The Most Important Games for the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lumberjacks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Arizona Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Northern Arizona (10‑18) vs Idaho (15‑13) |
0 | Northern Arizona Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 15% | 40% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 26% | 66% | ||
| Idaho Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 21% | 76% | ||
| Weber St. (15‑14) vs Idaho St. (12‑17) |
0 | Weber St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 9% | 32% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 26% | 66% | ||
| Idaho St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 5% | 18% | 76% | ||
| Sacramento St. (9‑18) vs Montana (14‑14) |
0 | Sacramento St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 26% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 26% | 66% | ||
| Montana Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 9% | 25% | 65% | ||
| Eastern Washington (11‑17) vs Northern Colorado (18‑10) |
0 | Eastern Washington Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 26% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 26% | 66% | ||
| Northern Colorado Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 26% | 66% | ||
| Montana St. (15‑13) vs Portland St. (18‑8) |
0 | Montana St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 26% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 26% | 66% | ||
| Portland St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 26% | 66% | ||