The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (6‑9) vs Pirates (5‑11) 4 Games Remaining |
11 | Nationals Sweeps 4 Games | 2% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Giants (11‑4) vs Phillies (9‑6) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Giants Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Twins (5‑11) vs Mets (10‑5) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (9‑7) vs Marlins (8‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Cardinals (7‑8) vs Astros (7‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Dodgers (11‑6) vs Rockies (3‑12) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 69% | ||
| Cubs (11‑7) vs Padres (13‑3) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Reds (8‑8) vs Mariners (8‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Brewers (8‑8) vs Tigers (9‑6) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Braves (4‑11) vs Blue Jays (9‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (6‑9) vs Pirates (5‑11) |
2 | Nationals Wins | 1% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Reds (8‑8) vs Mariners (8‑8) |
2 | Reds Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Rockies (3‑12) vs Dodgers (11‑6) |
2 | Rockies Wins | 1% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Astros (7‑8) vs Cardinals (7‑8) |
1 | Astros Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 71% | ||
| Blue Jays (9‑7) vs Braves (4‑11) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Braves Wins | 1% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (9‑7) vs Marlins (8‑7) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Phillies (9‑6) vs Giants (11‑4) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Twins (5‑11) vs Mets (10‑5) |
0 | Twins Wins | 1% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Mets Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Tigers (9‑6) vs Brewers (8‑8) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 70% | ||
| Padres (13‑3) vs Cubs (11‑7) |
0 | Padres Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 70% | ||