The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (8‑11‑1) vs MassachusettsMass. (10‑10‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
6 | Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Maine (15‑4‑2) vs ConnecticutUConn (12‑8‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Maine Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 17% | ||
| Boston College (13‑4‑1) vs Providence (15‑3‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | ||
| Providence Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | ||
| Vermont (8‑10‑3) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (7‑10‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Vermont Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 16% | ||
| New Hampshire (10‑6‑3) vs Boston University (11‑7‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (8‑11‑1) vs MassachusettsMass. (10‑10‑2) |
6 | Merrimack Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Maine (15‑4‑2) vs ConnecticutUConn (12‑8‑1) |
1 | Maine Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 17% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (7‑10‑4) vs Vermont (8‑10‑3) |
0 | NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | ||
| Vermont Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 17% | ||
| Boston College (13‑4‑1) vs Providence (15‑3‑2) |
0 | Boston College Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | ||
| Providence Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | ||
| New Hampshire (10‑6‑3) vs Boston University (11‑7‑1) |
0 | New Hampshire Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | ||
| Boston University Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% | ||