The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (6‑2‑2) vs Providence (7‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
14 | Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | 24% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Providence Sweeps 1 Game | 14% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (4‑7‑1) vs New Hampshire (6‑4‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | 20% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | 20% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (3‑5‑2) vs MassachusettsMass. (5‑6‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | 20% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | 21% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (6‑2‑2) vs Providence (7‑2) |
14 | Merrimack Wins | 24% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Providence Wins | 14% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (4‑7‑1) vs New Hampshire (6‑4‑1) |
1 | ConnecticutUConn Wins | 20% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | 20% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (3‑5‑2) vs MassachusettsMass. (5‑6‑1) |
0 | Boston College Wins | 20% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Wins | 21% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||