Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 |
| ConnecticutUConn | 3i Connecticut Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 14 vs N. Eastern 4-2 Won Sat, Nov 15 @ N. Eastern 4-3 Fri, Nov 21 @ New Hampshire |
2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Boston College | 4 Boston College Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 14 vs Massachusetts 7-3 Won Sat, Nov 15 @ Massachusetts 4-0 Fri, Nov 21 vs Maine Sat, Nov 22 vs Maine |
0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Maine | 3 Maine Recent Games Won Thu, Nov 06 @ Massachusetts 6-2 Lost Fri, Nov 07 @ Massachusetts 0-4 Won Fri, Nov 14 vs Vermont 7-0 Lost Sat, Nov 15 vs Vermont 1-2 Fri, Nov 21 @ Boston College Sat, Nov 22 @ Boston College |
1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| NortheasternN. Eastern | 3 Northeastern Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 14 @ UConn 2-4 Lost Sat, Nov 15 vs UConn 3-4 Fri, Nov 21 vs Boston University |
0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 29% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Providence | 3 Providence Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 14 vs Merrimack 4-2 Lost Sat, Nov 15 @ Merrimack 2-3 Thu, Nov 20 vs Massachusetts |
0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Merrimack | 3 Merrimack Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 14 @ Provid. 2-4 Won Sat, Nov 15 vs Provid. 3-2 Fri, Nov 21 @ Long Island |
0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% |
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 3 Mass.-Lowell Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 14 @ Union 1-7 Lost Sat, Nov 15 @ Rensselaer 0-2 Fri, Nov 28 vs Clarkson |
0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 23% |
| Boston University | 2 Boston University Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 08 @ Merrimack 5-4 Lost Sat, Nov 15 @ Quinnipiac 2-6 Fri, Nov 21 @ N. Eastern |
1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% |
| New Hampshire | 2 New Hampshire Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 14 @ Rensselaer 6-3 Lost Sat, Nov 15 @ Union 0-6 Fri, Nov 21 vs UConn |
0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 17% |
| Vermont | 2 Vermont Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 07 vs Boston College 1-2 Lost Sat, Nov 08 vs Boston College 0-5 Lost Fri, Nov 14 @ Maine 0-7 Won Sat, Nov 15 @ Maine 2-1 Sat, Nov 22 vs Harvard |
0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 20% |
| MassachusettsMass. | 1 Massachusetts Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 14 @ Boston College 3-7 Lost Sat, Nov 15 vs Boston College 0-4 Thu, Nov 20 @ Provid. |
0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% |
| Record | Total | Home (35%) |
Away (47%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | 18% | |||||||
| (10)Vermont | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14% | 8% | 6% |
| (7)Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13% | 7% | 5% |
| (9)New Hampshire | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12% | 7% | 6% |
| (11)MassachusettsMass. | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10% | 5% | 6% |
| (8)Boston University | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9% | 3% | 6% |
| (5)Providence | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8% | 2% | 6% |
| (3)Maine | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5% | 1% | 4% |
| (1)ConnecticutUConn | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| (2)Boston College | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| (4)NortheasternN. Eastern | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (5‑7) |
0‑4 | Away | Fri Oct 3 |
| 2 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (5‑7) |
4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 10 |
| 3 | New Hampshire (5‑6) |
5‑1 | Home | Sat Oct 18 |
| 5 | ConnecticutUConn (6‑4‑2) |
1‑5 | Away | Sat Nov 1, 6:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston University (5‑6‑1) |
2‑3 (OT) | Away | Fri Nov 7, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston University (5‑6‑1) |
4‑5 | Home | Sat Nov 8, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Providence (5‑4‑2) |
2‑4 | Away | Fri Nov 14, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Providence (5‑4‑2) |
3‑2 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | ConnecticutUConn (6‑4‑2) |
Home | Fri Dec 5, 7:00 pm | |
| 10 | ConnecticutUConn (6‑4‑2) |
Away | Sat Dec 6, 4:00 pm | |
| 14 | Vermont (4‑6) |
Away | Mon Dec 29, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | MassachusettsMass. (7‑6) |
Home | Fri Jan 16, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | MassachusettsMass. (7‑6) |
Away | Sat Jan 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (7‑3) |
Home | Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (7‑3) |
Away | Sun Jan 25, 4:00 pm | |
| 18 | New Hampshire (5‑6) |
Home | Fri Jan 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | New Hampshire (5‑6) |
Away | Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Boston College (6‑4‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Boston College (6‑4‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Maine (7‑4‑1) |
Away | Fri Feb 20, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Maine (7‑4‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Vermont (4‑6) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Vermont (4‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 6:00 pm | |
| 23 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (5‑7) |
Home | Fri Mar 6, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Quinnipiac (7‑3‑2) |
ECACECAC | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 24, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Long Island (5‑6) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑5 | Home | Sat Oct 25, 7:00 pm |
| 8 | Long Island (5‑6) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Fri Nov 21, 7:00 pm | |
| 9 | Notre Dame (3‑8‑1) |
Big 10Big 10 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 2:00 pm | |
| 9 | Dartmouth (6‑0) |
ECACECAC | Away | Sat Nov 29, 4:00 pm | |
| 11 | Yale (2‑3) |
ECACECAC | Home | Fri Dec 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 11 | Long Island (5‑6) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Home | Sat Dec 13, 6:00 pm | |
| 14 | Brown (1‑5) |
ECACECAC | Away | Sat Jan 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Holy Cross (7‑5‑1) |
AtlanticAtl. | Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Stonehill (1‑11) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Tue Feb 3, 7:00 pm |