The Most Important Games for the New Mexico St. Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico St. Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| New Mexico St. (8‑3) vs FIU (7‑5) |
9 | New Mexico St. Wins | 27% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| FIU Wins | 2% | 2% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (6‑6) vs Delaware (4‑8) |
1 | Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Delaware Wins | 2% | 2% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Missouri St. (7‑5) vs UTEP (4‑8) |
1 | Missouri St. Wins | 23% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| UTEP Wins | 2% | 2% | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Middle Tenn. (7‑5) vs Louisiana Tech (9‑4) |
0 | Middle Tenn. Wins | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Louisiana Tech Wins | 2% | 2% | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Kennesaw St. (8‑4) vs Liberty (9‑3) |
0 | Kennesaw St. Wins | 25% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Liberty Wins | 2% | 2% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Sam Houston (8‑4) vs Western Kentucky (7‑5) |
0 | Sam Houston Wins | 23% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Western Kentucky Wins | 2% | 2% | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||