The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (6‑8) vs Angels (9‑5) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Braves (4‑10) vs Rays (6‑8) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Mets (9‑5) vs Athletics (6‑9) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Orioles (6‑8) vs Blue Jays (8‑7) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Yankees (8‑6) vs Giants (10‑4) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Guardians (8‑6) vs Royals (7‑8) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 64% | ||
| Mariners (7‑8) vs Rangers (9‑6) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Twins (4‑11) vs Tigers (9‑5) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| White Sox (4‑10) vs Red Sox (7‑9) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (6‑8) vs Angels (9‑5) |
4 | Astros Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Angels Wins | 3% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Braves (4‑10) vs Rays (6‑8) |
2 | Braves Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Rays Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Mets (9‑5) vs Athletics (6‑9) |
2 | Mets Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Orioles (6‑8) vs Blue Jays (8‑7) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Yankees (8‑6) vs Giants (10‑4) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Giants Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Guardians (8‑6) vs Royals (7‑8) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Royals Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 64% | ||
| Mariners (7‑8) vs Rangers (9‑6) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Twins (4‑11) vs Tigers (9‑5) |
0 | Twins Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| White Sox (4‑10) vs Red Sox (7‑9) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||