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Tue Dec 24 9:00 am

Big 10 Basketball - Week 8 of 18

USC Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the USC Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. USC Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

USC Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
USC Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10 11 12 13 14 15 NT
USC
(9‑4)

vs
Michigan
(9‑3)
30 USC Wins 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 21%
Current Probabilities 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 26%
Michigan Wins <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 9% 9% 29%
Indiana
(9‑3)

vs
Rutgers
(7‑5)
2 Indiana Wins 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 26%
Current Probabilities 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 26%
Rutgers Wins 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 27%
Minnesota
(7‑5)

vs
Purdue
(8‑4)
2 Minnesota Wins 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 27%
Current Probabilities 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 26%
Purdue Wins 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 27%
Oregon
(11‑1)

vs
Illinois
(8‑3)
2 Oregon Wins 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 26%
Current Probabilities 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 26%
Illinois Wins 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 27%
Wisconsin
(10‑3)

vs
Iowa
(9‑3)
1 Wisconsin Wins 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 27%
Current Probabilities 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 26%
Iowa Wins 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 27%
Michigan St.
(10‑2)

vs
Ohio St.
(8‑4)
1 Michigan St. Wins 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 26%
Current Probabilities 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 26%
Ohio St. Wins 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 27%
Nebraska
(9‑2)

vs
UCLA
(10‑2)
1 Nebraska Wins 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 27%
Current Probabilities 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 26%
UCLA Wins 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 27%
Washington
(8‑4)

vs
Maryland
(10‑2)
0 Washington Wins 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 27%
Current Probabilities 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 26%
Maryland Wins 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 26%
Penn State
(10‑2)

vs
NorthwesternN. Western
(9‑3)
0 Penn State Wins 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 27%
Current Probabilities 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 26%
NorthwesternN. Western Wins 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 27%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament