The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (80‑68) vs Giants (62‑87) 1 Game Remaining |
12 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 28% | 39% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 42% | 34% | ||
| Rangers (73‑76) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (79‑70) 1 Game Remaining |
9 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 25% | 44% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 23% | 37% | 31% | ||
| Braves (88‑61) vs Phillies (82‑67) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 27% | 37% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 20% | 44% | 28% | ||
| Pirates (74‑75) vs Cubs (83‑66) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 23% | 39% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 24% | 42% | 27% | ||
| Marlins (73‑76) vs Dodgers (90‑58) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 24% | 41% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 23% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Reds (69‑79) vs Brewers (93‑56) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 23% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Nationals (69‑81) vs Angels (56‑92) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 39% | 28% | ||
| White Sox (76‑72) vs Cardinals (73‑76) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Mets (69‑79) vs Yankees (85‑63) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 24% | 40% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Tigers (69‑79) vs Rockies (55‑93) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (80‑68) vs Giants (62‑87) |
12 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 28% | 39% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 42% | 34% | ||
| Rangers (73‑76) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (79‑70) |
9 | Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 25% | 44% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 23% | 37% | 31% | ||
| Braves (88‑61) vs Phillies (82‑67) |
2 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 27% | 37% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 20% | 44% | 28% | ||
| Pirates (74‑75) vs Cubs (83‑66) |
1 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 23% | 39% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 24% | 42% | 27% | ||
| Marlins (73‑76) vs Dodgers (90‑58) |
1 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 24% | 41% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 23% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Reds (69‑79) vs Brewers (93‑56) |
1 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 23% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Nationals (69‑81) vs Angels (56‑92) |
1 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 39% | 28% | ||
| White Sox (76‑72) vs Cardinals (73‑76) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Mets (69‑79) vs Yankees (85‑63) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 24% | 40% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Tigers (69‑79) vs Rockies (55‑93) |
0 | Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 24% | 40% | 28% | ||