The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (13‑3) vs Cubs (11‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
13 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 18% | 9% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 38% | ||
| Phillies (9‑6) vs Giants (11‑4) 4 Games Remaining |
4 | Phillies Sweeps 4 Games | 22% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 4 Games | 21% | 8% | 4% | 14% | 9% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Marlins (8‑7) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (9‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 22% | 9% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 21% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Twins (5‑11) vs Mets (10‑5) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 21% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Astros (7‑8) vs Cardinals (7‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Mariners (8‑8) vs Reds (8‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Rockies (3‑12) vs Dodgers (11‑6) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 22% | 8% | 5% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Blue Jays (9‑7) vs Braves (4‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Pirates (5‑11) vs Nationals (6‑9) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 4 Games | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 4 Games | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Tigers (9‑6) vs Brewers (8‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 21% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (13‑3) vs Cubs (11‑7) |
4 | Padres Wins | 23% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 20% | 9% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Brewers (8‑8) vs Tigers (9‑6) |
3 | Brewers Wins | 23% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Marlins (8‑7) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (9‑7) |
2 | Marlins Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Mariners (8‑8) vs Reds (8‑8) |
2 | Mariners Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Reds Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Mets (10‑5) vs Twins (5‑11) |
1 | Mets Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Twins Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Nationals (6‑9) vs Pirates (5‑11) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Phillies (9‑6) vs Giants (11‑4) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Giants Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Braves (4‑11) vs Blue Jays (9‑7) |
1 | Braves Wins | 22% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 21% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% | ||
| Astros (7‑8) vs Cardinals (7‑8) |
0 | Astros Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Dodgers (11‑6) vs Rockies (3‑12) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 22% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 36% | ||