The Most Important Games for the UNC Wilmington Seahawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Seahawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UNC Wilmington Seahawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UNC Wilmington Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UNC Wilmington (3‑1) vs Towson (4‑2) |
26 | UNC Wilmington Wins | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Towson Wins | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Monmouth (0‑8) vs Stony Brook (2‑4) |
2 | Monmouth Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Stony Brook Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Hampton (2‑4) vs N. Carolina A&T (3‑2) |
1 | Hampton Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| N. Carolina A&T Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Campbell (3‑4) vs Drexel (4‑2) |
1 | Campbell Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Drexel Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Hofstra (4‑2) vs William & Mary (3‑5) |
0 | Hofstra Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| William & Mary Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Delaware (3‑3) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (5‑2) |
0 | Delaware Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||