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Thu Jun 18 5:45 am

MLB - Week 13 of 27

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Rangers (35‑38)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 39 35 <1% 1% 3% 8% 10% 10% 67%
Current Standings 38 35 <1% 1% 3% 7% 9% 10% 69%
Lose Next Game 38 36 <1% 1% 2% 6% 9% 10% 72%


Current Series - Rangers (35‑38) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 41 35 1% 2% 3% 10% 11% 11% 62%
Current Standings 38 35 <1% 1% 3% 7% 9% 10% 69%
Rangers Sweeps 38 38 <1% 1% 2% 5% 7% 9% 76%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
89 of 89 100% 127 35 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 89 90% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
71 of 89 80% 109 53 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 89 79% 108 54 92% 6% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 89 78% 107 55 88% 9% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 89 76% 106 56 83% 12% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 89 75% 105 57 76% 16% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 89 74% 104 58 67% 21% 1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 89 73% 103 59 59% 25% 2% 14% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 89 72% 102 60 50% 28% 3% 19% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 89 71% 101 61 40% 31% 5% 24% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 89 70% 100 62 31% 32% 7% 30% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 89 69% 99 63 23% 33% 8% 36% 1% <1% <1%
60 of 89 67% 98 64 15% 30% 11% 42% 2% <1% <1%
59 of 89 66% 97 65 10% 27% 13% 47% 4% <1% <1%
58 of 89 65% 96 66 6% 22% 15% 50% 6% <1% <1%
57 of 89 64% 95 67 3% 17% 16% 53% 10% 1% <1%
56 of 89 63% 94 68 2% 12% 16% 52% 17% 1% <1%
55 of 89 62% 93 69 1% 8% 16% 48% 24% 3% <1%
54 of 89 61% 92 70 <1% 5% 14% 43% 31% 6% 1%
53 of 89 60% 91 71 <1% 3% 12% 34% 37% 13% 2%
52 of 89 58% 90 72 <1% 1% 10% 24% 41% 20% 5%
51 of 89 57% 89 73 <1% 1% 6% 16% 39% 28% 10%
50 of 89 56% 88 74 <1% <1% 4% 10% 32% 34% 19%
49 of 89 55% 87 75 <1% <1% 3% 5% 23% 37% 32%
48 of 89 54% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 2% 15% 33% 48%
47 of 89 53% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 1% 8% 25% 65%
46 of 89 52% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 4% 17% 78%
45 of 89 51% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 89%
44 of 89 49% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 95%
40 of 89 45% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 89 34% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 89 22% 58 104 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 89 11% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 89 0% 38 124 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs