The Most Important Games for the Padres are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Padres final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Padres fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (14‑14) vs Phillies (16‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
13 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 8% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 63% | ||
| Blue Jays (13‑13) vs Dodgers (16‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
5 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 14% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 61% | ||
| Mariners (13‑12) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (12‑14) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 14% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 61% | ||
| Pirates (13‑13) vs Giants (12‑14) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Marlins (6‑20) vs Nationals (10‑14) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Marlins Sweeps 4 Games | 3% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 4 Games | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Cubs (16‑9) vs Red Sox (14‑12) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 61% | ||
| Yankees (17‑9) vs Brewers (16‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Mets (13‑11) vs Cardinals (11‑14) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Rangers (13‑13) vs Reds (14‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 14% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Astros (7‑19) vs Rockies (7‑19) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Guardians (18‑7) vs Braves (17‑6) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 14% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Padres Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Padres (14‑14) vs Phillies (16‑10) |
3 | Padres Wins | 3% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 2% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Blue Jays (13‑13) vs Dodgers (16‑11) |
2 | Blue Jays Wins | 3% | 7% | 14% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 3% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Mariners (13‑12) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (12‑14) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 3% | 7% | 14% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 3% | 7% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Brewers (16‑8) vs Yankees (17‑9) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 3% | 7% | 14% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 60% | ||
| Braves (17‑6) vs Guardians (18‑7) |
1 | Braves Wins | 3% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 3% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Mets (13‑11) vs Cardinals (11‑14) |
1 | Mets Wins | 3% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 3% | 7% | 14% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Nationals (10‑14) vs Marlins (6‑20) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 3% | 7% | 14% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Red Sox (14‑12) vs Cubs (16‑9) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | 3% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Pirates (13‑13) vs Giants (12‑14) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 3% | 7% | 14% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Giants Wins | 3% | 7% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Rockies (7‑19) vs Astros (7‑19) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Astros Wins | 3% | 7% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Rangers (13‑13) vs Reds (14‑11) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 3% | 7% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||
| Reds Wins | 3% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 60% | ||