The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |||
| Ball State (4‑6) vs Toledo (6‑4) |
5 | Ball State Wins | X | 5% | 15% | 11% | 23% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 51% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Toledo Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 16% | 9% | 6% | 1% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||