Nationals What If?

The Nationals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nationals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Nationals What If?

Next Game - Padres (19-23)

	Resultant Record		Divisional Winners			Wildcard		No Playoffs
	W	L	1*	2*	3*	4	5	6
Win Next Game	24	20	6%	10%	13%	8%	8%	55%
Current Standings	23	20	5%	9%	13%	8%	8%	57%
Lose Next Game	23	21	4%	9%	12%	8%	8%	58%

Current Series - Padres (19-23) - 1 Remaining Game

	Resultant Record		Divisional Winners			Wildcard		No Playoffs
	W	L	1*	2*	3*	4	5	6
Nationals Sweeps	24	20	6%	10%	13%	8%	8%	55%
Current Standings	23	20	5%	9%	13%	8%	8%	57%
Padres Sweeps	23	21	4%	9%	12%	8%	8%	58%

Remaining Games

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Divisional Winners			Wildcard		No Playoffs
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1*	2*	3*	4	5	6
119 of 119	100%	142	20	> 99%	< 1%	^	^	^	^
110 of 119	92%	133	29	> 99%	< 1%	< 1%	^	^	^
100 of 119	84%	123	39	> 99%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
90 of 119	76%	113	49	93%	7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
89 of 119	75%	112	50	92%	8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
88 of 119	74%	111	51	89%	11%	< 1%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
87 of 119	73%	110	52	85%	14%	< 1%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
86 of 119	72%	109	53	81%	17%	1%	2%	< 1%	< 1%
85 of 119	71%	108	54	75%	21%	1%	3%	< 1%	< 1%
84 of 119	71%	107	55	71%	25%	1%	4%	< 1%	< 1%
83 of 119	70%	106	56	62%	30%	2%	6%	< 1%	< 1%
82 of 119	69%	105	57	56%	34%	3%	7%	< 1%	< 1%
81 of 119	68%	104	58	48%	39%	5%	8%	< 1%	< 1%
80 of 119	67%	103	59	41%	41%	6%	11%	< 1%	< 1%
79 of 119	66%	102	60	34%	42%	9%	14%	1%	< 1%
78 of 119	66%	101	61	27%	45%	11%	15%	1%	< 1%
77 of 119	65%	100	62	20%	45%	15%	18%	2%	< 1%
76 of 119	64%	99	63	15%	43%	18%	20%	4%	< 1%
75 of 119	63%	98	64	12%	41%	21%	21%	5%	< 1%
74 of 119	62%	97	65	8%	36%	26%	22%	8%	1%
73 of 119	61%	96	66	4%	30%	29%	24%	10%	1%
72 of 119	61%	95	67	3%	26%	31%	25%	13%	3%
71 of 119	60%	94	68	2%	20%	33%	23%	17%	4%
70 of 119	59%	93	69	1%	16%	33%	22%	21%	7%
69 of 119	58%	92	70	1%	11%	33%	19%	24%	12%
68 of 119	57%	91	71	< 1%	8%	31%	16%	27%	17%
67 of 119	56%	90	72	< 1%	6%	31%	12%	28%	24%
66 of 119	55%	89	73	< 1%	3%	27%	9%	26%	35%
65 of 119	55%	88	74	< 1%	2%	24%	6%	24%	45%
64 of 119	54%	87	75	< 1%	1%	21%	3%	18%	57%
63 of 119	53%	86	76	< 1%	< 1%	17%	2%	15%	66%
62 of 119	52%	85	77	< 1%	< 1%	13%	1%	10%	76%
61 of 119	51%	84	78	< 1%	< 1%	10%	< 1%	5%	85%
60 of 119	50%	83	79	< 1%	< 1%	7%	< 1%	3%	89%
59 of 119	50%	82	80	< 1%	< 1%	5%	< 1%	1%	94%
50 of 119	42%	73	89	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
40 of 119	34%	63	99	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
30 of 119	25%	53	109	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
20 of 119	17%	43	119	X	X	X	X	X	100%
10 of 119	8%	33	129	X	X	X	X	X	100%
0 of 119	0%	23	139	X	X	X	X	X	100%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
* denotes first round bye in the playoffs

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MLB - Week 8 of 27

Nationals What If?

Nationals What If?

Next Game - Padres (19-23)

Current Series - Padres (19-23) - 1 Remaining Game

Remaining Games