The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (14‑12‑1) vs Boston College (16‑9‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
33 | Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 22% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (16‑7‑3) vs Maine (14‑11‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 23% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Maine Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Providence (18‑7‑2) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (12‑14‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | Providence Sweeps 2 Games | X | 1% | 4% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 7% | 3% | ||
| New Hampshire (11‑14‑1) vs Boston University (13‑14‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
5 | New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 15% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑18) vs Vermont (12‑15) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Vermont Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (14‑12‑1) vs Boston College (16‑9‑1) |
33 | Merrimack Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 22% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Boston College Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | ||
| New Hampshire (11‑14‑1) vs Boston University (13‑14‑2) |
5 | New Hampshire Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Boston University Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 15% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (16‑7‑3) vs Maine (14‑11‑2) |
4 | ConnecticutUConn Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 21% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Maine Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑18) vs Vermont (12‑15) |
2 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Vermont Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Providence (18‑7‑2) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (12‑14‑1) |
2 | Providence Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 2% | ||