The Nottingham What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 18 | 7 | 6 | 60 | <1% | 15% | 65% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 17 | 7 | 6 | 57 | <1% | 10% | 59% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 17 | 8 | 6 | 57 | <1% | 5% | 53% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 15% | 69% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | <1% | 10% | 59% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 5% | 48% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Nottingham beats Aston Villa Manchester United beats Manchester City |
Worst Case Scenario Aston Villa beats Nottingham Manchester City beats Manchester United |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 25 | 7 | 6 | 81 | 1% | 83% | 17% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 24 | 8 | 6 | 78 | <1% | 51% | 49% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75 | <1% | 20% | 78% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 22 | 10 | 6 | 72 | <1% | 5% | 82% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 21 | 11 | 6 | 69 | X | <1% | 50% | 40% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 20 | 12 | 6 | 66 | X | <1% | 12% | 37% | 37% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 19 | 13 | 6 | 63 | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 27% | 39% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 18 | 14 | 6 | 60 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 37% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 17 | 15 | 6 | 57 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 24% | 40% | 25% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |