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Tue Aug 11 1:45 am

MLB - Week 21 of 27

Astros What If?

The Astros What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Astros play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Astros What If?

Next Game - Giants (49‑70)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 62 59 <1% 23% 35% <1% 2% 9% 31%
Current Standings 61 59 <1% 21% 34% <1% 2% 8% 35%
Lose Next Game 61 60 <1% 17% 33% <1% 2% 8% 40%


Current Series - Giants (49‑70) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Astros Sweeps 63 59 <1% 27% 35% <1% 2% 8% 26%
Current Standings 61 59 <1% 21% 34% <1% 2% 8% 35%
Giants Sweeps 61 61 <1% 15% 32% <1% 2% 8% 44%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
42 of 42 100% 103 59 98% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
40 of 42 95% 101 61 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
39 of 42 93% 100 62 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
38 of 42 90% 99 63 80% 20% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
37 of 42 88% 98 64 69% 31% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
36 of 42 86% 97 65 57% 43% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
35 of 42 83% 96 66 45% 55% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
34 of 42 81% 95 67 33% 67% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
33 of 42 79% 94 68 22% 78% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
32 of 42 76% 93 69 12% 87% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
31 of 42 74% 92 70 6% 92% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
30 of 42 71% 91 71 3% 94% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
29 of 42 69% 90 72 1% 92% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1%
28 of 42 67% 89 73 <1% 86% 11% 1% 1% <1% <1%
27 of 42 64% 88 74 <1% 76% 20% 1% 2% 1% <1%
26 of 42 62% 87 75 <1% 62% 30% 1% 4% 3% <1%
25 of 42 60% 86 76 <1% 46% 42% <1% 6% 6% <1%
24 of 42 57% 85 77 <1% 30% 52% <1% 6% 11% 2%
23 of 42 55% 84 78 <1% 16% 56% <1% 5% 17% 6%
22 of 42 52% 83 79 <1% 7% 55% <1% 3% 19% 16%
21 of 42 50% 82 80 <1% 2% 47% <1% 1% 16% 33%
20 of 42 48% 81 81 <1% <1% 36% <1% <1% 9% 54%
19 of 42 45% 80 82 <1% <1% 25% <1% <1% 4% 72%
18 of 42 43% 79 83 <1% <1% 17% <1% <1% 1% 82%
17 of 42 40% 78 84 <1% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1% 91%
15 of 42 36% 76 86 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% 98%
10 of 42 24% 71 91 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 42 12% 66 96 X X <1% X X X >99%
0 of 42 0% 61 101 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs