The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (57‑52) vs Rangers (57‑52) 4 Games Remaining |
68 | Mariners Sweeps 4 Games | 3% | 9% | 16% | 14% | 19% | 15% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 61% | ||
| Red Sox (59‑51) vs Astros (62‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
11 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 7% | 15% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 38% | ||
| Twins (51‑57) vs Guardians (54‑54) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 15% | 41% | ||
| Yankees (59‑49) vs Rays (54‑55) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 5% | 11% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| White Sox (40‑69) vs Angels (53‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 15% | 40% | ||
| Phillies (61‑47) vs Tigers (64‑46) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 40% | ||
| Cubs (63‑45) vs Orioles (50‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 15% | 40% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑57) vs Athletics (48‑63) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Blue Jays (64‑46) vs Royals (54‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 5% | 12% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 40% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (57‑52) vs Rangers (57‑52) |
16 | Mariners Wins | 2% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 44% | ||
| Red Sox (59‑51) vs Astros (62‑47) |
4 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Astros Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Yankees (59‑49) vs Rays (54‑55) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Rays Wins | 2% | 5% | 11% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Twins (51‑57) vs Guardians (54‑54) |
1 | Twins Wins | 2% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 15% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 40% | ||
| White Sox (40‑69) vs Angels (53‑56) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 1% | 5% | 12% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Angels Wins | 2% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 40% | ||
| Athletics (48‑63) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑57) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 2% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Orioles (50‑59) vs Cubs (63‑45) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 2% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 15% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 2% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Phillies (61‑47) vs Tigers (64‑46) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 2% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Royals (54‑55) vs Blue Jays (64‑46) |
0 | Royals Wins | 2% | 5% | 12% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 2% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 39% | ||