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Fri May 22 1:15 am

MLB - Week 9 of 27

Padres What If?

The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Padres What If?

Next Game - Athletics (26‑24)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 30 20 7% 12% 14% 11% 9% 9% 39%
Current Standings 29 20 7% 11% 13% 11% 9% 9% 40%
Lose Next Game 29 21 6% 11% 13% 10% 9% 9% 42%


Current Series - Athletics (26‑24) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Padres Sweeps 32 20 8% 12% 14% 12% 9% 9% 36%
Current Standings 29 20 7% 11% 13% 11% 9% 9% 40%
Athletics Sweeps 29 23 5% 9% 13% 10% 9% 9% 45%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
113 of 113 100% 142 20 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 113 97% 139 23 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 113 88% 129 33 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 113 80% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 113 74% 113 49 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 113 73% 112 50 91% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 113 73% 111 51 88% 11% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 113 72% 110 52 85% 14% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 113 71% 109 53 80% 19% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 113 70% 108 54 74% 23% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 113 69% 107 55 68% 27% 2% 3% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 113 68% 106 56 61% 32% 3% 5% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 113 67% 105 57 54% 35% 5% 6% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 113 66% 104 58 47% 39% 6% 8% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 113 65% 103 59 39% 42% 9% 10% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 113 65% 102 60 32% 42% 12% 13% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 113 64% 101 61 25% 43% 15% 17% 1% <1% <1%
71 of 113 63% 100 62 19% 41% 18% 20% 1% <1% <1%
70 of 113 62% 99 63 13% 39% 22% 23% 3% <1% <1%
69 of 113 61% 98 64 10% 35% 24% 26% 4% <1% <1%
68 of 113 60% 97 65 6% 30% 28% 28% 7% <1% <1%
67 of 113 59% 96 66 4% 25% 31% 29% 10% 1% <1%
66 of 113 58% 95 67 2% 20% 31% 29% 15% 2% <1%
65 of 113 58% 94 68 1% 15% 32% 28% 19% 5% <1%
64 of 113 57% 93 69 1% 10% 32% 25% 24% 8% 1%
63 of 113 56% 92 70 <1% 7% 30% 21% 27% 12% 3%
62 of 113 55% 91 71 <1% 4% 27% 16% 29% 18% 6%
61 of 113 54% 90 72 <1% 2% 24% 12% 29% 23% 10%
60 of 113 53% 89 73 <1% 1% 20% 8% 26% 28% 17%
59 of 113 52% 88 74 <1% 1% 16% 5% 21% 30% 26%
58 of 113 51% 87 75 <1% <1% 14% 2% 14% 30% 39%
57 of 113 50% 86 76 <1% <1% 10% 1% 10% 25% 53%
56 of 113 50% 85 77 <1% <1% 7% 1% 5% 20% 66%
55 of 113 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 5% <1% 3% 14% 78%
54 of 113 48% 83 79 <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 9% 86%
53 of 113 47% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 5% 93%
50 of 113 44% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
40 of 113 35% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 113 27% 59 103 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 113 18% 49 113 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 113 9% 39 123 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 113 0% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs