The Most Important Games for the New Mexico St. Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico St. Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| New Mexico St. (14‑12) vs Kennesaw St. (16‑11) |
33 | New Mexico St. Wins | <1% | 3% | 14% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 8% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 25% | 18% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Kennesaw St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 24% | 31% | 23% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (18‑9) vs UTEP (17‑9) |
9 | Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 25% | 18% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UTEP Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 21% | 27% | 20% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sam Houston (11‑16) vs Middle Tenn. (17‑9) |
2 | Sam Houston Wins | <1% | 1% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 23% | 15% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 25% | 18% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Middle Tenn. Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 25% | 18% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FIU (8‑18) vs Liberty (21‑5) |
1 | FIU Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 17% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 25% | 18% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Liberty Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 18% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Western Kentucky (14‑12) vs Louisiana Tech (18‑9) |
1 | Western Kentucky Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 21% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 25% | 18% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Louisiana Tech Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 27% | 14% | 2% | <1% | ||