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Sun Oct 25 3:15 am

Hockey East - Week 4 of 23

Merrimack Warriors Standings

Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Hockey East Standings
Record Regular Season Finish
Team WRi
Schedule Content
Wins in Regulation
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Loses in OT and SO
LRi
Loses in Regulation
GPi
Games Played
24 game season
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Providence 2i
Providence Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 23 @  Mass.-Lowell      3-0

Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs Mass.-Lowell      5-2

     Sun, Nov 01 @  Quinnipiac        

0 0 0 2 6 26% 16% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Boston University 1
Boston University Recent Games

Lost Thu, Oct 22 @  UConn             4-5

Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs UConn             6-3

     Fri, Oct 30 vs Maine             
     Sat, Oct 31 vs Maine             

1 1 1 4 6 8% 12% 13% 13% 12% 12% 11% 9% 7% 4% 1%
Vermont 1
Vermont Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 16 vs Boston University 2-1
Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Boston University 1-2

Won  Fri, Oct 23 vs Clarkson          2-1

     Sun, Oct 25 @  Clarkson          

0 1 0 2 4 5% 7% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 12% 10% 5%
MassachusettsMass. 1
Massachusetts Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 16 vs N. Eastern        4-1
Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs N. Eastern        1-4

Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs Stonehill         5-3

     Thu, Oct 29 @  Harvard           

0 0 0 1 3 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 6% 3%
Merrimack 0
Merrimack Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 16 vs Minnesota State   4-3
Won  Sat, Oct 17 vs Minnesota State   8-2

Won  Fri, Oct 23 @  N.Dame            2-1
Won  Sat, Oct 24 @  N.Dame            6-3

     Fri, Oct 30 vs UConn             
     Sat, Oct 31 vs UConn             

1 0 0 1 2 20% 16% 13% 11% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1%
ConnecticutUConn 0
Connecticut Recent Games

Won  Thu, Oct 22 vs Boston University 5-4

Lost Sat, Oct 24 @  Boston University 3-6

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Merrimack         
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Merrimack         

1 0 1 2 2 4% 7% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 12% 11% 6%
New Hampshire 0
New Hampshire Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 16 @  Colgate           5-2
Won  Sat, Oct 17 @  Colgate           2-0

Won  Fri, Oct 23 vs Michigan State    1-0
Lost Sat, Oct 24 vs Michigan State    1-2

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Vermont           
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Vermont           

0 1 0 1 1 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 7% 3%
Maine 0
Maine Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 09 vs Quinnipiac        1-2
Won  Sat, Oct 10 vs Quinnipiac        5-3

Won  Fri, Oct 23 vs Colgate           3-0
Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs Colgate           3-0

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Boston University 
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Boston University 

0 0 0 0 0 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 5%
Boston College 0
Boston College Recent Games

Won  Thu, Oct 15 vs St. Cloud         4-0
Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs St. Cloud         3-5

Lost Fri, Oct 23 @  Denver            2-5
Tie  Sat, Oct 24 @  Denver            2-2

     Fri, Oct 30 vs N. Eastern        
     Sat, Oct 31 vs N. Eastern        

0 0 0 0 0 <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 13% 21% 28%
NortheasternN. Eastern 0
Northeastern Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 10 @  Bentley           5-1

Lost Fri, Oct 16 @  Massachusetts     1-4
Won  Sat, Oct 17 @  Massachusetts     4-1

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Boston College    
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Boston College    

0 0 1 1 0 8% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 7% 3%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell 0
Mass.-Lowell Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 23 vs Provid.           0-3

Lost Sat, Oct 24 @  Provid.           2-5

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Colgate           
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Colgate           

0 0 2 2 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 8% 12% 22% 45%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament


(5) Warriors 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(23%)
Away
(7%)
Opponent WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
Bye 70%
(11)Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell 0 0 0 2 0 8% 7% 1%
(9)Boston College 0 0 0 0 0 6% 5% 1%
(6)ConnecticutUConn 0 1 0 1 2 3% 2% 1%
(8)Maine 0 0 0 0 0 3% 2% 1%
(3)Vermont 1 0 1 0 4 3% 2% 1%
(10)NortheasternN. Eastern 0 0 0 1 0 2% 1% 1%
(7)New Hampshire 0 0 1 0 1 2% 1% 1%
(4)MassachusettsMass. 1 0 0 0 3 2% 1% 1%
(2)Boston University 1 1 1 1 6 1% 1% 1%
(1)Providence 2 0 0 0 6 1% <1% <1%



Warriors Conference Schedule
Current Week 5
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
2 New Hampshire
(3‑2‑1)
3‑3 (SO) Home Thu Oct 8, 7:00 pm
5 ConnecticutUConn
(3‑3)
  Home Fri Oct 30, 7:00 pm
5 ConnecticutUConn
(3‑3)
  Home Sat Oct 31, 4:30 pm
7 Providence
(5‑0)
  Away Fri Nov 13, 7:00 pm
7 Providence
(5‑0)
  Home Sat Nov 14, 7:00 pm
8 Boston University
(4‑2)
  Home Fri Nov 20, 7:00 pm
8 Boston University
(4‑2)
  Away Sat Nov 21, 6:00 pm
11 MassachusettsMass.
(3‑3‑1)
  Home Fri Dec 11, 7:00 pm
11 MassachusettsMass.
(3‑3‑1)
  Away Sat Dec 12, 7:00 pm
14 ConnecticutUConn
(3‑3)
  Away Sat Jan 2, 3:00 pm
15 New Hampshire
(3‑2‑1)
  Away Sat Jan 9, 4:00 pm
16 Vermont
(2‑2)
  Away Fri Jan 15, 7:00 pm
16 Vermont
(2‑2)
  Away Sat Jan 16, 5:00 pm
17 NortheasternN. Eastern
(2‑1)
  Home Fri Jan 22, 7:00 pm
17 NortheasternN. Eastern
(2‑1)
  Home Sat Jan 23, 6:00 pm
18 New Hampshire
(3‑2‑1)
  Away Fri Jan 29, 7:00 pm
19 Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell
(1‑5)
  Away Fri Feb 5, 7:15 pm
19 Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell
(1‑5)
  Home Sat Feb 6, 7:00 pm
20 Maine
(4‑2)
  Home Fri Feb 12, 7:00 pm
20 Maine
(4‑2)
  Home Sat Feb 13, 6:00 pm
21 Boston College
(1‑3‑1)
  Home Fri Feb 19, 7:00 pm
21 Boston College
(1‑3‑1)
  Away Sat Feb 20, 7:00 pm
22 Vermont
(2‑2)
  Home Sat Feb 27, 7:00 pm
23 Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell
(1‑5)
  Away Fri Mar 5, 7:15 pm


Warriors Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Quinnipiac
(4‑2)
ECACECAC 3‑6 Away Sat Oct 3, 4:00 pm
3 Minnesota State
(2‑4)
CCHACCHA 4‑3 (OT) Home Fri Oct 16, 7:00 pm
3 Minnesota State
(2‑4)
CCHACCHA 8‑2 Home Sat Oct 17, 6:00 pm
4 Notre Dame
(2‑4)
Big 10Big 10 2‑1 (OT) Away Fri Oct 23, 7:00 pm
4 Notre Dame
(2‑4)
Big 10Big 10 6‑3 Away Sat Oct 24, 5:00 pm
6 Holy Cross
(3‑5)
AtlanticAtl.   Home Fri Nov 6, 7:00 pm
9 St. Lawrence
(0‑4)
ECACECAC   Away Fri Nov 27, 4:00 pm
9 Clarkson
(2‑3)
ECACECAC   Home Sat Nov 28, 7:30 pm
10 Brown
(0‑0)
ECACECAC   Home Sat Dec 5, 6:00 pm
18 Dartmouth
(0‑0)
ECACECAC   Home Sun Jan 31, 2:00 pm