The Most Important Games for the UNC Wilmington Seahawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Seahawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UNC Wilmington Seahawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UNC Wilmington Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UNC Wilmington (13‑2) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (5‑9) |
20 | UNC Wilmington Wins | 29% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 20% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Drexel (6‑10) vs Stony Brook (9‑7) |
2 | Drexel Wins | 26% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 22% | ||
| Stony Brook Wins | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| N. Carolina A&T (7‑7) vs Elon (8‑6) |
2 | N. Carolina A&T Wins | 26% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 27% | 22% | ||
| Elon Wins | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Hampton (8‑8) vs Campbell (8‑8) |
1 | Hampton Wins | 27% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 27% | 22% | ||
| Campbell Wins | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| William & Mary (11‑4) vs Monmouth (7‑8) |
1 | William & Mary Wins | 26% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 28% | 22% | ||
| Monmouth Wins | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||