The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (10‑11) vs MassachusettsMass. (11‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
19 | Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 25% | ||
| New Hampshire (11‑9) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (11‑9) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (9‑13) vs Boston University (11‑10‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 17% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 20% | ||
| Vermont (8‑12) vs ConnecticutUConn (13‑6‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Vermont Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 20% | ||
| Providence (12‑7‑2) vs Boston College (11‑7‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Providence Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% | ||
| Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 21% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (10‑11) vs MassachusettsMass. (11‑10) |
19 | Merrimack Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 25% | ||
| New Hampshire (11‑9) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (11‑9) |
1 | New Hampshire Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (9‑13) vs Boston University (11‑10‑1) |
1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 17% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% | ||
| Boston University Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 20% | ||
| Vermont (8‑12) vs ConnecticutUConn (13‑6‑3) |
1 | Vermont Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 20% | ||
| Providence (12‑7‑2) vs Boston College (11‑7‑1) |
1 | Providence Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% | ||
| Boston College Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 21% | ||