The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (27‑25) vs Mariners (29‑22) 1 Game Remaining |
12 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 6% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 51% | ||
| White Sox (17‑35) vs Rangers (25‑28) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Rays (25‑26) vs Blue Jays (25‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Guardians (29‑22) vs Tigers (33‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Orioles (17‑34) vs Red Sox (27‑27) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Athletics (22‑31) vs Phillies (34‑18) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Rockies (9‑43) vs Yankees (31‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Marlins (20‑30) vs Angels (25‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Twins (29‑22) vs Royals (28‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (27‑25) vs Mariners (29‑22) |
12 | Astros Wins | 6% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 4% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 51% | ||
| White Sox (17‑35) vs Rangers (25‑28) |
2 | White Sox Wins | 5% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 5% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Rays (25‑26) vs Blue Jays (25‑26) |
2 | Rays Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 5% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Guardians (29‑22) vs Tigers (33‑20) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 5% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 5% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Orioles (17‑34) vs Red Sox (27‑27) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 5% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Athletics (22‑31) vs Phillies (34‑18) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 5% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 5% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Rockies (9‑43) vs Yankees (31‑20) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 5% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 5% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Marlins (20‑30) vs Angels (25‑26) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Angels Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Twins (29‑22) vs Royals (28‑25) |
0 | Twins Wins | 5% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Royals Wins | 5% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 49% | ||