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Mon Jan 6 5:00 pm

English Premier League - Week 23 of 41

Manchester United Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Manchester United are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Manchester United fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Manchester United Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Manchester United Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Manchester United
(6‑9‑5)
vs
SouthamptonSouthamptn
(1‑16‑3)		 2 Manchester United Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 12% 16% 19% 16% 10% 5% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
SouthamptonSouthamptn Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 13% 19% 18% 14% 9% 5% 3%
Manchester United
(6‑9‑5)
vs
Brighton
(6‑4‑10)		 2 Manchester United Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 13% 16% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Brighton Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 9% 15% 20% 18% 13% 8% 4% 2%
Brighton
(6‑4‑10)
vs
Ipswich Town
(3‑10‑7)		 0 Brighton Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 11% 15% 20% 17% 10% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Ipswich Town Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 11% 15% 19% 16% 10% 6% 3% 2%
Aston Villa
(9‑6‑5)
vs
Everton
(3‑8‑8)		 0 Aston Villa Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 11% 16% 20% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Everton Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 11% 15% 18% 15% 11% 6% 3% 2%
Tottenham Hotspur
(7‑10‑3)
vs
Everton
(3‑8‑8)		 0 Tottenham Hotspur Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 11% 15% 20% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Everton Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 11% 15% 19% 15% 11% 6% 3% 2%
Fulham
(7‑4‑9)
vs
Leicester City
(3‑12‑5)		 0 Fulham Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 20% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Leicester City Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 11% 15% 19% 15% 11% 6% 3% 2%
SouthamptonSouthamptn
(1‑16‑3)
vs
Nottingham
(12‑4‑4)		 0 SouthamptonSouthamptn Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Nottingham Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 11% 15% 19% 16% 10% 6% 3% 1%
Manchester City
(10‑6‑4)
vs
Ipswich Town
(3‑10‑7)		 0 Manchester City Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 20% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Ipswich Town Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 2%
Chelsea
(10‑4‑6)
vs
WolverhamptonWolves
(4‑12‑4)		 0 Chelsea Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 20% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
WolverhamptonWolves Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 7% 4% 2%
Crystal Palace
(4‑7‑9)
vs
West Ham
(6‑9‑5)		 0 Crystal Palace Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
West Ham Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 11% 16% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 2%
Brentford
(8‑9‑3)
vs
Manchester City
(10‑6‑4)		 0 Brentford Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 11% 15% 20% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Manchester City Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 11% 15% 19% 16% 10% 6% 3% 1%
Newcastle
(10‑5‑5)
vs
BournemouthBournemoth
(9‑5‑6)		 0 Newcastle Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
BournemouthBournemoth Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 16% 19% 16% 10% 6% 3% 1%
Crystal Palace
(4‑7‑9)
vs
Leicester City
(3‑12‑5)		 0 Crystal Palace Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Leicester City Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 11% 16% 20% 15% 10% 6% 3% 1%
Arsenal
(11‑2‑7)
vs
Aston Villa
(9‑6‑5)		 0 Arsenal Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Aston Villa Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 11% 15% 20% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Arsenal
(11‑2‑7)
vs
Tottenham Hotspur
(7‑10‑3)		 0 Arsenal Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 11% 15% 19% 16% 10% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Tottenham Hotspur Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 16% 20% 16% 10% 6% 3% 1%
Fulham
(7‑4‑9)
vs
West Ham
(6‑9‑5)		 0 Fulham Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 11% 16% 21% 16% 10% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
West Ham Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 11% 15% 18% 16% 11% 7% 3% 1%
Liverpool
(14‑1‑4)
vs
Nottingham
(12‑4‑4)		 0 Liverpool Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 20% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Nottingham Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Newcastle
(10‑5‑5)
vs
WolverhamptonWolves
(4‑12‑4)		 0 Newcastle Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 20% 16% 10% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
WolverhamptonWolves Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 7% 3% 2%
Brentford
(8‑9‑3)
vs
Liverpool
(14‑1‑4)		 0 Brentford Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 10% 15% 20% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Liverpool Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 11% 15% 19% 16% 10% 6% 3% 1%
BournemouthBournemoth
(9‑5‑6)
vs
Chelsea
(10‑4‑6)		 0 BournemouthBournemoth Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
Chelsea Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 11% 15% 20% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round