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Sun Jan 12 11:45 am

Big Sky Basketball - Week 11 of 18

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Standings

Where are the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Northern Arizona standings table presents the probabilities of the Lumberjacks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Big Sky Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
 L GPi
Games Played
18 game season
 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5*
First Round Bye
 6*
First Round Bye
 7 8 9 10
Northern Colorado 4i
Northern Colorado Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 02 vs Weber St.           89-72 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs Idaho St.           93-92 
Won  Thu, Jan 09 @  Montana St.         83-82 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 @  Montana             81-57 
     Thu, Jan 16 vs Portland St.       
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Sacram. St.        
     Thu, Jan 23 @  Idaho              
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Eastern Washington 

 0 4 59% 22% 10% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Montana 3
Montana Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 02 @  Eastern Washington  92-81 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 @  Idaho               73-71 
Won  Thu, Jan 09 vs Northern Arizona    81-76 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Northern Colorado   57-81 
     Thu, Jan 16 @  Weber St.          
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Idaho St.          
     Mon, Jan 20 vs Idaho              
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Montana St.        

 1 4 25% 34% 17% 11% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Portland St. 2
Portland St. Recent Games

Won  Tue, Dec 31 vs Walla Walla         96-39 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Sacram. St.         53-56 
Won  Thu, Jan 09 vs Eastern Washington  64-59 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs Idaho               75-63 
     Thu, Jan 16 @  Northern Colorado  
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Northern Arizona   
     Thu, Jan 23 vs Weber St.          
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Idaho St.          

 1 3 9% 15% 18% 14% 12% 10% 8% 7% 4% 2%
Idaho 2
Idaho Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 02 vs Montana St.         69-64 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Montana             71-73 
Won  Thu, Jan 09 @  Sacram. St.         80-67 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  Portland St.        63-75 
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Eastern Washington 
     Mon, Jan 20 @  Montana            
     Thu, Jan 23 vs Northern Colorado  
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Northern Arizona   

 2 4 2% 5% 10% 13% 14% 14% 14% 13% 11% 5%
Eastern Washington 2
Eastern Washington Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs Montana             81-92 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs Montana St.         68-63 
Lost Thu, Jan 09 @  Portland St.        59-64 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 @  Sacram. St.         65-54 
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Idaho              
     Mon, Jan 20 @  Montana St.        
     Thu, Jan 23 vs Northern Arizona   
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Northern Colorado  

 2 4 1% 4% 8% 11% 13% 14% 14% 14% 13% 7%
Weber St. 1
Weber St. Recent Games

Lost Sun, Dec 29 @  Oregon              49-89 
Lost Thu, Jan 02 @  Northern Colorado   72-89 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Northern Arizona    77-80 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 @  Idaho St.           77-69 
     Thu, Jan 16 vs Montana            
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Montana St.        
     Thu, Jan 23 @  Portland St.       
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Sacram. St.        

 2 3 2% 7% 11% 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 7%
Sacramento St. 1
Sacramento St. Recent Games

Won  Mon, Dec 30 vs Bethesda (CA)       78-38 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs Portland St.        56-53 
Lost Thu, Jan 09 vs Idaho               67-80 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Eastern Washington  54-65 
     Thu, Jan 16 @  Northern Arizona   
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Northern Colorado  
     Thu, Jan 23 vs Idaho St.          
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Weber St.          

 2 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 13% 21% 47%
Idaho St. 1
Idaho St. Recent Games

Lost Wed, Dec 18 vs Utah Valley         56-70 
Won  Thu, Jan 02 @  Northern Arizona    72-67 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Northern Colorado   92-93 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Weber St.           69-77 
     Thu, Jan 16 vs Montana St.        
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Montana            
     Thu, Jan 23 @  Sacram. St.        
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Portland St.       

 2 3 1% 4% 8% 10% 12% 13% 13% 14% 14% 11%
Montana St. 1
Montana St. Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 02 @  Idaho               64-69 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Eastern Washington  63-68 
Lost Thu, Jan 09 vs Northern Colorado   82-83 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs Northern Arizona    58-53 
     Thu, Jan 16 @  Idaho St.          
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Weber St.          
     Mon, Jan 20 vs Eastern Washington 
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Montana            

 3 4 1% 3% 7% 10% 12% 13% 14% 15% 15% 12%
Northern Arizona 1
Northern Arizona Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs Idaho St.           67-72 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs Weber St.           80-77 
Lost Thu, Jan 09 @  Montana             76-81 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  Montana St.         53-58 
     Thu, Jan 16 vs Sacram. St.        
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Portland St.       
     Thu, Jan 23 @  Eastern Washington 
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Idaho              

 3 4 2% 5% 10% 12% 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 8%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(10) Lumberjacks 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 55%
(7)Sacramento St. 1 2 12%
(9)Montana St. 1 3 7%
(5)Eastern Washington 2 2 6%
(8)Idaho St. 1 2 6%
(6)Weber St. 1 2 5%
(4)Idaho 2 2 5%
(3)Portland St. 2 1 2%
(2)Montana 3 1 1%
(1)Northern Colorado 4 0 <1%
Elimination X



Lumberjacks Conference Schedule
Current Week 11
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
9 Idaho St.
(6‑8)		 67‑72 Home Thu Jan 2, 8:00 pm
9 Weber St.
(7‑10)		 80‑77 Home Sat Jan 4, 4:00 pm
10 Montana
(10‑7)		 76‑81 Away Thu Jan 9, 9:00 pm
10 Montana St.
(6‑11)		 53‑58 Away Sat Jan 11, 8:00 pm
11 Sacramento St.
(5‑11)		   Home Thu Jan 16, 8:00 pm
11 Portland St.
(10‑6)		   Home Sat Jan 18, 8:00 pm
12 Eastern Washington
(6‑11)		   Away Thu Jan 23, 9:00 pm
12 Idaho
(7‑10)		   Away Sat Jan 25, 3:00 pm
13 Northern Colorado
(12‑5)		   Away Sat Feb 1, 4:00 pm
14 Weber St.
(7‑10)		   Away Mon Feb 3, 8:00 pm
14 Montana St.
(6‑11)		   Home Thu Feb 6, 8:00 pm
14 Montana
(10‑7)		   Home Sat Feb 8, 8:00 pm
15 Portland St.
(10‑6)		   Away Thu Feb 13, 10:00 pm
15 Sacramento St.
(5‑11)		   Away Sat Feb 15, 4:00 pm
16 Idaho
(7‑10)		   Home Thu Feb 20, 8:00 pm
16 Eastern Washington
(6‑11)		   Home Sat Feb 22, 4:00 pm
17 Northern Colorado
(12‑5)		   Home Sat Mar 1, 9:00 pm
18 Idaho St.
(6‑8)		   Away Mon Mar 3, 9:00 pm


Lumberjacks Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Park (AZ) ‑‑ 100‑49 Home Mon Nov 4, 8:00 pm
1 Nelson ‑‑ 115‑67 Home Fri Nov 8, 8:00 pm
2 Stanford
(11‑5)		 ACCACC 64‑90 Away Tue Nov 12, 10:00 pm
2 Pacific
(6‑14)		 West CoastWest Coast 60‑57 Away Thu Nov 14, 10:00 pm
3 Embry-Riddle (AZ) ‑‑ 82‑47 Home Tue Nov 19, 2:00 pm
3 Incarnate Word
(9‑7)		 SouthlandSouth-land 75‑74 Home Fri Nov 22, 8:00 pm
4 Eastern Michigan
(7‑9)		 MACMAC 68‑72 Home Tue Nov 26, 9:00 pm
4 Houston Christian
(6‑10)		 SouthlandSouth-land 74‑71 Away Wed Nov 27, 8:00 pm
5 Oral Roberts
(5‑11)		 SummitSummit 76‑83 Away Wed Dec 4, 8:00 pm
5 South Dakota
(10‑8)		 SummitSummit 95‑82 Home Sat Dec 7, 2:00 pm
6 Pepperdine
(7‑10)		 West CoastWest Coast 76‑86 Away Sat Dec 14, 9:00 pm
7 Southern Utah
(9‑8)		 WACWAC 83‑75 Away Sat Dec 21, 4:00 pm
9 Benedictine Mesa ‑‑ 110‑74 Home Mon Dec 30, 8:00 pm