PlayoffStatus.com↓≡

Home ►NCAA Basketball►Conference USA Basketball►Conference USA Standings►Missouri St. Standings►Missouri St. What If?
Mon Feb 23 5:00 pm

Conference USA Basketball - Week 17 of 18

Missouri St. What If?

The Missouri St. Missouri St. What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Missouri St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Missouri St. What If?

Next Game - Louisiana Tech (15‑12)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5*
First Round Bye
 6*
First Round Bye
 7 8 9 10 NT
Win Next Game 8 9 X <1% 1% 6% 13% 16% 19% 29% 11% 3% <1%
Current Standings 7 9 X <1% 1% 3% 6% 10% 15% 30% 20% 10% 5%
Lose Next Game 7 10 X X <1% <1% 2% 7% 13% 33% 24% 14% 8%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5*
First Round Bye
 6*
First Round Bye
 7 8 9 10 NT
Best Case Scenario X <1% 1% 7% 16% 20% 20% 23% 10% 3% 1%
Current Standings X <1% 1% 3% 6% 10% 15% 30% 20% 10% 5%
Worst Case Scenario X X <1% <1% 1% 5% 11% 35% 25% 15% 7%
Best Case Scenario
   Delaware beats Jacksonville State
   Missouri St. beats Louisiana Tech
 Worst Case Scenario
   Jacksonville State beats Delaware
   Louisiana Tech beats Missouri St.
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5*
First Round Bye
 6*
First Round Bye
 7 8 9 10 NT
4 of 4 100% 11 9 X <1% 20% 48% 29% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 4 75% 10 10 X X 1% 11% 30% 33% 20% 6% <1% ^ ^
2 of 4 50% 9 11 X X <1% <1% 3% 15% 31% 43% 7% <1% <1%
1 of 4 25% 8 12 X X X X <1% <1% 5% 46% 35% 11% 2%
0 of 4 0% 7 13 X X X X X X X 9% 27% 35% 29%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament