The Nottingham What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 25% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 31% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 34% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 33 of 33 | 100% | 34 | 2 | 2 | 104 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 31 of 33 | 94% | 32 | 4 | 2 | 98 | 90% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 30 of 33 | 91% | 31 | 5 | 2 | 95 | 78% | 21% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 29 of 33 | 88% | 30 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 61% | 35% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 28 of 33 | 85% | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 43% | 45% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 27 of 33 | 82% | 28 | 8 | 2 | 86 | 26% | 48% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 26 of 33 | 79% | 27 | 9 | 2 | 83 | 13% | 42% | 34% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 33 | 76% | 26 | 10 | 2 | 80 | 6% | 28% | 41% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 33 | 73% | 25 | 11 | 2 | 77 | 2% | 15% | 35% | 34% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 33 | 70% | 24 | 12 | 2 | 74 | <1% | 5% | 22% | 37% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 33 | 67% | 23 | 13 | 2 | 71 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 28% | 35% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 33 | 64% | 22 | 14 | 2 | 68 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 30% | 32% | 16% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 33 | 61% | 21 | 15 | 2 | 65 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 31% | 29% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 33 | 58% | 20 | 16 | 2 | 62 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 32% | 28% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 18 of 33 | 55% | 19 | 17 | 2 | 59 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 32% | 27% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 17 of 33 | 52% | 18 | 18 | 2 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 32% | 26% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 16 of 33 | 48% | 17 | 19 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 32% | 26% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 33 | 45% | 16 | 20 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 32% | 26% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 of 33 | 42% | 15 | 21 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 32% | 27% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 33 | 39% | 14 | 22 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 33% | 28% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 33 | 36% | 13 | 23 | 2 | 41 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 33% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| 11 of 33 | 33% | 12 | 24 | 2 | 38 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 34% | 28% | 10% | 2% |
| 10 of 33 | 30% | 11 | 25 | 2 | 35 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 36% | 26% | 9% |
| 9 of 33 | 27% | 10 | 26 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 26% | 38% | 29% |
| 8 of 33 | 24% | 9 | 27 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 32% | 57% |
| 7 of 33 | 21% | 8 | 28 | 2 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 82% |
| 6 of 33 | 18% | 7 | 29 | 2 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 95% |
| 5 of 33 | 15% | 6 | 30 | 2 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| 0 of 33 | 0% | 1 | 35 | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |