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Sun Nov 30 6:00 pm

Big Sky Basketball - Week 5 of 18

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Standings

Where are the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Northern Arizona standings table presents the probabilities of the Lumberjacks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Big Sky Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
Li
Schedule Content
Number of Loses
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Remaining Games Venue
GPi
Schedule Content
Games Played
18 game season
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10
Northern Colorado 0i
Northern Colorado Recent Games

Won  Sat, Nov 22 @  Portland            86-80 
Won  Sun, Nov 23 vs CSU Fullerton       97-93 
Won  Wed, Nov 26 @  Air Force           71-53 
Won  Sat, Nov 29 vs Regis (CO)         104-63 
     Wed, Dec 03 @  Nebraska O.        
     Sat, Dec 06 vs South Dakota       
     Tue, Dec 16 @  Texas Tech         
     Sat, Dec 20 vs Denver             

0i
Northern Colorado
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 1

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0i
Northern Colorado
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
31% 17% 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1%
Portland St. 0
Portland St. Recent Games

Lost Wed, Nov 12 @  San Francisco       70-80 
Won  Mon, Nov 17 vs CSU Bakersfield     93-80 
Won  Wed, Nov 19 vs Evergreen State     90-61 
Won  Tue, Nov 25 @  Utah Tech           68-63 
     Wed, Dec 03 @  South Dakota       
     Sat, Dec 06 vs Nebraska O.        
     Sat, Dec 13 vs George Fox         
     Wed, Dec 17 @  Colorado           

0
Portland St.
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 2

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Portland St.
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
16% 15% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 3%
Northern Arizona 0
Northern Arizona Recent Games

Lost Tue, Nov 11 @  Arizona             49-84 
Won  Tue, Nov 18 vs Embry-Riddle (AZ)  108-79 
Won  Mon, Nov 24 vs Cal Poly            93-87 
Won  Wed, Nov 26 vs SE Missouri St.     79-72 
     Wed, Dec 03 vs South Dakota St.   
     Sat, Dec 06 @  North Dakota St.   
     Tue, Dec 09 @  Arizona St.        
     Sat, Dec 13 @  San Diego          

0
Northern Arizona
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 3

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Northern Arizona
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
15% 14% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4%
Idaho 0
Idaho Recent Games

Lost Sat, Nov 15 @  UC San Diego        67-75 
Won  Sat, Nov 22 vs Eastern Oregon      97-68 
Won  Wed, Nov 26 @  CSU Northridge      78-64 
Lost Fri, Nov 28 vs Sam Houston         68-94 
     Wed, Dec 03 vs North Dakota       
     Sat, Dec 06 @  South Dakota St.   
     Wed, Dec 10 @  Notre Dame         
     Sun, Dec 14 vs Evergreen State    

0
Idaho
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 4

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Idaho
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
11% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6%
Idaho St. 0
Idaho St. Recent Games

Lost Tue, Nov 18 @  Santa Clara         55-64 
Won  Fri, Nov 21 vs Justice College     89-51 
Lost Wed, Nov 26 vs Sam Houston         81-84 
Won  Fri, Nov 28 vs CSU Northridge      82-50 
     Wed, Dec 03 @  UMKC               
     Sat, Dec 06 vs Denver             
     Wed, Dec 10 @  Utah Valley        
     Thu, Dec 18 vs Montana-Western    

0
Idaho St.
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 5

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Idaho St.
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
7% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 9%
Montana 0
Montana Recent Games

Won  Fri, Nov 14 vs Cal Poly            90-82 
Lost Tue, Nov 18 @  Texas A&M           81-86 
Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Lamar               63-68 
Lost Tue, Nov 25 vs Oakland             87-95 
     Wed, Dec 03 vs North Dakota St.   
     Sat, Dec 06 @  North Dakota       
     Wed, Dec 10 vs Salish Kootenai    
     Wed, Dec 17 vs Montana Tech       

0
Montana
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 6

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Montana
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
6% 9% 10% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10%
Weber St. 0
Weber St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Nov 15 @  UC Irvine           70-79 
Won  Wed, Nov 19 vs Campbell            91-85 
Lost Sat, Nov 22 vs UT Arlington        73-74 
Won  Sat, Nov 29 vs UMKC                82-61 
     Wed, Dec 03 vs O. Roberts         
     Sat, Dec 06 @  St. Thomas         
     Wed, Dec 10 @  UMKC               
     Wed, Dec 17 @  Utah Valley        

0
Weber St.
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 7

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Weber St.
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
5% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 12% 12% 12%
Sacramento St. 0
Sacramento St. Recent Games

Lost Tue, Nov 18 @  UCLA                48-79 
Lost Fri, Nov 21 @  California          67-91 
Won  Tue, Nov 25 vs San Francisco State  94-46 
Lost Sat, Nov 29 @  Pacific             54-68 
     Tue, Dec 02 @  Baylor             
     Sat, Dec 20 @  California Baptist 
     Mon, Dec 22 @  CSU Northridge     
     Thu, Jan 01 @  Idaho St.          

0
Sacramento St.
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 8

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Sacramento St.
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
4% 7% 8% 10% 10% 11% 11% 12% 13% 14%
Montana St. 0
Montana St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Nov 15 @  Boise St.           58-62 
Won  Thu, Nov 20 vs Nobel               92-55 
Won  Fri, Nov 21 @  Long Beach St.      78-72 
Lost Sat, Nov 29 @  Utah St.            81-84 
     Wed, Dec 03 vs St. Thomas         
     Sat, Dec 06 @  O. Roberts         
     Sat, Dec 13 @  Oregon St.         
     Tue, Dec 16 @  Cal Poly           

0
Montana St.
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 9

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Montana St.
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
4% 6% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11% 12% 13% 14%
Eastern Washington 0
Eastern Washington Recent Games

Lost Wed, Nov 12 @  Seattle             67-94 
Won  Mon, Nov 17 vs Eastern Oregon      91-73 
Lost Sun, Nov 23 @  C Arkansas          65-92 
Lost Tue, Nov 25 @  North Texas         71-79 
     Wed, Dec 03 @  Denver             
     Sat, Dec 06 vs UMKC               
     Fri, Dec 12 vs California Baptist 
     Wed, Dec 17 @  Washington St.     

0
Eastern Washington
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 10

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Eastern Washington
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 11% 14% 17% 27%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(3) Lumberjacks 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 73%
(10)Eastern Washington 0 0 5%
(8)Sacramento St. 0 0 4%
(9)Montana St. 0 0 4%
(7)Weber St. 0 0 3%
(6)Montana 0 0 3%
(5)Idaho St. 0 0 3%
(4)Idaho 0 0 2%
(2)Portland St. 0 0 2%
(1)Northern Colorado 0 0 1%
Elimination X



Lumberjacks Conference Schedule
Current Week 5
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
9 Montana
(4‑4)
  Away Thu Jan 1, 6:00 pm
9 Montana St.
(3‑5)
  Away Sat Jan 3, 8:00 pm
10 Weber St.
(3‑4)
  Home Thu Jan 8, 8:00 pm
10 Idaho St.
(4‑4)
  Home Sat Jan 10, 8:00 pm
11 Sacramento St.
(4‑5)
  Away Thu Jan 15, 10:00 pm
11 Portland St.
(4‑2)
  Away Sat Jan 17, 5:00 pm
12 Montana
(4‑4)
  Home Mon Jan 19, 8:00 pm
12 Northern Colorado
(7‑1)
  Home Sat Jan 24, 8:00 pm
13 Eastern Washington
(1‑6)
  Home Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm
13 Idaho
(4‑3)
  Home Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm
14 Idaho St.
(4‑4)
  Away Thu Feb 5, 9:00 pm
14 Weber St.
(3‑4)
  Away Sat Feb 7, 9:00 pm
15 Portland St.
(4‑2)
  Home Thu Feb 12, 8:00 pm
15 Sacramento St.
(4‑5)
  Home Sat Feb 14, 8:00 pm
16 Northern Colorado
(7‑1)
  Away Sat Feb 21, 8:00 pm
17 Idaho
(4‑3)
  Away Thu Feb 26, 9:00 pm
17 Eastern Washington
(1‑6)
  Away Sat Feb 28, 4:00 pm
18 Montana St.
(3‑5)
  Home Mon Mar 2, 8:00 pm


Lumberjacks Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Drake
(5‑3)
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 71‑77 Away Mon Nov 3
1 Justice College ‑‑ 87‑55 Home Fri Nov 7
2 Arizona
(7‑0)
Big 12Big 12 49‑84 Away Tue Nov 11
3 Embry-Riddle (AZ) ‑‑ 108‑79 Home Tue Nov 18, 8:00 pm
4 Cal Poly
(4‑5)
Big WestBig West 93‑87 Home Mon Nov 24, 8:00 pm
4 SE Missouri St.
(2‑6)
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 79‑72 Home Wed Nov 26, 8:00 pm
5 South Dakota St.
(4‑4)
SummitSummit   Home Wed Dec 3, 8:00 pm
5 North Dakota St.
(5‑3)
SummitSummit   Away Sat Dec 6, 8:00 pm
6 Arizona St.
(6‑2)
Big 12Big 12   Away Tue Dec 9, 9:00 pm
6 San Diego
(3‑3)
West CoastWest Coast   Away Sat Dec 13, 6:00 pm
7 Southern Utah
(3‑6)
WACWAC   Home Thu Dec 18, 7:00 pm
7 Incarnate Word
(4‑3)
SouthlandSouth-land   Away Sun Dec 21, 3:00 pm
9 Benedictine (AZ) ‑‑   Home Mon Dec 29, 8:00 pm