Is your team going to win its league championship, qualify for the UEFA Championship League, or be relegated? The La Liga table presents the probabilities that a team will win each table spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team page.
| Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | T | G | GD | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5*** | 6# | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |
| Atletico Madrid | 15 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 28 | 47 | 90% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Real Madrid | 12 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 18 | 40 | 7% | 49% | 29% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Barcelona | 11 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 37 | 3% | 34% | 40% | 16% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Sevilla FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 10 | 36 | <1% | 7% | 19% | 37% | 22% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 9 | 34 | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 30% | 28% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Real Sociedad | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 13 | 31 | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 31% | 29% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Granada | 8 | 8 | 4 | 24 | -10 | 28 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 4% |
| Real Betis | 8 | 9 | 3 | 26 | -8 | 27 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Celta Vigo | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | -7 | 24 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Cádiz | 6 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -10 | 24 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 10% |
| Getafe | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16 | -2 | 23 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Levante | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27 | -1 | 23 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Athletic Bilbao | 6 | 9 | 3 | 21 | -1 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Valencia | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -3 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Eibar | 4 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -4 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 17% |
| Real Valladolid | 4 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -9 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 28% |
| Osasuna | 4 | 9 | 7 | 19 | -10 | 19 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 38% |
| Alavés | 4 | 10 | 6 | 18 | -11 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 41% |
| Elche | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -9 | 17 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 46% |
| Huesca | 1 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -15 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 83% |