Where are the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Northern Arizona standings table presents the probabilities of the Lumberjacks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| Portland St. | 11i Portland St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Montana St. 63-54 Won Mon, Feb 02 vs Idaho St. 88-65 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Sacram. St. 74-73 Won Thu, Feb 12 @ Northern Arizona 77-68 Sat, Feb 14 @ Northern Colorado Thu, Feb 19 vs Idaho Sat, Feb 21 vs Eastern Washington Thu, Feb 26 @ Montana St. |
1 | 12 | 92% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Montana St. | 8 Montana St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ Sacram. St. 80-83 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Portland St. 54-63 Won Thu, Feb 05 vs Idaho 73-66 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Eastern Washington 71-72 Sat, Feb 14 @ Montana Thu, Feb 19 @ Weber St. Sat, Feb 21 @ Idaho St. Thu, Feb 26 vs Portland St. |
4 | 12 | 5% | 47% | 31% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Montana | 8 Montana Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 29 @ Portland St. 64-60 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Sacram. St. 79-86 Lost Thu, Feb 05 vs Eastern Washington 74-82 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Idaho 73-68 Sat, Feb 14 vs Montana St. Thu, Feb 19 @ Idaho St. Sat, Feb 21 @ Weber St. Thu, Feb 26 vs Sacram. St. |
4 | 12 | 4% | 38% | 33% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Weber St. | 7 Weber St. Recent Games Lost Mon, Feb 02 @ Sacram. St. 90-104 Lost Thu, Feb 05 vs Northern Colorado 74-88 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Northern Arizona 72-53 Won Thu, Feb 12 @ Idaho 83-72 Sat, Feb 14 @ Eastern Washington Thu, Feb 19 vs Montana St. Sat, Feb 21 vs Montana Sat, Feb 28 @ Idaho St. |
6 | 13 | <1% | 4% | 13% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Eastern Washington | 6 Eastern Washington Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Northern Colorado 71-74 Won Thu, Feb 05 @ Montana 82-74 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Montana St. 72-71 Won Thu, Feb 12 vs Idaho St. 88-75 Sat, Feb 14 vs Weber St. Thu, Feb 19 @ Sacram. St. Sat, Feb 21 @ Portland St. Thu, Feb 26 vs Northern Colorado |
6 | 12 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 19% | 3% | <1% |
| Northern Colorado | 6 Northern Colorado Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Eastern Washington 74-71 Won Thu, Feb 05 @ Weber St. 88-74 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Idaho St. 69-61 Won Thu, Feb 12 vs Sacram. St. 95-79 Sat, Feb 14 vs Portland St. Sat, Feb 21 vs Northern Arizona Thu, Feb 26 @ Eastern Washington Sat, Feb 28 @ Idaho |
7 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| Idaho | 5 Idaho Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Northern Arizona 79-62 Lost Thu, Feb 05 @ Montana St. 66-73 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Montana 68-73 Lost Thu, Feb 12 vs Weber St. 72-83 Sat, Feb 14 vs Idaho St. Thu, Feb 19 @ Portland St. Sat, Feb 21 @ Sacram. St. Thu, Feb 26 vs Northern Arizona |
7 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 6% | 2% |
| Sacramento St. | 5 Sacramento St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Montana 86-79 Won Mon, Feb 02 vs Weber St. 104-90 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Portland St. 73-74 Lost Thu, Feb 12 @ Northern Colorado 79-95 Sat, Feb 14 @ Northern Arizona Thu, Feb 19 vs Eastern Washington Sat, Feb 21 vs Idaho Thu, Feb 26 @ Montana |
7 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 29% | 9% | 3% |
| Northern Arizona | 3 Northern Arizona Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Idaho 62-79 Won Thu, Feb 05 @ Idaho St. 79-73 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Weber St. 53-72 Lost Thu, Feb 12 vs Portland St. 68-77 Sat, Feb 14 vs Sacram. St. Sat, Feb 21 @ Northern Colorado Thu, Feb 26 @ Idaho Sat, Feb 28 @ Eastern Washington |
10 | 13 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 36% | 55% |
| Idaho St. | 3 Idaho St. Recent Games Lost Mon, Feb 02 @ Portland St. 65-88 Lost Thu, Feb 05 vs Northern Arizona 73-79 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Northern Colorado 61-69 Lost Thu, Feb 12 @ Eastern Washington 75-88 Sat, Feb 14 @ Idaho Thu, Feb 19 vs Montana Sat, Feb 21 vs Montana St. Sat, Feb 28 vs Weber St. |
10 | 13 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 44% | 40% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 1% | ||
| (10)Idaho St. | 3 | 10 | 77% |
| (8)Sacramento St. | 5 | 7 | 11% |
| (7)Idaho | 5 | 7 | 7% |
| (5)Eastern Washington | 6 | 6 | 2% |
| (6)Northern Colorado | 6 | 7 | 1% |
| (4)Weber St. | 7 | 6 | 1% |
| (2)Montana St. | 8 | 4 | <1% |
| (3)Montana | 8 | 4 | <1% |
| (1)Portland St. | 11 | 1 | X |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Montana (14‑11) |
64‑78 | Away | Thu Jan 1, 6:00 pm |
| 9 | Montana St. (14‑11) |
68‑77 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Weber St. (13‑13) |
65‑78 | Home | Thu Jan 8, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Idaho St. (10‑16) |
79‑81 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Sacramento St. (9‑15) |
69‑83 | Away | Thu Jan 15, 10:00 pm |
| 11 | Portland St. (17‑6) |
52‑63 | Away | Sat Jan 17, 5:00 pm |
| 12 | Montana (14‑11) |
72‑98 | Home | Mon Jan 19, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | Northern Colorado (16‑10) |
81‑77 | Home | Sat Jan 24, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Eastern Washington (8‑17) |
92‑86 | Home | Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Idaho (13‑12) |
62‑79 | Home | Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm |
| 14 | Idaho St. (10‑16) |
79‑73 | Away | Thu Feb 5, 9:00 pm |
| 14 | Weber St. (13‑13) |
53‑72 | Away | Sat Feb 7, 9:00 pm |
| 15 | Portland St. (17‑6) |
68‑77 | Home | Thu Feb 12, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Sacramento St. (9‑15) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Northern Colorado (16‑10) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | Idaho (13‑12) |
Away | Thu Feb 26, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | Eastern Washington (8‑17) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 4:00 pm | |
| 18 | Montana St. (14‑11) |
Home | Mon Mar 2, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake (12‑15) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 71‑77 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Justice College | ‑‑ | 87‑55 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 2 | Arizona (23‑1) |
Big 12Big 12 | 49‑84 | Away | Tue Nov 11 |
| 3 | Embry-Riddle (AZ) | ‑‑ | 108‑79 | Home | Tue Nov 18, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | Cal Poly (10‑16) |
Big WestBig West | 93‑87 | Home | Mon Nov 24, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | SE Missouri St. (15‑11) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 79‑72 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | South Dakota St. (11‑15) |
SummitSummit | 62‑75 | Home | Wed Dec 3, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | North Dakota St. (20‑6) |
SummitSummit | 68‑69 | Away | Sat Dec 6, 8:00 pm |
| 6 | Arizona St. (13‑12) |
Big 12Big 12 | 48‑73 | Away | Tue Dec 9, 9:00 pm |
| 6 | San Diego (11‑16) |
West CoastWest Coast | 69‑78 | Away | Sat Dec 13, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Southern Utah (8‑17) |
WACWAC | 65‑57 | Home | Thu Dec 18, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Incarnate Word (10‑15) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 66‑90 | Away | Sun Dec 21, 3:00 pm |
| 9 | Benedictine (AZ) | ‑‑ | 112‑60 | Home | Mon Dec 29, 8:00 pm |