The Nationals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Nationals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 9 | 1% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 9 | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 10 | 1% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 71% |
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Nationals Sweeps | 10 | 9 | 2% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 68% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 9 | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Pirates Sweeps | 6 | 13 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 147 of 147 | 100% | 153 | 9 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 140 of 147 | 95% | 146 | 16 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 130 of 147 | 88% | 136 | 26 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 120 of 147 | 82% | 126 | 36 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 119 of 147 | 81% | 125 | 37 | 92% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 118 of 147 | 80% | 124 | 38 | 91% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 117 of 147 | 80% | 123 | 39 | 88% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 116 of 147 | 79% | 122 | 40 | 84% | 15% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 115 of 147 | 78% | 121 | 41 | 80% | 18% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 114 of 147 | 78% | 120 | 42 | 76% | 22% | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 113 of 147 | 77% | 119 | 43 | 71% | 25% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 112 of 147 | 76% | 118 | 44 | 66% | 28% | 2% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 111 of 147 | 76% | 117 | 45 | 61% | 32% | 2% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 110 of 147 | 75% | 116 | 46 | 56% | 35% | 3% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 109 of 147 | 74% | 115 | 47 | 49% | 39% | 4% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 108 of 147 | 73% | 114 | 48 | 45% | 40% | 5% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 107 of 147 | 73% | 113 | 49 | 38% | 42% | 6% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 106 of 147 | 72% | 112 | 50 | 33% | 43% | 8% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 105 of 147 | 71% | 111 | 51 | 28% | 44% | 10% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 104 of 147 | 71% | 110 | 52 | 23% | 43% | 12% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 103 of 147 | 70% | 109 | 53 | 18% | 43% | 14% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 102 of 147 | 69% | 108 | 54 | 15% | 40% | 16% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| 101 of 147 | 69% | 107 | 55 | 12% | 38% | 18% | 24% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| 100 of 147 | 68% | 106 | 56 | 9% | 35% | 19% | 25% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
| 99 of 147 | 67% | 105 | 57 | 7% | 32% | 21% | 27% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
| 98 of 147 | 67% | 104 | 58 | 5% | 28% | 23% | 27% | 14% | 3% | <1% |
| 97 of 147 | 66% | 103 | 59 | 4% | 24% | 23% | 26% | 18% | 4% | <1% |
| 96 of 147 | 65% | 102 | 60 | 2% | 22% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 5% | 1% |
| 95 of 147 | 65% | 101 | 61 | 2% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 22% | 8% | 1% |
| 94 of 147 | 64% | 100 | 62 | 1% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 25% | 10% | 2% |
| 93 of 147 | 63% | 99 | 63 | 1% | 12% | 24% | 22% | 26% | 12% | 2% |
| 92 of 147 | 63% | 98 | 64 | <1% | 10% | 24% | 18% | 28% | 15% | 4% |
| 91 of 147 | 62% | 97 | 65 | <1% | 7% | 23% | 16% | 29% | 18% | 6% |
| 90 of 147 | 61% | 96 | 66 | <1% | 6% | 22% | 14% | 29% | 21% | 8% |
| 89 of 147 | 61% | 95 | 67 | <1% | 4% | 20% | 11% | 28% | 25% | 12% |
| 88 of 147 | 60% | 94 | 68 | <1% | 3% | 19% | 9% | 26% | 27% | 15% |
| 87 of 147 | 59% | 93 | 69 | <1% | 2% | 17% | 7% | 25% | 29% | 20% |
| 86 of 147 | 59% | 92 | 70 | <1% | 2% | 16% | 6% | 22% | 30% | 24% |
| 85 of 147 | 58% | 91 | 71 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 4% | 19% | 30% | 32% |
| 84 of 147 | 57% | 90 | 72 | <1% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 15% | 29% | 38% |
| 83 of 147 | 56% | 89 | 73 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 2% | 13% | 29% | 44% |
| 82 of 147 | 56% | 88 | 74 | <1% | <1% | 10% | 1% | 10% | 26% | 52% |
| 81 of 147 | 55% | 87 | 75 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 24% | 59% |
| 80 of 147 | 54% | 86 | 76 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 67% |
| 79 of 147 | 54% | 85 | 77 | <1% | <1% | 6% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 73% |
| 78 of 147 | 53% | 84 | 78 | <1% | <1% | 5% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 79% |
| 77 of 147 | 52% | 83 | 79 | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 84% |
| 76 of 147 | 52% | 82 | 80 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 88% |
| 75 of 147 | 51% | 81 | 81 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 91% |
| 74 of 147 | 50% | 80 | 82 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 93% |
| 73 of 147 | 50% | 79 | 83 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 95% |
| 70 of 147 | 48% | 76 | 86 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| 60 of 147 | 41% | 66 | 96 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 50 of 147 | 34% | 56 | 106 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 40 of 147 | 27% | 46 | 116 | X | X | <1% | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 30 of 147 | 20% | 36 | 126 | X | X | <1% | X | X | X | >99% |
| 20 of 147 | 14% | 26 | 136 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 10 of 147 | 7% | 16 | 146 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 147 | 0% | 6 | 156 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |