The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (59‑61) vs Cubs (69‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
14 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% | ||
| Rockies (46‑73) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (64‑56) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Brewers (74‑45) vs Padres (63‑57) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Cardinals (59‑60) vs Phillies (64‑56) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 91% | ||
| Mets (53‑67) vs Braves (71‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Dodgers (71‑48) vs Royals (49‑71) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Giants (49‑70) vs Astros (61‑59) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| White Sox (61‑56) vs Reds (56‑61) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Marlins (60‑59) vs Pirates (58‑62) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (59‑61) vs Cubs (69‑50) |
4 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 92% | ||
| Rockies (46‑73) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (64‑56) |
1 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Pirates (58‑62) vs Marlins (60‑59) |
1 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Cardinals (59‑60) vs Phillies (64‑56) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| White Sox (61‑56) vs Reds (56‑61) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Brewers (74‑45) vs Padres (63‑57) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Royals (49‑71) vs Dodgers (71‑48) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Braves (71‑48) vs Mets (53‑67) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Giants (49‑70) vs Astros (61‑59) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||