The Most Important Games for the USC Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. USC Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
USC Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Oregon (8‑7) vs Ohio St. (10‑4) |
8 | Oregon Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (8‑6) vs Michigan St. (13‑2) |
5 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Washington (9‑5) vs Purdue (13‑1) |
4 | Washington Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Purdue Wins | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Rutgers (8‑7) vs Illinois (11‑3) |
4 | Rutgers Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Illinois Wins | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Maryland (7‑6) vs Indiana (11‑3) |
3 | Maryland Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Indiana Wins | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Minnesota (9‑5) vs Iowa (12‑2) |
2 | Minnesota Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Iowa Wins | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Michigan (12‑0) vs Penn State (9‑5) |
2 | Michigan Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| UCLA (10‑4) vs Wisconsin (9‑5) |
1 | UCLA Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||