The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rangers (60‑56) vs Phillies (65‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Pirates (50‑66) vs Reds (59‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Braves (48‑66) vs Marlins (56‑58) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Brewers (70‑44) vs Mets (63‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cardinals (58‑58) vs Cubs (66‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (54‑60) vs Rockies (30‑84) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Padres (64‑51) vs Red Sox (64‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Dodgers (66‑49) vs Blue Jays (68‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Nationals (45‑69) vs Giants (58‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (50‑66) vs Reds (59‑56) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Braves (48‑66) vs Marlins (56‑58) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rangers (60‑56) vs Phillies (65‑49) |
0 | Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Brewers (70‑44) vs Mets (63‑52) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cardinals (58‑58) vs Cubs (66‑48) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (54‑60) vs Rockies (30‑84) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Padres (64‑51) vs Red Sox (64‑52) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Dodgers (66‑49) vs Blue Jays (68‑48) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Nationals (45‑69) vs Giants (58‑57) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||