The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (60‑49) vs Cardinals (55‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
41 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 14% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 16% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 22% | 20% | 28% | ||
| Braves (45‑62) vs Reds (56‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 19% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 22% | 18% | 18% | ||
| Nationals (44‑64) vs Brewers (64‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 10% | 18% | 22% | 17% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 17% | ||
| Tigers (64‑46) vs Phillies (61‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 12% | 9% | 15% | 25% | 17% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 22% | 19% | 18% | ||
| Orioles (50‑59) vs Cubs (63‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 11% | 9% | 17% | 22% | 17% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 24% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Athletics (48‑63) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 19% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Giants (54‑55) vs Mets (62‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 12% | 9% | 15% | 24% | 16% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 20% | 17% | ||
| Pirates (47‑62) vs Rockies (28‑80) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (60‑49) vs Cardinals (55‑55) |
13 | Padres Wins | 6% | 12% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 18% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 4% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 24% | 19% | 20% | ||
| Orioles (50‑59) vs Cubs (63‑45) |
2 | Orioles Wins | 7% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 18% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 5% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 24% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Tigers (64‑46) vs Phillies (61‑47) |
2 | Tigers Wins | 6% | 12% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 6% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 23% | 19% | 17% | ||
| Pirates (47‑62) vs Rockies (28‑80) |
2 | Pirates Wins | 6% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 23% | 18% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 6% | 12% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Braves (45‑62) vs Reds (56‑52) |
1 | Braves Wins | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 18% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Reds Wins | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Athletics (48‑63) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑57) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 6% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 23% | 19% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Nationals (44‑64) vs Brewers (64‑44) |
0 | Nationals Wins | 6% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 18% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 6% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Mets (62‑47) vs Giants (54‑55) |
0 | Mets Wins | 6% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 23% | 19% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Giants Wins | 6% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 17% | 17% | ||