The Most Important Games for the New Mexico St. Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico St. Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| New Mexico St. (12‑13) vs UTEP (10‑16) |
47 | New Mexico St. Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 18% | 19% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 45% | ||
| UTEP Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 68% | ||
| Liberty (22‑3) vs FIU (12‑13) |
8 | Liberty Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 45% | ||
| FIU Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 51% | ||
| Western Kentucky (14‑11) vs Delaware (9‑16) |
4 | Western Kentucky Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 45% | ||
| Delaware Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 48% | ||
| Sam Houston (17‑8) vs Middle Tenn. (12‑13) |
4 | Sam Houston Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 45% | ||
| Middle Tenn. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 18% | 46% | ||
| Missouri St. (13‑12) vs Kennesaw St. (14‑11) |
3 | Missouri St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 45% | ||
| Kennesaw St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 17% | 46% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (13‑12) vs Louisiana Tech (14‑11) |
1 | Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 45% | ||
| Louisiana Tech Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 14% | 17% | 45% | ||