The Most Important Games for the UNC Wilmington Seahawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Seahawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UNC Wilmington Seahawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UNC Wilmington Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UNC Wilmington (12‑5) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (10‑7) |
38 | UNC Wilmington Wins | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Towson (8‑9) vs Hofstra (10‑7) |
1 | Towson Wins | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Hofstra Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Stony Brook (4‑13) vs Delaware (9‑8) |
1 | Stony Brook Wins | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Delaware Wins | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Hampton (9‑8) vs William & Mary (10‑7) |
1 | Hampton Wins | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| William & Mary Wins | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Campbell (7‑9) vs Elon (11‑5) |
1 | Campbell Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Elon Wins | 8% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| N. Carolina A&T (4‑14) vs Monmouth (4‑13) |
1 | N. Carolina A&T Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Monmouth Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||