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Sun Sep 1 6:00 pm

La Liga - Week 4 of 41

Alavés What If?

The Alavés What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Alavés What If?

Next Game - Espanyol (1‑2‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 1 1 10 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 6%
Current Standings 2 1 1 7 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 9%
Lose Next Game 2 2 1 7 4% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 11%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 6%
Current Standings 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 9%
Worst Case Scenario 4% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 11%
Best Case Scenario
   Alavés beats Espanyol
 Worst Case Scenario
   Espanyol beats Alavés
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
34 of 34 100% 36 1 1 109 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 32 5 1 97 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 34 74% 27 10 1 82 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 34 65% 24 13 1 73 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 34 62% 23 14 1 70 79% 20% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 34 59% 22 15 1 67 54% 37% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 34 56% 21 16 1 64 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 34 53% 20 17 1 61 3% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 34 50% 19 18 1 58 <1% 1% 6% 18% 29% 27% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 34 47% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 11% 23% 29% 21% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 34 44% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 12% 24% 28% 20% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 34 41% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 13% 25% 28% 19% 8% 1% <1%
13 of 34 38% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 20% 30% 26% 15%
12 of 34 35% 14 23 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 23% 67%
11 of 34 32% 13 24 1 40 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
10 of 34 29% 12 25 1 37 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 34 15% 7 30 1 22 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 34 0% 2 35 1 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes La Liga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round