The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| St. Thomas (16‑7‑3) vs Michigan Tech (17‑9‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
16 | St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | 86% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games | 32% | 33% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior (9‑16‑1) vs Augustana (16‑7‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games | 71% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Augustana Sweeps 2 Games | 67% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ferris State (4‑22) vs Minnesota State (13‑8‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games | 69% | 20% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games | 68% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan (2‑24) vs Bemidji State (9‑14‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 68% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games | 68% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| St. Thomas (16‑7‑3) vs Michigan Tech (17‑9‑2) |
7 | St. Thomas Wins | 78% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan Tech Wins | 54% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ferris State (4‑22) vs Minnesota State (13‑8‑5) |
1 | Ferris State Wins | 69% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota State Wins | 68% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior (9‑16‑1) vs Augustana (16‑7‑3) |
1 | Lake Superior Wins | 70% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Augustana Wins | 68% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bemidji State (9‑14‑3) vs Northern Michigan (2‑24) |
0 | Bemidji State Wins | 69% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 68% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan Wins | 68% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||