The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (29‑20) vs Athletics (26‑24) 3 Games Remaining |
20 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 45% | ||
| Brewers (29‑18) vs Dodgers (31‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
7 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 12% | 15% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Rockies (19‑32) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (26‑23) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 41% | ||
| Guardians (30‑22) vs Phillies (25‑25) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 41% | ||
| White Sox (25‑24) vs Giants (20‑30) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Cubs (29‑21) vs Astros (20‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Nationals (25‑26) vs Braves (35‑16) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Mets (22‑28) vs Marlins (22‑29) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Reds (26‑24) vs Cardinals (28‑21) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Blue Jays (23‑27) vs Pirates (26‑24) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (29‑20) vs Athletics (26‑24) |
6 | Padres Wins | 7% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 6% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 42% | ||
| Brewers (29‑18) vs Dodgers (31‑19) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 7% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Rockies (19‑32) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (26‑23) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 7% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Pirates (26‑24) vs Blue Jays (23‑27) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Braves (35‑16) vs Nationals (25‑26) |
1 | Braves Wins | 7% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Cardinals (28‑21) vs Reds (26‑24) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 7% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Reds Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Phillies (25‑25) vs Guardians (30‑22) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Cubs (29‑21) vs Astros (20‑31) |
0 | Cubs Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Astros Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Giants (20‑30) vs White Sox (25‑24) |
0 | Giants Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Marlins (22‑29) vs Mets (22‑28) |
0 | Marlins Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||
| Mets Wins | 7% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 40% | ||