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Tue Aug 11 1:45 am

MLB - Week 21 of 27

Brewers What If?

The Brewers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Brewers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Brewers What If?

Next Game - Padres (63‑57)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 75 45 54% 24% 9% 12% 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 74 45 51% 25% 10% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 74 46 47% 25% 11% 15% 1% <1% <1%


Current Series - Padres (63‑57) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Brewers Sweeps 76 45 58% 23% 8% 10% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 74 45 51% 25% 10% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Padres Sweeps 74 47 43% 26% 13% 16% 2% <1% <1%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
43 of 43 100% 117 45 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
40 of 43 93% 114 48 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 43 81% 109 53 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
30 of 43 70% 104 58 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
28 of 43 65% 102 60 92% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
27 of 43 63% 101 61 86% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
26 of 43 60% 100 62 77% 21% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
25 of 43 58% 99 63 63% 32% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1%
24 of 43 56% 98 64 48% 40% 7% 5% <1% <1% <1%
23 of 43 53% 97 65 32% 46% 12% 9% <1% <1% <1%
22 of 43 51% 96 66 19% 45% 20% 16% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 43 49% 95 67 10% 38% 28% 24% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 43 47% 94 68 5% 27% 33% 35% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 43 44% 93 69 2% 16% 34% 47% 2% <1% <1%
18 of 43 42% 92 70 <1% 8% 31% 55% 5% <1% <1%
17 of 43 40% 91 71 <1% 3% 25% 59% 12% 1% <1%
16 of 43 37% 90 72 <1% 1% 17% 56% 23% 3% <1%
15 of 43 35% 89 73 <1% <1% 10% 46% 35% 8% 1%
14 of 43 33% 88 74 <1% <1% 6% 33% 42% 16% 3%
13 of 43 30% 87 75 <1% <1% 2% 19% 41% 30% 8%
12 of 43 28% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 9% 32% 39% 19%
11 of 43 26% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 3% 19% 39% 39%
10 of 43 23% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 28% 63%
9 of 43 21% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 83%
8 of 43 19% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 94%
5 of 43 12% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 43 0% 74 88 X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs