The Most Important Games for the Missouri St. Missouri St. are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Missouri St. final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Missouri St. Missouri St. fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Missouri St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Missouri St. (13‑14) vs Louisiana Tech (15‑12) |
35 | Missouri St. Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 29% | 11% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 30% | 20% | 10% | 5% | ||
| Louisiana Tech Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 33% | 24% | 14% | 8% | ||
| Delaware (9‑18) vs Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (13‑14) |
6 | Delaware Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 30% | 20% | 10% | 5% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 14% | 34% | 21% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Sam Houston (19‑8) vs FIU (13‑14) |
4 | Sam Houston Wins | X | X | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 33% | 18% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 30% | 20% | 10% | 5% | ||
| FIU Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 25% | 24% | 13% | 7% | ||
| Western Kentucky (16‑11) vs New Mexico St. (13‑13) |
2 | Western Kentucky Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 34% | 18% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 30% | 20% | 10% | 5% | ||
| New Mexico St. Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | ||
| UTEP (10‑17) vs Middle Tenn. (13‑14) |
1 | UTEP Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 25% | 16% | 11% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 30% | 20% | 10% | 5% | ||
| Middle Tenn. Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 33% | 20% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Kennesaw St. (16‑11) vs Liberty (23‑4) |
0 | Kennesaw St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 31% | 20% | 10% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 30% | 20% | 10% | 5% | ||
| Liberty Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 31% | 20% | 10% | 5% | ||