The Most Important Games for the New Mexico St. Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico St. Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| New Mexico St. (3‑1) vs Sam Houston (2‑2) |
7 | New Mexico St. Wins | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Sam Houston Wins | 7% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Liberty (4‑1) vs Western Kentucky (3‑2) |
1 | Liberty Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Western Kentucky Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (4‑1) vs Kennesaw St. (4‑1) |
1 | Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Kennesaw St. Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Louisiana Tech (4‑0) vs UTEP (3‑1) |
0 | Louisiana Tech Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| UTEP Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Middle Tenn. (4‑1) vs FIU (1‑3) |
0 | Middle Tenn. Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| FIU Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | ||