The Most Important Games for the Missouri St. Missouri St. are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Missouri St. final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Missouri St. Missouri St. fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Missouri St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Missouri St. (13‑9) vs Liberty (19‑3) |
12 | Missouri St. Wins | 1% | 24% | 27% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 14% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Liberty Wins | <1% | 10% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Delaware (6‑16) vs Middle Tenn. (11‑11) |
3 | Delaware Wins | <1% | 14% | 23% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 14% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Middle Tenn. Wins | <1% | 13% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sam Houston (16‑7) vs Louisiana Tech (12‑10) |
2 | Sam Houston Wins | <1% | 12% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 14% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Louisiana Tech Wins | <1% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| FIU (11‑11) vs Western Kentucky (12‑11) |
1 | FIU Wins | <1% | 14% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 14% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Western Kentucky Wins | <1% | 13% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UTEP (8‑15) vs New Mexico St. (11‑11) |
1 | UTEP Wins | <1% | 13% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 14% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico St. Wins | <1% | 13% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Kennesaw St. (14‑8) vs Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (12‑10) |
0 | Kennesaw St. Wins | 1% | 13% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 14% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | <1% | 14% | 23% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||