The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (24‑27) vs Royals (20‑30) 3 Games Remaining |
21 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 15% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 67% | ||
| Angels (17‑34) vs Rangers (24‑25) 3 Games Remaining |
5 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 15% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 63% | ||
| Padres (29‑20) vs Athletics (26‑24) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Giants (20‑30) vs White Sox (25‑24) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Cubs (29‑21) vs Astros (20‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Guardians (30‑22) vs Phillies (25‑25) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 5% | 15% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Yankees (30‑21) vs Rays (33‑15) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Pirates (26‑24) vs Blue Jays (23‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Twins (23‑27) vs Red Sox (22‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Orioles (21‑29) vs Tigers (20‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (24‑27) vs Royals (20‑30) |
6 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Royals Wins | 1% | 5% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 63% | ||
| Angels (17‑34) vs Rangers (24‑25) |
2 | Angels Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 1% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Blue Jays (23‑27) vs Pirates (26‑24) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 1% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Padres (29‑20) vs Athletics (26‑24) |
1 | Padres Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 1% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Guardians (30‑22) vs Phillies (25‑25) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Astros (20‑31) vs Cubs (29‑21) |
1 | Astros Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 1% | 5% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Rays (33‑15) vs Yankees (30‑21) |
1 | Rays Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| White Sox (25‑24) vs Giants (20‑30) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Orioles (21‑29) vs Tigers (20‑31) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 1% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Red Sox (22‑27) vs Twins (23‑27) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 6% | 14% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Twins Wins | 1% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||