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Sun May 25 3:30 am

MLB - Week 10 of 28

Mariners What If?

The Mariners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mariners play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mariners What If?

Next Game - Astros (27‑25)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 30 22 11% 17% 20% 5% 6% 8% 33%
Current Standings 29 22 10% 16% 18% 5% 7% 7% 36%
Lose Next Game 29 23 9% 16% 18% 5% 7% 8% 38%


Current Series - Astros (27‑25) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mariners Sweeps 30 22 11% 17% 20% 5% 6% 8% 33%
Current Standings 29 22 10% 16% 18% 5% 7% 7% 36%
Astros Sweeps 29 23 9% 16% 18% 5% 7% 8% 38%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
111 of 111 100% 140 22 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 111 99% 139 23 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 111 90% 129 33 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 111 81% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 111 73% 110 52 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 111 72% 109 53 91% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 111 71% 108 54 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 111 70% 107 55 85% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 111 69% 106 56 80% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 111 68% 105 57 73% 24% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 111 68% 104 58 68% 29% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 111 67% 103 59 60% 35% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 111 66% 102 60 54% 39% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 111 65% 101 61 46% 43% 8% 3% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 111 64% 100 62 38% 47% 11% 4% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 111 63% 99 63 31% 50% 15% 5% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 111 62% 98 64 24% 51% 18% 7% 1% <1% <1%
68 of 111 61% 97 65 17% 49% 24% 9% 2% <1% <1%
67 of 111 60% 96 66 12% 47% 27% 11% 3% <1% <1%
66 of 111 59% 95 67 8% 41% 33% 13% 4% 1% <1%
65 of 111 59% 94 68 5% 36% 37% 14% 7% 1% <1%
64 of 111 58% 93 69 3% 30% 39% 15% 11% 3% <1%
63 of 111 57% 92 70 1% 22% 42% 15% 14% 5% 1%
62 of 111 56% 91 71 1% 17% 42% 14% 17% 8% 2%
61 of 111 55% 90 72 <1% 12% 41% 11% 20% 12% 4%
60 of 111 54% 89 73 <1% 8% 38% 9% 21% 17% 7%
59 of 111 53% 88 74 <1% 5% 34% 6% 20% 22% 13%
58 of 111 52% 87 75 <1% 3% 30% 4% 17% 25% 21%
57 of 111 51% 86 76 <1% 1% 25% 2% 14% 26% 32%
56 of 111 50% 85 77 <1% 1% 20% 1% 9% 24% 45%
55 of 111 50% 84 78 <1% <1% 15% 1% 6% 19% 59%
54 of 111 49% 83 79 <1% <1% 12% <1% 3% 14% 71%
53 of 111 48% 82 80 <1% <1% 8% <1% 1% 9% 81%
52 of 111 47% 81 81 <1% <1% 6% <1% 1% 5% 88%
51 of 111 46% 80 82 <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% 3% 93%
50 of 111 45% 79 83 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 1% 96%
40 of 111 36% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 111 27% 59 103 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 111 18% 49 113 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 111 9% 39 123 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 111 0% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs