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Tue Dec 23 12:30 am

Big Sky Basketball - Week 8 of 18

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Standings

Where are the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Northern Arizona standings table presents the probabilities of the Lumberjacks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Big Sky Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
Li
Schedule Content
Number of Loses
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Remaining Games Venue
GPi
Schedule Content
Games Played
18 game season
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10
Northern Colorado 0i
Northern Colorado Recent Games

Won  Wed, Dec 03 @  Nebraska O.         75-70 
Won  Sat, Dec 06 vs South Dakota        89-87 
Lost Tue, Dec 16 @  Texas Tech          90-101
Lost Sat, Dec 20 vs Denver              79-86 
     Sun, Dec 28 @  Colorado           
     Thu, Jan 01 @  Montana St.        
     Sat, Jan 03 @  Montana            
     Thu, Jan 08 vs Idaho St.          

0i
Northern Colorado
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 1

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0i
Northern Colorado
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
31% 19% 14% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Idaho 0
Idaho Recent Games

Won  Sat, Dec 06 @  South Dakota St.    84-81 
Lost Wed, Dec 10 @  Notre Dame          65-80 
Won  Sun, Dec 14 vs Evergreen State    109-55 
Won  Sun, Dec 21 @  Cal Poly            83-80 
     Tue, Dec 23 @  CSU Bakersfield    
     Sat, Jan 03 vs Eastern Washington 
     Thu, Jan 08 vs Montana            
     Sat, Jan 10 vs Montana St.        

0
Idaho
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 2

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Idaho
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
24% 18% 14% 11% 9% 8% 6% 5% 3% 1%
Portland St. 0
Portland St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Dec 06 vs Nebraska O.         55-60 
Won  Sat, Dec 13 vs George Fox          94-50 
Lost Wed, Dec 17 @  Colorado            73-84 
Lost Sat, Dec 20 @  Tulane              61-63 
     Thu, Jan 01 @  Weber St.          
     Sat, Jan 03 @  Idaho St.          
     Sat, Jan 10 vs Sacram. St.        
     Thu, Jan 15 vs Northern Colorado  

0
Portland St.
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 3

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Portland St.
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
12% 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 9% 7% 5%
Idaho St. 0
Idaho St. Recent Games

Won  Sat, Dec 06 vs Denver              93-79 
Lost Wed, Dec 10 @  Utah Valley         69-73 
Won  Thu, Dec 18 vs Montana-Western     80-64 
Lost Sun, Dec 21 vs UC Davis            83-93 
     Thu, Jan 01 vs Sacram. St.        
     Sat, Jan 03 vs Portland St.       
     Thu, Jan 08 @  Northern Colorado  
     Sat, Jan 10 @  Northern Arizona   

0
Idaho St.
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 4

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Idaho St.
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
11% 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 7% 5%
Montana St. 0
Montana St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Dec 06 @  O. Roberts          68-72 
Lost Sat, Dec 13 @  Oregon St.          57-67 
Won  Tue, Dec 16 @  Cal Poly            83-80 
Won  Mon, Dec 22 vs Northwest University  93-54 
     Thu, Jan 01 vs Northern Colorado  
     Sat, Jan 03 vs Northern Arizona   
     Thu, Jan 08 @  Eastern Washington 
     Sat, Jan 10 @  Idaho              

0
Montana St.
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 5

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Montana St.
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
7% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8%
Weber St. 0
Weber St. Recent Games

Won  Wed, Dec 10 @  UMKC                64-60 
Lost Wed, Dec 17 @  Utah Valley         74-90 
Lost Sat, Dec 20 vs Utah Tech           80-82 
Won  Mon, Dec 22 vs Lincoln University (CA) 103-64 
     Thu, Jan 01 vs Portland St.       
     Sat, Jan 03 vs Sacram. St.        
     Thu, Jan 08 @  Northern Arizona   
     Sat, Jan 10 @  Northern Colorado  

0
Weber St.
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 6

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Weber St.
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
5% 8% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 12% 11% 10%
Northern Arizona 0
Northern Arizona Recent Games

Lost Tue, Dec 09 @  Arizona St.         48-73 
Lost Sat, Dec 13 @  San Diego           69-78 
Won  Thu, Dec 18 vs Southern Utah       65-57 
Lost Sun, Dec 21 @  Incarnate W.        66-90 
     Mon, Dec 29 vs Benedictine (AZ)   
     Thu, Jan 01 @  Montana            
     Sat, Jan 03 @  Montana St.        
     Thu, Jan 08 vs Weber St.          

0
Northern Arizona
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 7

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Northern Arizona
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
3% 6% 8% 10% 10% 11% 12% 13% 13% 13%
Montana 0
Montana Recent Games

Won  Sat, Dec 06 @  North Dakota        79-75 
Won  Wed, Dec 10 vs Salish Kootenai    102-46 
Lost Wed, Dec 17 vs Montana Tech        75-82 
Lost Sat, Dec 20 @  Louisville          54-94 
     Thu, Jan 01 vs Northern Arizona   
     Sat, Jan 03 vs Northern Colorado  
     Thu, Jan 08 @  Idaho              
     Sat, Jan 10 @  Eastern Washington 

0
Montana
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 8

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Montana
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 14%
Sacramento St. 0
Sacramento St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Nov 29 @  Pacific             54-68 
Lost Tue, Dec 02 @  Baylor              88-110
Lost Sat, Dec 20 @  California Baptist  67-74 
Lost Mon, Dec 22 @  CSU Northridge      88-100
     Thu, Jan 01 @  Idaho St.          
     Sat, Jan 03 @  Weber St.          
     Sat, Jan 10 @  Portland St.       
     Thu, Jan 15 vs Northern Arizona   

0
Sacramento St.
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 9

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Sacramento St.
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 16%
Eastern Washington 0
Eastern Washington Recent Games

Lost Fri, Dec 12 vs California Baptist  83-88 
Lost Wed, Dec 17 vs Washington St.      63-78 
Lost Sat, Dec 20 @  Utah                77-101
Lost Mon, Dec 22 @  BYU                 81-109
     Sat, Jan 03 @  Idaho              
     Thu, Jan 08 vs Montana St.        
     Sat, Jan 10 vs Montana            
     Thu, Jan 15 @  Weber St.          

0
Eastern Washington
Remaining Games Venue


SOS      - 50%
SOS Rank - 10

All   Home      
Most  Home      
Equal           
Most  Away      
All   Away      

0
Eastern Washington
Two-Team Tiebreaker Status


Has Won              
Currently Ahead      
Currently Equal      
Currently Behind     
Has Lost             

more infoi
1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 10% 12% 14% 18% 27%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(7) Lumberjacks 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 49%
(10)Eastern Washington 0 0 12%
(9)Sacramento St. 0 0 8%
(8)Montana 0 0 8%
(6)Weber St. 0 0 6%
(5)Montana St. 0 0 5%
(4)Idaho St. 0 0 4%
(3)Portland St. 0 0 4%
(2)Idaho 0 0 2%
(1)Northern Colorado 0 0 1%
Elimination X



Lumberjacks Conference Schedule
Current Week 9
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
9 Montana
(6‑7)
  Away Thu Jan 1, 6:00 pm
9 Montana St.
(6‑7)
  Away Sat Jan 3, 8:00 pm
10 Weber St.
(6‑7)
  Home Thu Jan 8, 8:00 pm
10 Idaho St.
(7‑6)
  Home Sat Jan 10, 8:00 pm
11 Sacramento St.
(4‑8)
  Away Thu Jan 15, 10:00 pm
11 Portland St.
(6‑5)
  Away Sat Jan 17, 5:00 pm
12 Montana
(6‑7)
  Home Mon Jan 19, 8:00 pm
12 Northern Colorado
(9‑3)
  Home Sat Jan 24, 8:00 pm
13 Eastern Washington
(2‑11)
  Home Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm
13 Idaho
(8‑4)
  Home Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm
14 Idaho St.
(7‑6)
  Away Thu Feb 5, 9:00 pm
14 Weber St.
(6‑7)
  Away Sat Feb 7, 9:00 pm
15 Portland St.
(6‑5)
  Home Thu Feb 12, 8:00 pm
15 Sacramento St.
(4‑8)
  Home Sat Feb 14, 8:00 pm
16 Northern Colorado
(9‑3)
  Away Sat Feb 21, 8:00 pm
17 Idaho
(8‑4)
  Away Thu Feb 26, 9:00 pm
17 Eastern Washington
(2‑11)
  Away Sat Feb 28, 4:00 pm
18 Montana St.
(6‑7)
  Home Mon Mar 2, 8:00 pm


Lumberjacks Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Drake
(7‑6)
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 71‑77 Away Mon Nov 3
1 Justice College ‑‑ 87‑55 Home Fri Nov 7
2 Arizona
(11‑0)
Big 12Big 12 49‑84 Away Tue Nov 11
3 Embry-Riddle (AZ) ‑‑ 108‑79 Home Tue Nov 18, 8:00 pm
4 Cal Poly
(5‑9)
Big WestBig West 93‑87 Home Mon Nov 24, 8:00 pm
4 SE Missouri St.
(5‑7)
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 79‑72 Home Wed Nov 26, 8:00 pm
5 South Dakota St.
(7‑7)
SummitSummit 62‑75 Home Wed Dec 3, 8:00 pm
5 North Dakota St.
(10‑5)
SummitSummit 68‑69 Away Sat Dec 6, 8:00 pm
6 Arizona St.
(8‑4)
Big 12Big 12 48‑73 Away Tue Dec 9, 9:00 pm
6 San Diego
(5‑6)
West CoastWest Coast 69‑78 Away Sat Dec 13, 6:00 pm
7 Southern Utah
(4‑9)
WACWAC 65‑57 Home Thu Dec 18, 7:00 pm
7 Incarnate Word
(6‑5)
SouthlandSouth-land 66‑90 Away Sun Dec 21, 3:00 pm
9 Benedictine (AZ) ‑‑   Home Mon Dec 29, 8:00 pm