraska Cornhuskers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Nebraska Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Nebraska Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10 11 12 13 14 15 NT
Nebraska
(17‑9)

vs
Penn State
(13‑13)
27 Nebraska Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 30% 23% 15% 11% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 21% 16% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Penn State Wins X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 17% 18% 17% 13% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1%
Maryland
(20‑6)

vs
USC
(14‑11)
5 Maryland Wins X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 25% 21% 16% 13% 8% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 21% 16% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
USC Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 21% 19% 17% 13% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Wisconsin
(20‑5)

vs
Illinois
(17‑9)
5 Wisconsin Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 27% 20% 15% 12% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 21% 16% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Illinois Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 22% 19% 15% 10% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
NorthwesternN. Western
(13‑13)

vs
Ohio St.
(15‑11)
4 NorthwesternN. Western Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 25% 22% 17% 12% 8% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 21% 16% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Ohio St. Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 24% 20% 16% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Iowa
(14‑11)

vs
Oregon
(18‑8)
4 Iowa Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 28% 21% 15% 11% 8% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 21% 16% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Oregon Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 23% 20% 17% 14% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
UCLA
(19‑7)

vs
Minnesota
(13‑12)
2 UCLA Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 25% 21% 17% 13% 9% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 21% 16% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Minnesota Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 19% 15% 13% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Washington
(13‑12)

vs
Rutgers
(12‑14)
1 Washington Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 25% 21% 16% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 21% 16% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Rutgers Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 21% 16% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Michigan St.
(20‑5)

vs
Purdue
(19‑7)
0 Michigan St. Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 25% 20% 16% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 21% 16% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Purdue Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 25% 21% 16% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament