The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| St. Thomas (7‑7‑3) vs Northern Michigan (1‑17) 2 Games Remaining |
18 | St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Ferris State (4‑12) vs Michigan Tech (8‑6‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games | 9% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Augustana (8‑5‑1) vs Bemidji State (9‑8‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Augustana Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Bemidji State Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| St. Thomas (7‑7‑3) vs Northern Michigan (1‑17) |
9 | St. Thomas Wins | 10% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Northern Michigan Wins | 5% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Ferris State (4‑12) vs Michigan Tech (8‑6‑2) |
1 | Ferris State Wins | 9% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 8% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Tech Wins | 9% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Augustana (8‑5‑1) vs Bemidji State (9‑8‑2) |
0 | Augustana Wins | 9% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Bemidji State Wins | 9% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||