The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (29‑22) vs Astros (27‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
12 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 11% | 17% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 38% | ||
| Marlins (20‑30) vs Angels (25‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 17% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 16% | 18% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Phillies (34‑18) vs Athletics (22‑31) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 11% | 17% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 17% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 36% | ||
| White Sox (17‑35) vs Rangers (25‑28) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 16% | 19% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 16% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Blue Jays (25‑26) vs Rays (25‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 16% | 19% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 17% | 18% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Tigers (33‑20) vs Guardians (29‑22) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 17% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 11% | 16% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Rockies (9‑43) vs Yankees (31‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 16% | 19% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 16% | 19% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Royals (28‑25) vs Twins (29‑22) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 11% | 17% | 18% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 17% | 19% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Orioles (17‑34) vs Red Sox (27‑27) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 16% | 19% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (29‑22) vs Astros (27‑25) |
12 | Mariners Wins | 11% | 17% | 20% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Astros Wins | 9% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 38% | ||
| Marlins (20‑30) vs Angels (25‑26) |
2 | Marlins Wins | 10% | 17% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Angels Wins | 10% | 16% | 18% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Phillies (34‑18) vs Athletics (22‑31) |
2 | Phillies Wins | 11% | 17% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 10% | 17% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 36% | ||
| White Sox (17‑35) vs Rangers (25‑28) |
2 | White Sox Wins | 10% | 16% | 19% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 10% | 16% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Blue Jays (25‑26) vs Rays (25‑26) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 10% | 16% | 19% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Rays Wins | 10% | 17% | 18% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Tigers (33‑20) vs Guardians (29‑22) |
1 | Tigers Wins | 10% | 17% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 11% | 16% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Rockies (9‑43) vs Yankees (31‑20) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 10% | 16% | 19% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 10% | 16% | 19% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Royals (28‑25) vs Twins (29‑22) |
0 | Royals Wins | 11% | 17% | 18% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Twins Wins | 10% | 17% | 19% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Orioles (17‑34) vs Red Sox (27‑27) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 16% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 10% | 16% | 19% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||