The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (61‑59) vs Giants (49‑70) 2 Games Remaining |
40 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 27% | 35% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 15% | 32% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 44% | ||
| Angels (45‑74) vs Rangers (60‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
34 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 22% | 41% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 19% | 26% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 39% | ||
| Yankees (66‑52) vs Mariners (56‑63) 3 Games Remaining |
14 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 21% | 36% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 20% | 30% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Reds (56‑61) vs White Sox (61‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 25% | 30% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 18% | 37% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Orioles (57‑62) vs Twins (59‑61) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 22% | 33% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 20% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Rays (72‑46) vs Athletics (47‑72) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 20% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 20% | 33% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Tigers (58‑60) vs Guardians (58‑61) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 21% | 33% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 20% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Dodgers (71‑48) vs Royals (49‑71) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 35% | ||
| Red Sox (64‑54) vs Blue Jays (57‑63) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 21% | 33% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (61‑59) vs Giants (49‑70) |
20 | Astros Wins | <1% | 23% | 35% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 17% | 33% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Angels (45‑74) vs Rangers (60‑59) |
10 | Angels Wins | <1% | 22% | 36% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 21% | 31% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 36% | ||
| Yankees (66‑52) vs Mariners (56‑63) |
5 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 21% | 32% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 36% | ||
| Orioles (57‑62) vs Twins (59‑61) |
1 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 21% | 33% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | 20% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Blue Jays (57‑63) vs Red Sox (64‑54) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 21% | 33% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | 21% | 33% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 35% | ||
| Reds (56‑61) vs White Sox (61‑56) |
1 | Reds Wins | <1% | 22% | 32% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | 20% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Dodgers (71‑48) vs Royals (49‑71) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Athletics (47‑72) vs Rays (72‑46) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | 20% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 21% | 33% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 35% | ||
| Guardians (58‑61) vs Tigers (58‑60) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | 21% | 33% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 21% | 34% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 21% | 33% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 35% | ||