Where are the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Northern Arizona standings table presents the probabilities of the Lumberjacks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| Portland St. | 4i Portland St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 01 @ Weber St. 95-90 Won Sat, Jan 03 @ Idaho St. 93-87 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Sacram. St. 96-69 Won Thu, Jan 15 vs Northern Colorado 76-73 Sat, Jan 17 vs Northern Arizona Thu, Jan 22 @ Eastern Washington Sat, Jan 24 @ Idaho Thu, Jan 29 vs Montana |
0 | 4 | 53% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Weber St. | 4 Weber St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 vs Sacram. St. 95-82 Won Thu, Jan 08 @ Northern Arizona 78-65 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Northern Colorado 76-71 Won Thu, Jan 15 vs Eastern Washington 91-80 Sat, Jan 17 vs Idaho Thu, Jan 22 @ Montana Sat, Jan 24 @ Montana St. Sat, Jan 31 vs Idaho St. |
1 | 5 | 12% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Montana | 3 Montana Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 01 vs Northern Arizona 78-64 Won Sat, Jan 03 vs Northern Colorado 88-79 Won Thu, Jan 08 @ Idaho 79-73 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Eastern Washington 65-66 Sat, Jan 17 @ Montana St. Mon, Jan 19 @ Northern Arizona Thu, Jan 22 vs Weber St. Sat, Jan 24 vs Idaho St. |
1 | 4 | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Montana St. | 3 Montana St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 01 vs Northern Colorado 89-75 Won Sat, Jan 03 vs Northern Arizona 77-68 Won Thu, Jan 08 @ Eastern Washington 68-64 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Idaho 89-92 Sat, Jan 17 vs Montana Mon, Jan 19 @ Northern Colorado Thu, Jan 22 vs Idaho St. Sat, Jan 24 vs Weber St. |
1 | 4 | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Idaho St. | 3 Idaho St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Portland St. 87-93 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ Northern Colorado 72-85 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Northern Arizona 81-79 Won Thu, Jan 15 vs Idaho 76-68 Sat, Jan 17 vs Eastern Washington Thu, Jan 22 @ Montana St. Sat, Jan 24 @ Montana Sat, Jan 31 @ Weber St. |
2 | 5 | 7% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Idaho | 2 Idaho Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 vs Eastern Washington 84-81 Lost Thu, Jan 08 vs Montana 73-79 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Montana St. 92-89 Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ Idaho St. 68-76 Sat, Jan 17 @ Weber St. Thu, Jan 22 vs Sacram. St. Sat, Jan 24 vs Portland St. Thu, Jan 29 @ Northern Colorado |
2 | 4 | 6% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Eastern Washington | 1 Eastern Washington Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ Idaho 81-84 Lost Thu, Jan 08 vs Montana St. 64-68 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Montana 66-65 Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ Weber St. 80-91 Sat, Jan 17 @ Idaho St. Thu, Jan 22 vs Portland St. Sat, Jan 24 vs Sacram. St. Thu, Jan 29 @ Northern Arizona |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 21% | 29% | 29% |
| Sacramento St. | 1 Sacramento St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 01 @ Idaho St. 84-97 Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ Weber St. 82-95 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Portland St. 69-96 Won Thu, Jan 15 vs Northern Arizona 83-69 Sat, Jan 17 vs Northern Colorado Thu, Jan 22 @ Idaho Sat, Jan 24 @ Eastern Washington Thu, Jan 29 vs Montana St. |
3 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 23% | 25% | 16% |
| Northern Colorado | 1 Northern Colorado Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ Montana 79-88 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs Idaho St. 85-72 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Weber St. 71-76 Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ Portland St. 73-76 Sat, Jan 17 @ Sacram. St. Mon, Jan 19 vs Montana St. Sat, Jan 24 @ Northern Arizona Thu, Jan 29 vs Idaho |
4 | 5 | 2% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% |
| Northern Arizona | 0 Northern Arizona Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ Montana St. 68-77 Lost Thu, Jan 08 vs Weber St. 65-78 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Idaho St. 79-81 Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ Sacram. St. 69-83 Sat, Jan 17 @ Portland St. Mon, Jan 19 vs Montana Sat, Jan 24 vs Northern Colorado Thu, Jan 29 vs Eastern Washington |
5 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 27% | 49% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 4% | ||
| (7)Eastern Washington | 1 | 3 | 40% |
| (8)Sacramento St. | 1 | 3 | 28% |
| (9)Northern Colorado | 1 | 4 | 7% |
| (6)Idaho | 2 | 2 | 6% |
| (3)Montana | 3 | 1 | 5% |
| (5)Idaho St. | 3 | 2 | 4% |
| (4)Montana St. | 3 | 1 | 4% |
| (2)Weber St. | 4 | 1 | 2% |
| (1)Portland St. | 4 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Montana (9‑8) |
64‑78 | Away | Thu Jan 1, 6:00 pm |
| 9 | Montana St. (9‑8) |
68‑77 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Weber St. (10‑8) |
65‑78 | Home | Thu Jan 8, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Idaho St. (10‑8) |
79‑81 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Sacramento St. (5‑11) |
69‑83 | Away | Thu Jan 15, 10:00 pm |
| 11 | Portland St. (10‑5) |
Away | Sat Jan 17, 5:00 pm | |
| 12 | Montana (9‑8) |
Home | Mon Jan 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Northern Colorado (11‑7) |
Home | Sat Jan 24, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Eastern Washington (3‑14) |
Home | Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Idaho (10‑7) |
Home | Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Idaho St. (10‑8) |
Away | Thu Feb 5, 9:00 pm | |
| 14 | Weber St. (10‑8) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 9:00 pm | |
| 15 | Portland St. (10‑5) |
Home | Thu Feb 12, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Sacramento St. (5‑11) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Northern Colorado (11‑7) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | Idaho (10‑7) |
Away | Thu Feb 26, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | Eastern Washington (3‑14) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 4:00 pm | |
| 18 | Montana St. (9‑8) |
Home | Mon Mar 2, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake (9‑9) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 71‑77 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Justice College | ‑‑ | 87‑55 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 2 | Arizona (16‑0) |
Big 12Big 12 | 49‑84 | Away | Tue Nov 11 |
| 3 | Embry-Riddle (AZ) | ‑‑ | 108‑79 | Home | Tue Nov 18, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | Cal Poly (7‑12) |
Big WestBig West | 93‑87 | Home | Mon Nov 24, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | SE Missouri St. (8‑9) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 79‑72 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | South Dakota St. (9‑10) |
SummitSummit | 62‑75 | Home | Wed Dec 3, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | North Dakota St. (15‑5) |
SummitSummit | 68‑69 | Away | Sat Dec 6, 8:00 pm |
| 6 | Arizona St. (9‑7) |
Big 12Big 12 | 48‑73 | Away | Tue Dec 9, 9:00 pm |
| 6 | San Diego (7‑11) |
West CoastWest Coast | 69‑78 | Away | Sat Dec 13, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Southern Utah (5‑13) |
WACWAC | 65‑57 | Home | Thu Dec 18, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Incarnate Word (8‑8) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 66‑90 | Away | Sun Dec 21, 3:00 pm |
| 9 | Benedictine (AZ) | ‑‑ | 112‑60 | Home | Mon Dec 29, 8:00 pm |