The Padres What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Padres play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 15 | 14 | 3% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 59% |
| Current Standings | 14 | 14 | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% |
| Lose Next Game | 14 | 15 | 2% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 60% |
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Padres Sweeps | 17 | 14 | 3% | 8% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Standings | 14 | 14 | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% |
| Phillies Sweeps | 14 | 17 | 2% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 63% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 134 of 134 | 100% | 148 | 14 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 130 of 134 | 97% | 144 | 18 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 120 of 134 | 90% | 134 | 28 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 110 of 134 | 82% | 124 | 38 | 99% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 106 of 134 | 79% | 120 | 42 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 105 of 134 | 78% | 119 | 43 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 104 of 134 | 78% | 118 | 44 | 91% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 103 of 134 | 77% | 117 | 45 | 88% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 102 of 134 | 76% | 116 | 46 | 86% | 13% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 101 of 134 | 75% | 115 | 47 | 81% | 17% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 100 of 134 | 75% | 114 | 48 | 77% | 21% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 99 of 134 | 74% | 113 | 49 | 73% | 24% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 98 of 134 | 73% | 112 | 50 | 68% | 28% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 97 of 134 | 72% | 111 | 51 | 62% | 32% | 4% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 96 of 134 | 72% | 110 | 52 | 55% | 36% | 5% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 95 of 134 | 71% | 109 | 53 | 50% | 39% | 6% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 94 of 134 | 70% | 108 | 54 | 44% | 42% | 8% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 93 of 134 | 69% | 107 | 55 | 37% | 45% | 11% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 92 of 134 | 69% | 106 | 56 | 31% | 46% | 14% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 91 of 134 | 68% | 105 | 57 | 25% | 47% | 17% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 90 of 134 | 67% | 104 | 58 | 21% | 45% | 20% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 89 of 134 | 66% | 103 | 59 | 17% | 44% | 24% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 88 of 134 | 66% | 102 | 60 | 13% | 41% | 27% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 87 of 134 | 65% | 101 | 61 | 9% | 38% | 31% | 17% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| 86 of 134 | 64% | 100 | 62 | 6% | 35% | 34% | 17% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| 85 of 134 | 63% | 99 | 63 | 5% | 30% | 36% | 18% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
| 84 of 134 | 63% | 98 | 64 | 3% | 26% | 38% | 18% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
| 83 of 134 | 62% | 97 | 65 | 2% | 20% | 39% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 1% |
| 82 of 134 | 61% | 96 | 66 | 1% | 18% | 39% | 18% | 17% | 6% | 1% |
| 81 of 134 | 60% | 95 | 67 | 1% | 13% | 41% | 16% | 20% | 9% | 2% |
| 80 of 134 | 60% | 94 | 68 | <1% | 11% | 39% | 14% | 22% | 11% | 3% |
| 79 of 134 | 59% | 93 | 69 | <1% | 8% | 38% | 12% | 22% | 14% | 5% |
| 78 of 134 | 58% | 92 | 70 | <1% | 6% | 35% | 10% | 23% | 18% | 8% |
| 77 of 134 | 57% | 91 | 71 | <1% | 4% | 32% | 8% | 22% | 22% | 12% |
| 76 of 134 | 57% | 90 | 72 | <1% | 3% | 30% | 6% | 21% | 24% | 17% |
| 75 of 134 | 56% | 89 | 73 | <1% | 2% | 27% | 5% | 18% | 26% | 23% |
| 74 of 134 | 55% | 88 | 74 | <1% | 1% | 24% | 3% | 15% | 26% | 31% |
| 73 of 134 | 54% | 87 | 75 | <1% | 1% | 21% | 2% | 12% | 26% | 39% |
| 72 of 134 | 54% | 86 | 76 | <1% | <1% | 19% | 1% | 9% | 23% | 47% |
| 71 of 134 | 53% | 85 | 77 | <1% | <1% | 16% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 57% |
| 70 of 134 | 52% | 84 | 78 | <1% | <1% | 13% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 66% |
| 69 of 134 | 51% | 83 | 79 | <1% | <1% | 11% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 73% |
| 68 of 134 | 51% | 82 | 80 | <1% | <1% | 9% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 81% |
| 67 of 134 | 50% | 81 | 81 | <1% | <1% | 7% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 86% |
| 66 of 134 | 49% | 80 | 82 | <1% | <1% | 6% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 90% |
| 65 of 134 | 49% | 79 | 83 | <1% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 92% |
| 64 of 134 | 48% | 78 | 84 | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 95% |
| 60 of 134 | 45% | 74 | 88 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| 50 of 134 | 37% | 64 | 98 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 40 of 134 | 30% | 54 | 108 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 30 of 134 | 22% | 44 | 118 | X | X | <1% | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 20 of 134 | 15% | 34 | 128 | X | X | <1% | X | X | X | >99% |
| 10 of 134 | 7% | 24 | 138 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 134 | 0% | 14 | 148 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |