The Burnley What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 4 | 14 | 4 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 78% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 14 | 4 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 86% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 15 | 4 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 88% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 76% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 86% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 92% |
|
Best Case Scenario Fulham beats Leeds United Burnley beats Liverpool Arsenal beats Nottingham |
Worst Case Scenario Leeds United beats Fulham Liverpool beats Burnley Nottingham beats Arsenal |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 17 of 17 | 100% | 20 | 14 | 4 | 64 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 32% | 42% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 17 | 94% | 19 | 15 | 4 | 61 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 27% | 37% | 22% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 17 | 88% | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 31% | 30% | 15% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 14 of 17 | 82% | 17 | 17 | 4 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 31% | 27% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 17 | 76% | 16 | 18 | 4 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 32% | 27% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 17 | 71% | 15 | 19 | 4 | 49 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 34% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 17 | 65% | 14 | 20 | 4 | 46 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 31% | 36% | 16% | 2% | <1% |
| 10 of 17 | 59% | 13 | 21 | 4 | 43 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 30% | 42% | 18% | 1% |
| 9 of 17 | 53% | 12 | 22 | 4 | 40 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 36% | 45% | 11% |
| 8 of 17 | 47% | 11 | 23 | 4 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 51% | 35% |
| 7 of 17 | 41% | 10 | 24 | 4 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 32% | 66% |
| 6 of 17 | 35% | 9 | 25 | 4 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 89% |
| 5 of 17 | 29% | 8 | 26 | 4 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |
| 4 of 17 | 24% | 7 | 27 | 4 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 17 | 18% | 6 | 28 | 4 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 2 of 17 | 12% | 5 | 29 | 4 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 1 of 17 | 6% | 4 | 30 | 4 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 17 | 0% | 3 | 31 | 4 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |