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Fri Feb 21 11:45 am

Coastal Basketball - Week 16 of 17

Elon Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Elon Phoenix are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phoenix final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Elon Phoenix fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Elon Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Elon Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
Towson
(18‑10)

vs
Campbell
(15‑13)
18 Towson Wins X X <1% 12% 34% 30% 17% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 9% 30% 37% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Campbell Wins X X X 3% 22% 50% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
UNC Wilmington
(21‑6)

vs
William & Mary
(16‑11)
16 UNC Wilmington Wins X X X 12% 29% 36% 17% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 9% 30% 37% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
William & Mary Wins X X <1% 4% 31% 41% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Monmouth
(10‑18)

vs
NortheasternN. Eastern
(15‑13)
1 Monmouth Wins X X <1% 10% 27% 34% 25% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 9% 30% 37% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
NortheasternN. Eastern Wins X X <1% 9% 31% 40% 11% 7% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Stony Brook
(6‑21)

vs
Hampton
(14‑13)
0 Stony Brook Wins X X <1% 9% 30% 37% 18% 5% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 9% 30% 37% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Hampton Wins X X <1% 9% 30% 37% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Charleston
(21‑7)

vs
Drexel
(14‑14)
0 Charleston Wins X X <1% 9% 30% 36% 18% 5% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 9% 30% 37% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Drexel Wins X X <1% 9% 30% 37% 17% 5% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Hofstra
(12‑16)

vs
Delaware
(12‑16)
0 Hofstra Wins X X <1% 9% 30% 38% 17% 5% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 9% 30% 37% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Delaware Wins X X <1% 9% 30% 38% 17% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament