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Mon Feb 17 11:30 am

Big 10 Basketball - Week 16 of 18

Wisconsin Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Wisconsin Badgers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Badgers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Wisconsin Badgers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Wisconsin Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Wisconsin Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10 11 12 13 14 15 NT
Wisconsin
(20‑5)

vs
Illinois
(17‑9)
54 Wisconsin Wins 6% 33% 22% 18% 13% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 5% 26% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Illinois Wins 1% 14% 16% 21% 21% 18% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
USC
(14‑11)

vs
Maryland
(20‑6)
17 USC Wins 5% 28% 23% 19% 13% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 5% 26% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Maryland Wins 5% 25% 19% 18% 16% 13% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Minnesota
(13‑12)

vs
UCLA
(19‑7)
14 Minnesota Wins 5% 29% 22% 19% 14% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 5% 26% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
UCLA Wins 5% 25% 20% 19% 16% 12% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Michigan St.
(20‑5)

vs
Purdue
(19‑7)
7 Michigan St. Wins 5% 27% 22% 17% 14% 10% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 5% 26% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Purdue Wins 5% 25% 18% 20% 16% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Washington
(13‑12)

vs
Rutgers
(12‑14)
1 Washington Wins 5% 27% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 5% 26% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Rutgers Wins 5% 26% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Iowa
(14‑11)

vs
Oregon
(18‑8)
0 Iowa Wins 5% 26% 20% 18% 15% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 5% 26% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Oregon Wins 5% 26% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Penn State
(13‑13)

vs
Nebraska
(17‑9)
0 Penn State Wins 5% 26% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 5% 26% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Nebraska Wins 5% 26% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
NorthwesternN. Western
(13‑13)

vs
Ohio St.
(15‑11)
0 NorthwesternN. Western Wins 5% 26% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 5% 26% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Ohio St. Wins 5% 26% 20% 19% 15% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament