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Mon Jan 6 5:00 pm

English Premier League - Week 23 of 41

Newcastle Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Newcastle are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Newcastle fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Newcastle Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Newcastle Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Newcastle
(10‑5‑5)
vs
BournemouthBournemoth
(9‑5‑6)		 35 Newcastle Wins 1% 10% 22% 23% 18% 12% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
BournemouthBournemoth Wins <1% 5% 14% 19% 19% 16% 11% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle
(10‑5‑5)
vs
WolverhamptonWolves
(4‑12‑4)		 32 Newcastle Wins 1% 10% 21% 22% 19% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
WolverhamptonWolves Wins <1% 5% 14% 19% 20% 16% 11% 7% 4% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
WolverhamptonWolves
(4‑12‑4)
vs
Chelsea
(10‑4‑6)		 8 WolverhamptonWolves Wins 1% 10% 21% 21% 17% 12% 8% 4% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins 1% 9% 18% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
SouthamptonSouthamptn
(1‑16‑3)
vs
Nottingham
(12‑4‑4)		 8 SouthamptonSouthamptn Wins 1% 9% 21% 21% 17% 12% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nottingham Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool
(14‑1‑4)
vs
Nottingham
(12‑4‑4)		 6 Liverpool Wins 1% 9% 21% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nottingham Wins 1% 8% 17% 21% 20% 14% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brentford
(8‑9‑3)
vs
Manchester City
(10‑6‑4)		 4 Brentford Wins 1% 9% 20% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins 1% 9% 19% 20% 18% 14% 9% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ipswich Town
(3‑10‑7)
vs
Manchester City
(10‑6‑4)		 4 Ipswich Town Wins 1% 9% 20% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
BournemouthBournemoth
(9‑5‑6)
vs
Chelsea
(10‑4‑6)		 4 BournemouthBournemoth Wins 1% 9% 20% 21% 17% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins 1% 8% 18% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
West Ham
(6‑9‑5)
vs
Fulham
(7‑4‑9)		 2 West Ham Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fulham Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brentford
(8‑9‑3)
vs
Liverpool
(14‑1‑4)		 2 Brentford Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Aston Villa
(9‑6‑5)
vs
Arsenal
(11‑2‑7)		 1 Aston Villa Wins 1% 11% 18% 20% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal Wins 1% 8% 19% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester United
(6‑9‑5)
vs
Brighton
(6‑4‑10)		 1 Manchester United Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brighton Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Hotspur
(7‑10‑3)
vs
Arsenal
(11‑2‑7)		 1 Tottenham Hotspur Wins 1% 11% 19% 20% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal Wins 1% 8% 19% 22% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leicester City
(3‑12‑5)
vs
Crystal Palace
(4‑7‑9)		 1 Leicester City Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Crystal Palace Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ipswich Town
(3‑10‑7)
vs
Brighton
(6‑4‑10)		 1 Ipswich Town Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brighton Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
SouthamptonSouthamptn
(1‑16‑3)
vs
Manchester United
(6‑9‑5)		 1 SouthamptonSouthamptn Wins 1% 9% 20% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester United Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 19% 13% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Everton
(3‑8‑8)
vs
Aston Villa
(9‑6‑5)		 1 Everton Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Aston Villa Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fulham
(7‑4‑9)
vs
Leicester City
(3‑12‑5)		 0 Fulham Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leicester City Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 19% 14% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Hotspur
(7‑10‑3)
vs
Everton
(3‑8‑8)		 0 Tottenham Hotspur Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Everton Wins 1% 8% 19% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
West Ham
(6‑9‑5)
vs
Crystal Palace
(4‑7‑9)		 0 West Ham Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 9% 19% 21% 18% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Crystal Palace Wins 1% 9% 19% 21% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round