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Mon Feb 17 11:30 am

Conference USA Basketball - Week 16 of 18

New Mexico St. Aggies Standings

Where are the New Mexico St. Aggies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The New Mexico St. standings table presents the probabilities of the Aggies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Conference USA Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
18 game season
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10
Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. 10i
Jacksonville State Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 vs Middle Tenn.      77-63 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs Western Kentucky  85-83 
Lost Thu, Feb 13 @  Sam Houston       61-66 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 @  Louisiana Tech    70-68 
     Thu, Feb 20 vs New Mexico St.   
     Sat, Feb 22 vs UTEP             
     Thu, Feb 27 @  Liberty          
     Sat, Mar 01 @  FIU              

3 13 55% 30% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Liberty 9
Liberty Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 vs Louisiana Tech    77-53 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs Sam Houston       64-61 
Won  Thu, Feb 13 @  New Mexico St.    64-54 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 @  UTEP              76-69 
     Sat, Feb 22 vs FIU              
     Thu, Feb 27 vs Jacksonville St. 
     Sun, Mar 02 vs Owls             
     Thu, Mar 06 @  Middle Tenn.     

4 13 28% 32% 28% 9% 2% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Middle Tenn. 8
Middle Tenn. Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 01 vs UTEP              71-68 
Lost Thu, Feb 06 @  Jacksonville St.  63-77 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 @  Owls              76-75 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 @  Western Kentucky  87-77 
     Thu, Feb 20 vs Louisiana Tech   
     Sat, Feb 22 vs Sam Houston      
     Thu, Feb 27 @  New Mexico St.   
     Sat, Mar 01 @  UTEP             

4 12 16% 30% 35% 13% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^
UTEP 7
UTEP Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 01 @  Middle Tenn.      68-71 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 @  New Mexico St.    66-63 
Won  Thu, Feb 13 vs FIU               77-63 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Liberty           69-76 
     Thu, Feb 20 @  Owls             
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Jacksonville St. 
     Thu, Feb 27 vs Western Kentucky 
     Sat, Mar 01 vs Middle Tenn.     

5 12 1% 5% 14% 31% 20% 14% 10% 5% <1% <1%
Kennesaw St. 7
Kennesaw St. Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 vs Western Kentucky  76-69 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Middle Tenn.      75-76 
Won  Thu, Feb 13 @  Louisiana Tech    69-47 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 @  Sam Houston       76-78 
     Thu, Feb 20 vs UTEP             
     Sat, Feb 22 vs New Mexico St.   
     Thu, Feb 27 @  FIU              
     Sun, Mar 02 @  Liberty          

6 13 <1% 2% 6% 22% 31% 22% 12% 5% <1% <1%
New Mexico St. 6
New Mexico St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 01 @  Western Kentucky  69-101
Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs UTEP              63-66 
Lost Thu, Feb 13 vs Liberty           54-64 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 vs FIU               76-48 
     Thu, Feb 20 @  Jacksonville St. 
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Owls             
     Thu, Feb 27 vs Middle Tenn.     
     Sat, Mar 01 vs Western Kentucky 

6 12 <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 17% 24% 36% 3% <1%
Louisiana Tech 6
Louisiana Tech Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 06 @  Liberty           53-77 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 @  FIU               82-71 
Lost Thu, Feb 13 vs Owls              47-69 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Jacksonville St.  68-70 
     Thu, Feb 20 @  Middle Tenn.     
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Western Kentucky 
     Sat, Mar 01 @  Sam Houston      
     Thu, Mar 06 vs New Mexico St.   

7 13 <1% <1% 3% 8% 16% 24% 27% 22% 1% <1%
Western Kentucky 5
Western Kentucky Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 01 vs New Mexico St.   101-69 
Lost Thu, Feb 06 @  Owls              69-76 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 @  Jacksonville St.  83-85 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Middle Tenn.      77-87 
     Thu, Feb 20 vs Sam Houston      
     Sat, Feb 22 vs Louisiana Tech   
     Thu, Feb 27 @  UTEP             
     Sat, Mar 01 @  New Mexico St.   

7 12 <1% <1% 2% 9% 14% 20% 25% 27% 2% <1%
Sam Houston 3
Sam Houston Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 06 @  FIU               82-85 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 @  Liberty           61-64 
Won  Thu, Feb 13 vs Jacksonville St.  66-61 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 vs Owls              78-76 
     Thu, Feb 20 @  Western Kentucky 
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Middle Tenn.     
     Sat, Mar 01 vs Louisiana Tech   
     Thu, Mar 06 vs UTEP             

10 13 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 87% 6%
FIU 2
FIU Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 vs Sam Houston       85-82 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Louisiana Tech    71-82 
Lost Thu, Feb 13 @  UTEP              63-77 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 @  New Mexico St.    48-76 
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Liberty          
     Thu, Feb 27 vs Owls             
     Sat, Mar 01 vs Jacksonville St. 
     Thu, Mar 06 @  Western Kentucky 

11 13 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 6% 94%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(6) Aggies 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 37%
(9)Sam Houston 3 10 37%
(10)FIU 2 11 25%
(8)Western Kentucky 5 7 <1%
(7)Louisiana Tech 6 7 <1%
(4)UTEP 7 5 <1%
(5)Kennesaw St. 7 6 <1%
(3)Middle Tenn. 8 4 <1%
(2)Liberty 9 4 <1%
(1)Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. 10 3 <1%
Elimination X



Aggies Conference Schedule
Current Week 16
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
9 Sam Houston
(10‑16)
75‑71 Home Thu Jan 2, 9:00 pm
9 Louisiana Tech
(17‑9)
78‑48 Home Sat Jan 4, 4:00 pm
10 UTEP
(17‑8)
85‑57 Away Sat Jan 11, 9:00 pm
11 FIU
(8‑18)
59‑52 Away Thu Jan 16, 7:00 pm
11 Liberty
(21‑5)
60‑68 Away Sat Jan 18, 7:00 pm
12 Kennesaw St.
(15‑11)
56‑69 Home Thu Jan 23, 9:00 pm
12 Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St.
(18‑8)
59‑65 Home Sat Jan 25, 9:00 pm
13 Middle Tenn.
(17‑8)
61‑57 Away Thu Jan 30, 7:30 pm
13 Western Kentucky
(14‑11)
69‑101 Away Sat Feb 1, 3:00 pm
14 UTEP
(17‑8)
63‑66 Home Sat Feb 8, 9:00 pm
15 Liberty
(21‑5)
54‑64 Home Thu Feb 13, 9:00 pm
15 FIU
(8‑18)
76‑48 Home Sat Feb 15, 9:00 pm
16 Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St.
(18‑8)
  Away Thu Feb 20, 7:00 pm
16 Kennesaw St.
(15‑11)
  Away Sat Feb 22, 5:00 pm
17 Middle Tenn.
(17‑8)
  Home Thu Feb 27, TBD
17 Western Kentucky
(14‑11)
  Home Sat Mar 1, TBD
18 Louisiana Tech
(17‑9)
  Away Thu Mar 6, 7:30 pm
18 Sam Houston
(10‑16)
  Away Sat Mar 8, 3:30 pm


Aggies Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 N.M. Highlands ‑‑ 93‑57 Home Mon Nov 4, 9:00 pm
1 Utah Tech
(6‑19)
WACWAC 75‑63 Away Sat Nov 9, 9:00 pm
2 Texas A&M C.C.
(16‑11)
SouthlandSouth-land 83‑82 Home Thu Nov 14, 9:30 pm
3 Dayton
(18‑8)
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 53‑74 Away Wed Nov 20, 7:00 pm
3 UNLV
(14‑12)
Mountain WestMntn West 65‑72 Away Sat Nov 23, 7:00 pm
4 Pepperdine
(10‑17)
West CoastWest Coast 70‑82 Home Fri Nov 29, 3:30 pm
4 Bowling Green
(10‑15)
MACMAC 60‑61 Away Sat Nov 30, 2:00 pm
5 Abilene Christian
(12‑13)
WACWAC 70‑78 Home Wed Dec 4, 9:00 pm
5 New Mexico
(22‑4)
Mountain WestMntn West 89‑83 (OT) Away Sat Dec 7, 9:00 pm
6 Texas
(16‑10)
SECSEC 67‑91 Away Thu Dec 12, 8:00 pm
7 Southern Utah
(11‑15)
WACWAC 72‑69 Home Mon Dec 16, 9:00 pm
7 Northern N.M. ‑‑ 87‑50 Home Thu Dec 19, 9:00 pm
8 Southwest (NM) ‑‑ 85‑52 Home Sat Dec 28, 6:00 pm