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Fri Feb 21 11:45 am

Coastal Basketball - Week 16 of 17

N. Carolina A&T What If?

The N. Carolina A&T Aggies What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how N. Carolina A&T plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

N. Carolina A&T What If?

Next Game - Stony Brook (6‑21)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
 2*
First and Second
Round Byes
 3*
First and Second
Round Byes
 4*
First and Second
Round Byes
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8**
First Round Bye
 9**
First Round Bye
 10**
First Round Bye
 11 12 13 14
Win Next Game 3 13 X X X X X X X X X X X 6% 80% 14%
Current Standings 2 13 X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 44% 53%
Lose Next Game 2 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 97%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First and Second
Round Byes
 2*
First and Second
Round Byes
 3*
First and Second
Round Byes
 4*
First and Second
Round Byes
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8**
First Round Bye
 9**
First Round Bye
 10**
First Round Bye
 11 12 13 14
Current Standings X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 44% 53%
Best Case Scenario
None 		Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
 2*
First and Second
Round Byes
 3*
First and Second
Round Byes
 4*
First and Second
Round Byes
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8**
First Round Bye
 9**
First Round Bye
 10**
First Round Bye
 11 12 13 14
3 of 3 100% 5 13 X X X X X X X X X X X 68% 32% ^
2 of 3 67% 4 14 X X X X X X X X X X X 4% 81% 16%
1 of 3 33% 3 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X 26% 74%
0 of 3 0% 2 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament