Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 |
| Providence | 11i Providence Recent Games Won Fri, Feb 06 @ New Hampshire 6-1 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Vermont 6-1 Fri, Feb 13 vs N. Eastern Sat, Feb 14 vs N. Eastern |
2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 39 | 89% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Boston College | 10 Boston College Recent Games Lost Fri, Feb 06 vs Vermont 1-6 Won Mon, Feb 09 @ Boston University 6-2 Fri, Feb 13 @ Merrimack |
0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 6% | 49% | 27% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ConnecticutUConn | 9 Connecticut Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Quinnipiac 4-2 Won Fri, Feb 06 @ N. Eastern 2-0 Fri, Feb 13 @ Maine Sat, Feb 14 @ Maine |
2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 5% | 31% | 35% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| MassachusettsMass. | 8 Massachusetts Recent Games Won Sun, Feb 01 @ Mass.-Lowell 6-4 Lost Fri, Feb 06 @ Mass.-Lowell 1-3 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Mass.-Lowell 5-2 Fri, Feb 20 vs New Hampshire |
2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 29 | <1% | 8% | 23% | 31% | 18% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Boston University | 6 Boston University Recent Games Won Fri, Feb 06 vs Maine 3-2 Lost Mon, Feb 09 vs Boston College 2-6 Fri, Feb 13 @ New Hampshire |
3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 2% |
| Merrimack | 7 Merrimack Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ New Hampshire 3-3 Won Tue, Feb 03 @ Stonehill 9-5 Fri, Feb 13 vs Boston College |
0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 23 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% |
| NortheasternN. Eastern | 6 Northeastern Recent Games Lost Fri, Feb 06 vs UConn 0-2 Lost Mon, Feb 09 vs Harvard 1-4 Fri, Feb 13 @ Provid. Sat, Feb 14 @ Provid. |
1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 23 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 14% | 7% |
| Maine | 5 Maine Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Provid. 2-3 Lost Fri, Feb 06 @ Boston University 2-3 Fri, Feb 13 vs UConn Sat, Feb 14 vs UConn |
3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 23 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 16% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 1% |
| Vermont | 7 Vermont Recent Games Won Fri, Feb 06 @ Boston College 6-1 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Provid. 1-6 Fri, Feb 13 vs Mass.-Lowell Sat, Feb 14 vs Mass.-Lowell |
0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 12% |
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 5 Mass.-Lowell Recent Games Lost Sun, Feb 01 vs Massachusetts 4-6 Won Fri, Feb 06 vs Massachusetts 3-1 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Massachusetts 2-5 Fri, Feb 13 @ Vermont Sat, Feb 14 @ Vermont |
1 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 19 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 25% | 36% |
| New Hampshire | 5 New Hampshire Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Merrimack 3-3 Lost Fri, Feb 06 vs Provid. 1-6 Fri, Feb 13 vs Boston University |
1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 17 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 27% | 41% |
| Record | Total | Home (47%) |
Away (17%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | 36% | |||||||
| (10)Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 15% | 12% | 2% |
| (11)New Hampshire | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 14% | 13% | 1% |
| (7)NortheasternN. Eastern | 6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 13% | 10% | 3% |
| (9)Vermont | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 21 | 12% | 8% | 5% |
| (5)Boston University | 6 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 5% | 2% | 4% |
| (8)Maine | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| (4)MassachusettsMass. | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| (3)ConnecticutUConn | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (2)Boston College | 10 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (1)Providence | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 39 | <1% | X | <1% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑18) |
0‑4 | Away | Fri Oct 3 |
| 2 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑18) |
4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 10 |
| 3 | New Hampshire (11‑14‑1) |
5‑1 | Home | Sat Oct 18 |
| 5 | ConnecticutUConn (16‑7‑3) |
1‑5 | Away | Sat Nov 1, 6:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston University (13‑14‑2) |
2‑3 (OT) | Away | Fri Nov 7, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston University (13‑14‑2) |
4‑5 | Home | Sat Nov 8, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Providence (18‑7‑2) |
2‑4 | Away | Fri Nov 14, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Providence (18‑7‑2) |
3‑2 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | ConnecticutUConn (16‑7‑3) |
0‑3 | Home | Fri Dec 5, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | ConnecticutUConn (16‑7‑3) |
2‑5 | Away | Sat Dec 6, 4:00 pm |
| 14 | Vermont (12‑15) |
5‑4 | Away | Mon Dec 29, 6:00 pm |
| 16 | MassachusettsMass. (17‑11) |
2‑4 | Home | Fri Jan 16, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | MassachusettsMass. (17‑11) |
1‑3 | Away | Sat Jan 17, 7:00 pm |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (12‑14‑1) |
4‑1 | Home | Thu Jan 22, 4:00 pm |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (12‑14‑1) |
3‑1 | Home | Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm |
| 18 | New Hampshire (11‑14‑1) |
2‑1 | Home | Fri Jan 30, 7:00 pm |
| 18 | New Hampshire (11‑14‑1) |
3‑3 (SO) | Away | Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm |
| 20 | Boston College (16‑9‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Boston College (16‑9‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Maine (14‑11‑2) |
Away | Fri Feb 20, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Maine (14‑11‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Vermont (12‑15) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Vermont (12‑15) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 6:00 pm | |
| 23 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑18) |
Home | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Quinnipiac (22‑5‑3) |
ECACECAC | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 24, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Long Island (10‑14‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑5 | Home | Sat Oct 25, 7:00 pm |
| 8 | Long Island (10‑14‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 6‑2 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Notre Dame (5‑20‑3) |
Big 10Big 10 | 4‑5 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Dartmouth (17‑6‑1) |
ECACECAC | 0‑1 | Away | Sat Nov 29, 4:00 pm |
| 11 | Yale (7‑17) |
ECACECAC | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Dec 12, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Long Island (10‑14‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑2 | Home | Sat Dec 13, 6:00 pm |
| 14 | Brown (4‑19‑1) |
ECACECAC | 3‑2 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Holy Cross (13‑13‑2) |
AtlanticAtl. | 5‑2 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
| 19 | Stonehill (6‑20‑2) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 9‑5 | Away | Tue Feb 3, 7:00 pm |