Where are the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Northern Arizona standings table presents the probabilities of the Lumberjacks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| Northern Colorado | 0i Northern Colorado Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 12 vs Colo. Christian 113-56 Won Thu, Nov 14 @ South Dakota St. 78-69 Lost Mon, Nov 18 @ Washington St. 69-83 Won Wed, Nov 20 @ California Baptist 79-68 Sat, Nov 23 vs Prairie View A&M Fri, Nov 29 @ Texas Tech Wed, Dec 04 vs St. Thomas Sat, Dec 07 @ North Dakota St. |
0 | 0 | 27% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Northern Arizona | 0 Northern Arizona Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 08 vs Nelson 115-67 Lost Tue, Nov 12 @ Stanford 64-90 Won Thu, Nov 14 @ Pacific 60-57 Won Tue, Nov 19 vs Embry-Riddle (AZ) 82-47 Fri, Nov 22 vs Incarnate W. Tue, Nov 26 vs Eastern Michigan Wed, Nov 27 @ H. Christian Wed, Dec 04 @ O. Roberts |
0 | 0 | 19% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 3% |
| Portland St. | 0 Portland St. Recent Games Lost Mon, Nov 04 @ Washington St. 92-100 Won Thu, Nov 07 vs Evergreen St. 131-84 Won Tue, Nov 12 @ San Diego 85-76 Fri, Nov 22 @ Wis. Milwaukee Sat, Nov 23 @ St. Thomas Sun, Nov 24 @ Wofford Sat, Nov 30 vs Utah Tech |
0 | 0 | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Montana | 0 Montana Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 08 @ Oregon 48-79 Won Sun, Nov 10 vs TBD 94-44 Lost Wed, Nov 13 @ Tennessee 57-92 Lost Mon, Nov 18 @ Utah St. 83-95 Sun, Nov 24 vs Denver Mon, Nov 25 vs Utah Tech Wed, Nov 27 vs CSU Northridge Wed, Dec 04 vs South Dakota St. |
0 | 0 | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% |
| Eastern Washington | 0 Eastern Washington Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 06 vs Seattle 93-86 Lost Mon, Nov 11 @ Missouri 77-84 Lost Sun, Nov 17 vs Cal Poly 78-82 Lost Thu, Nov 21 @ Washington St. 81-96 Sat, Nov 23 @ California Baptist Tue, Nov 26 @ UCSB Sat, Nov 30 @ Utah Wed, Dec 04 vs North Dakota |
0 | 0 | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Idaho St. | 0 Idaho St. Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 11 vs Southern Ore. 87-63 Won Sat, Nov 16 @ San Diego 78-66 Lost Mon, Nov 18 @ CSU Fullerton 61-62 Lost Wed, Nov 20 @ UCLA 70-84 Mon, Nov 25 vs Embry-Riddle (FL) Wed, Dec 04 @ South Dakota Sat, Dec 07 vs O. Roberts Sat, Dec 14 vs Walla Walla |
0 | 0 | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% |
| Idaho | 0 Idaho Recent Games Lost Thu, Nov 07 vs UC Davis 75-79 Lost Mon, Nov 11 @ Washington St. 67-90 Lost Sat, Nov 16 @ BYU 71-95 Won Tue, Nov 19 vs Evergreen St. 101-58 Sat, Nov 23 @ Southern Utah Sun, Nov 24 @ San Diego Sat, Nov 30 vs UC Riverside Wed, Dec 04 @ UMKC |
0 | 0 | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% |
| Weber St. | 0 Weber St. Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 04 vs TBD 118-35 Lost Fri, Nov 08 @ Oregon St. 48-76 Lost Wed, Nov 13 @ Nevada 58-88 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Hawai'i 68-73 Fri, Nov 22 vs UC Irvine Mon, Nov 25 vs Justice Col. Fri, Nov 29 vs Bowling Green Wed, Dec 04 vs North Dakota St. |
0 | 0 | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% |
| Montana St. | 0 Montana St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 09 @ Wichita St. 69-89 Won Mon, Nov 11 vs TBD 93-35 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Denver 78-79 Lost Tue, Nov 19 @ N. Western 69-72 Sun, Nov 24 vs Southern Miss Tue, Nov 26 vs Abilene Christian Sat, Nov 30 vs CSU Northridge Wed, Dec 04 @ Nebraska O. |
0 | 0 | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% |
| Sacramento St. | 0 Sacramento St. Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 05 vs Cal Maritime 106-44 Lost Fri, Nov 08 @ Fresno St. 57-64 Lost Tue, Nov 12 @ UC San Diego 54-64 Lost Sat, Nov 16 vs CSU Northridge 69-79 Sun, Nov 24 @ California Wed, Nov 27 @ Air Force Sat, Nov 30 vs Mercyhurst Wed, Dec 04 @ Denver |
0 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 21% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 75% | ||
| (10)Sacramento St. | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| (9)Montana St. | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (7)Idaho | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (8)Weber St. | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (6)Idaho St. | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (5)Eastern Washington | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (4)Montana | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (3)Portland St. | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (1)Northern Colorado | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Idaho St. (2‑4) |
Home | Thu Jan 2, 8:00 pm | |
| 9 | Weber St. (1‑3) |
Home | Sat Jan 4, 4:00 pm | |
| 10 | Montana (2‑3) |
Away | Thu Jan 9, 9:00 pm | |
| 10 | Montana St. (1‑4) |
Away | Sat Jan 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Sacramento St. (1‑3) |
Home | Thu Jan 16, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Portland St. (2‑1) |
Home | Sat Jan 18, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Eastern Washington (1‑4) |
Away | Thu Jan 23, 9:00 pm | |
| 12 | Idaho (2‑3) |
Away | Sat Jan 25, 3:00 pm | |
| 13 | Northern Colorado (4‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 1, 4:00 pm | |
| 14 | Weber St. (1‑3) |
Away | Mon Feb 3, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Montana St. (1‑4) |
Home | Thu Feb 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Montana (2‑3) |
Home | Sat Feb 8, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Portland St. (2‑1) |
Away | Thu Feb 13, 10:00 pm | |
| 15 | Sacramento St. (1‑3) |
Away | Sat Feb 15, 4:00 pm | |
| 16 | Idaho (2‑3) |
Home | Thu Feb 20, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Eastern Washington (1‑4) |
Home | Sat Feb 22, 4:00 pm | |
| 17 | Northern Colorado (4‑2) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 9:00 pm | |
| 18 | Idaho St. (2‑4) |
Away | Mon Mar 3, 9:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Park (AZ) | ‑‑ | 100‑49 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 8:00 pm |
| 1 | Nelson | ‑‑ | 115‑67 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | Stanford (5‑0) |
ACCACC | 64‑90 | Away | Tue Nov 12, 10:00 pm |
| 2 | Pacific (3‑3) |
West CoastWest Coast | 60‑57 | Away | Thu Nov 14, 10:00 pm |
| 3 | Embry-Riddle (AZ) | ‑‑ | 82‑47 | Home | Tue Nov 19, 2:00 pm |
| 3 | Incarnate Word (3‑1) |
SouthlandSouth-land | Home | Fri Nov 22, 8:00 pm | |
| 4 | Eastern Michigan (3‑2) |
MACMAC | Home | Tue Nov 26, 4:30 pm | |
| 4 | Houston Christian (2‑2) |
SouthlandSouth-land | Away | Wed Nov 27, 8:00 pm | |
| 5 | Oral Roberts (2‑4) |
SummitSummit | Away | Wed Dec 4, 8:00 pm | |
| 5 | South Dakota (5‑1) |
SummitSummit | Home | Sat Dec 7, 2:00 am | |
| 6 | Pepperdine (1‑3) |
West CoastWest Coast | Away | Sat Dec 14, 9:00 pm | |
| 7 | Southern Utah (4‑1) |
WACWAC | Away | Sat Dec 21, 4:00 pm | |
| 9 | Benedictine Mesa | ‑‑ | Home | Mon Dec 30, 8:00 pm |