The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (70‑79) vs Athletics (60‑89) 1 Game Remaining |
11 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 7% | X | <1% | 1% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 3% | X | <1% | <1% | 97% | ||
| Rays (89‑59) vs Astros (75‑74) 1 Game Remaining |
6 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 6% | X | <1% | <1% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 3% | X | <1% | <1% | 96% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (79‑70) vs Rangers (73‑76) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 6% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 4% | X | <1% | <1% | 95% | ||
| White Sox (76‑72) vs Cardinals (73‑76) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 95% | ||
| Angels (56‑92) vs Nationals (69‑81) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 95% | ||
| Tigers (69‑79) vs Rockies (55‑93) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Royals (66‑83) vs Red Sox (81‑68) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Guardians (75‑74) vs Twins (70‑78) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Orioles (72‑77) vs Blue Jays (74‑75) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | 1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Yankees (85‑63) vs Mets (69‑79) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (70‑79) vs Athletics (60‑89) |
11 | Mariners Wins | X | <1% | 7% | X | <1% | 1% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Athletics Wins | X | <1% | 3% | X | <1% | <1% | 97% | ||
| Rays (89‑59) vs Astros (75‑74) |
6 | Rays Wins | X | <1% | 6% | X | <1% | <1% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Astros Wins | X | <1% | 3% | X | <1% | <1% | 96% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (79‑70) vs Rangers (73‑76) |
4 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | X | <1% | 6% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Rangers Wins | X | <1% | 4% | X | <1% | <1% | 95% | ||
| White Sox (76‑72) vs Cardinals (73‑76) |
1 | White Sox Wins | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 95% | ||
| Angels (56‑92) vs Nationals (69‑81) |
1 | Angels Wins | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Nationals Wins | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 95% | ||
| Tigers (69‑79) vs Rockies (55‑93) |
1 | Tigers Wins | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Rockies Wins | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Royals (66‑83) vs Red Sox (81‑68) |
0 | Royals Wins | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Guardians (75‑74) vs Twins (70‑78) |
0 | Guardians Wins | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Twins Wins | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Orioles (72‑77) vs Blue Jays (74‑75) |
0 | Orioles Wins | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | 1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Yankees (85‑63) vs Mets (69‑79) |
0 | Yankees Wins | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||
| Mets Wins | X | <1% | 5% | X | <1% | <1% | 94% | ||