Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 |
| ConnecticutUConn | 8i Connecticut Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Mass.-Lowell 5-1 Won Fri, Jan 16 vs Vermont 4-1 Sat, Jan 17 vs Vermont Fri, Jan 23 @ Yale |
2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 27% | 25% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Providence | 6 Providence Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 09 vs Maine 6-1 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Maine 3-0 Won Fri, Jan 16 @ Boston College 4-3 Sat, Jan 17 vs Boston College |
1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Boston College | 7 Boston College Recent Games Won Mon, Dec 29 @ Lake S. 4-3 Lost Fri, Jan 16 vs Provid. 3-4 Sat, Jan 17 @ Provid. |
0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 25% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Boston University | 5 Boston University Recent Games Won Mon, Jan 12 @ Harvard 4-1 Lost Fri, Jan 16 vs Mass.-Lowell 3-4 Sat, Jan 17 @ Mass.-Lowell |
2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 3% |
| NortheasternN. Eastern | 5 Northeastern Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 09 @ Vermont 2-3 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Vermont 3-5 Won Fri, Jan 16 @ New Hampshire 4-0 Sun, Jan 18 vs New Hampshire |
1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 3% |
| Maine | 4 Maine Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 02 @ Denver 5-2 Tie Sat, Jan 03 @ Denver 3-3 Lost Fri, Jan 09 @ Provid. 1-6 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Provid. 0-3 Fri, Jan 23 @ Mass.-Lowell Sat, Jan 24 @ Mass.-Lowell |
2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% |
| New Hampshire | 5 New Hampshire Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Colgate 2-3 Won Sun, Jan 04 vs Colgate 3-2 Lost Fri, Jan 16 vs N. Eastern 0-4 Sun, Jan 18 @ N. Eastern |
0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% |
| Vermont | 5 Vermont Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 09 vs N. Eastern 3-2 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs N. Eastern 5-3 Lost Fri, Jan 16 @ UConn 1-4 Sat, Jan 17 @ UConn Fri, Jan 23 vs Massachusetts Sat, Jan 24 vs Massachusetts |
0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 15 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 27% |
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 4 Mass.-Lowell Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs UConn 1-5 Won Fri, Jan 16 @ Boston University 4-3 Sat, Jan 17 vs Boston University |
1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 15 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 19% |
| Merrimack | 4 Merrimack Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Holy Cross 5-2 Lost Fri, Jan 16 vs Massachusetts 2-4 Sat, Jan 17 @ Massachusetts |
0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% |
| MassachusettsMass. | 3 Massachusetts Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Boston University 2-0 Won Fri, Jan 16 @ Merrimack 4-2 Sat, Jan 17 vs Merrimack |
1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% |
| Record | Total | Home (31%) |
Away (53%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | 16% | |||||||
| (8)Vermont | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 13% | 7% | 6% |
| (9)Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 12% | 5% | 7% |
| (11)MassachusettsMass. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 12% | 5% | 6% |
| (6)Maine | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 11% | 4% | 8% |
| (4)Boston University | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 11% | 2% | 8% |
| (5)NortheasternN. Eastern | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 9% | 3% | 6% |
| (7)New Hampshire | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 9% | 3% | 6% |
| (3)Boston College | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| (2)Providence | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 2% | <1% | 2% |
| (1)ConnecticutUConn | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 2% | <1% | 2% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (9‑13) |
0‑4 | Away | Fri Oct 3 |
| 2 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (9‑13) |
4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 10 |
| 3 | New Hampshire (11‑9) |
5‑1 | Home | Sat Oct 18 |
| 5 | ConnecticutUConn (13‑6‑3) |
1‑5 | Away | Sat Nov 1, 6:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston University (11‑10‑1) |
2‑3 (OT) | Away | Fri Nov 7, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston University (11‑10‑1) |
4‑5 | Home | Sat Nov 8, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Providence (12‑7‑2) |
2‑4 | Away | Fri Nov 14, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Providence (12‑7‑2) |
3‑2 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | ConnecticutUConn (13‑6‑3) |
0‑3 | Home | Fri Dec 5, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | ConnecticutUConn (13‑6‑3) |
2‑5 | Away | Sat Dec 6, 4:00 pm |
| 14 | Vermont (8‑12) |
5‑4 | Away | Mon Dec 29, 6:00 pm |
| 16 | MassachusettsMass. (11‑10) |
2‑4 | Home | Fri Jan 16, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | MassachusettsMass. (11‑10) |
Away | Sat Jan 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (11‑9) |
Home | Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (11‑9) |
Away | Sun Jan 25, 4:00 pm | |
| 18 | New Hampshire (11‑9) |
Home | Fri Jan 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | New Hampshire (11‑9) |
Away | Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Boston College (11‑7‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Boston College (11‑7‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Maine (12‑9‑2) |
Away | Fri Feb 20, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Maine (12‑9‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Vermont (8‑12) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Vermont (8‑12) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 6:00 pm | |
| 23 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (9‑13) |
Home | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Quinnipiac (17‑4‑2) |
ECACECAC | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 24, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Long Island (7‑12‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑5 | Home | Sat Oct 25, 7:00 pm |
| 8 | Long Island (7‑12‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 6‑2 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Notre Dame (4‑16‑1) |
Big 10Big 10 | 4‑5 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Dartmouth (13‑4‑1) |
ECACECAC | 0‑1 | Away | Sat Nov 29, 4:00 pm |
| 11 | Yale (6‑11) |
ECACECAC | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Dec 12, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Long Island (7‑12‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑2 | Home | Sat Dec 13, 6:00 pm |
| 14 | Brown (4‑14) |
ECACECAC | 3‑2 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Holy Cross (11‑8‑2) |
AtlanticAtl. | 5‑2 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
| 19 | Stonehill (4‑14‑2) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Tue Feb 3, 7:00 pm |