Is your team going to win its league championship, qualify for the UEFA Championship League, or be relegated? The La Liga table presents the probabilities that a team will win each table spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team page.
| Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | T | GP | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5*** | 6# | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |
| Real Sociedad | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 5% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Real Madrid | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 44% | 19% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Sevilla FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 25% | 23% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Atletico Madrid | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 5% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 6% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Barcelona | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Real Betis | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Valencia | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Espanyol | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Villarreal | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Mallorca | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 16% |
| Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Elche | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 10% |
| Cádiz | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 31% |
| Celta Vigo | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 27% |
| Granada | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 16% |
| Levante | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 51% |
| Alavés | 1 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 81% |
| Getafe | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 58% |