Is your team going to win its league championship, qualify for the UEFA Championship League, or be relegated? The La Liga table presents the probabilities that a team will win each table spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team page.
| Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | T | G | GD | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5*** | 6# | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |
| Atletico Madrid | 20 | 3 | 7 | 52 | 32 | 67 | 38% | 32% | 27% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Real Madrid | 20 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 29 | 66 | 32% | 34% | 28% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Barcelona | 20 | 5 | 5 | 69 | 43 | 65 | 30% | 31% | 34% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Sevilla FC | 19 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 20 | 61 | <1% | 2% | 10% | 86% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47 | 16 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 61% | 26% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Real Betis | 14 | 11 | 5 | 40 | -3 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 39% | 31% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 10 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 32% | 42% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Granada | 11 | 13 | 6 | 36 | -14 | 39 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Levante | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37 | -2 | 38 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 24% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Celta Vigo | 9 | 11 | 10 | 41 | -7 | 37 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Athletic Bilbao | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 6 | 37 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Cádiz | 9 | 13 | 8 | 27 | -18 | 35 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Valencia | 8 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -5 | 34 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Osasuna | 8 | 12 | 10 | 25 | -11 | 34 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Getafe | 7 | 14 | 9 | 22 | -12 | 30 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 17% |
| Huesca | 5 | 13 | 12 | 31 | -14 | 27 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 31% |
| Real Valladolid | 5 | 13 | 12 | 27 | -14 | 27 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 45% |
| Elche | 5 | 14 | 11 | 27 | -19 | 26 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 17% | 20% | 46% |
| Alavés | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24 | -23 | 24 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 74% |
| Eibar | 4 | 15 | 11 | 22 | -14 | 23 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 86% |