The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| St. Thomas (12‑13‑5) vs Northern Michigan (5‑24‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
38 | St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | X | 2% | 13% | 45% | 31% | 8% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 8% | 34% | 32% | 18% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | 5% | 23% | 37% | 35% | ^ | ||
| Minnesota State (20‑8‑2) vs Lake Superior (11‑17‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
20 | Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games | X | 2% | 9% | 44% | 23% | 15% | 7% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 8% | 34% | 32% | 18% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | 6% | 9% | 56% | 21% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Michigan Tech (15‑12‑3) vs Ferris State (11‑17‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
6 | Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | 2% | 44% | 36% | 12% | 5% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 8% | 34% | 32% | 18% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games | X | 2% | 16% | 14% | 23% | 33% | 12% | ^ | ||
| Bowling Green (15‑10‑4) vs Bemidji State (11‑15‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Bowling Green Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | 8% | 35% | 37% | 18% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 8% | 34% | 32% | 18% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games | X | 3% | 8% | 32% | 23% | 18% | 15% | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| St. Thomas (12‑13‑5) vs Northern Michigan (5‑24‑1) |
20 | St. Thomas Wins | X | 1% | 11% | 39% | 32% | 13% | 4% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 8% | 34% | 32% | 18% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan Wins | X | X | 1% | 20% | 34% | 29% | 17% | ^ | ||
| Minnesota State (20‑8‑2) vs Lake Superior (11‑17‑2) |
10 | Minnesota State Wins | X | 1% | 8% | 39% | 27% | 16% | 7% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 8% | 34% | 32% | 18% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior Wins | X | 1% | 8% | 19% | 44% | 21% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Michigan Tech (15‑12‑3) vs Ferris State (11‑17‑2) |
1 | Michigan Tech Wins | X | 1% | 6% | 38% | 34% | 15% | 7% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 8% | 34% | 32% | 18% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Ferris State Wins | X | 2% | 14% | 24% | 26% | 23% | 10% | ^ | ||
| Bowling Green (15‑10‑4) vs Bemidji State (11‑15‑4) |
0 | Bowling Green Wins | X | <1% | 8% | 34% | 35% | 17% | 5% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 8% | 34% | 32% | 18% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Bemidji State Wins | X | 2% | 8% | 33% | 29% | 17% | 11% | ^ | ||