Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Phillies What If?

Next Game - Marlins (13-32)

	Resultant Record		Divisional Winners			Wildcard		No Playoffs
	W	L	1*	2*	3*	4	5	6
Win Next Game	22	23	1%	5%	8%	5%	7%	74%
Current Standings	21	23	1%	4%	9%	4%	7%	75%
Lose Next Game	21	24	1%	4%	8%	4%	6%	75%

Current Series - Marlins (13-32) - 2 Remaining Games

	Resultant Record		Divisional Winners			Wildcard		No Playoffs
	W	L	1*	2*	3*	4	5	6
Phillies Sweeps	23	23	2%	5%	9%	5%	7%	73%
Current Standings	21	23	1%	4%	9%	4%	7%	75%
Marlins Sweeps	21	25	1%	4%	8%	4%	6%	78%

Remaining Games

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Divisional Winners			Wildcard		No Playoffs
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1*	2*	3*	4	5	6
118 of 118	100%	139	23	> 99%	< 1%	< 1%	^	^	^
110 of 118	93%	131	31	> 99%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	^	^
100 of 118	85%	121	41	> 99%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
91 of 118	77%	112	50	94%	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
90 of 118	76%	111	51	92%	8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
89 of 118	75%	110	52	89%	11%	< 1%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
88 of 118	75%	109	53	85%	14%	< 1%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
87 of 118	74%	108	54	79%	18%	1%	2%	< 1%	< 1%
86 of 118	73%	107	55	75%	22%	1%	3%	< 1%	< 1%
85 of 118	72%	106	56	69%	27%	1%	4%	< 1%	< 1%
84 of 118	71%	105	57	61%	31%	3%	5%	< 1%	< 1%
83 of 118	70%	104	58	54%	36%	4%	6%	< 1%	< 1%
82 of 118	69%	103	59	46%	39%	6%	9%	< 1%	< 1%
81 of 118	69%	102	60	37%	43%	8%	12%	1%	< 1%
80 of 118	68%	101	61	30%	44%	11%	14%	1%	< 1%
79 of 118	67%	100	62	24%	45%	13%	17%	1%	< 1%
78 of 118	66%	99	63	18%	42%	17%	20%	3%	< 1%
77 of 118	65%	98	64	13%	40%	21%	21%	4%	< 1%
76 of 118	64%	97	65	9%	35%	25%	23%	7%	1%
75 of 118	64%	96	66	6%	32%	28%	24%	10%	1%
74 of 118	63%	95	67	3%	26%	29%	26%	13%	2%
73 of 118	62%	94	68	2%	19%	32%	24%	19%	4%
72 of 118	61%	93	69	1%	15%	31%	23%	22%	8%
71 of 118	60%	92	70	< 1%	12%	30%	20%	25%	12%
70 of 118	59%	91	71	< 1%	8%	29%	17%	28%	18%
69 of 118	58%	90	72	< 1%	5%	27%	13%	29%	26%
68 of 118	58%	89	73	< 1%	3%	24%	10%	28%	35%
67 of 118	57%	88	74	< 1%	2%	19%	7%	25%	47%
66 of 118	56%	87	75	< 1%	1%	17%	4%	20%	59%
65 of 118	55%	86	76	< 1%	< 1%	14%	2%	15%	69%
64 of 118	54%	85	77	< 1%	< 1%	10%	1%	9%	80%
63 of 118	53%	84	78	< 1%	< 1%	8%	1%	6%	86%
62 of 118	53%	83	79	< 1%	< 1%	5%	< 1%	3%	92%
61 of 118	52%	82	80	< 1%	< 1%	4%	< 1%	1%	95%
60 of 118	51%	81	81	< 1%	< 1%	3%	< 1%	1%	97%
50 of 118	42%	71	91	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
40 of 118	34%	61	101	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
30 of 118	25%	51	111	X	X	X	X	X	100%
20 of 118	17%	41	121	X	X	X	X	X	100%
10 of 118	8%	31	131	X	X	X	X	X	100%
0 of 118	0%	21	141	X	X	X	X	X	100%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
* denotes first round bye in the playoffs

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MLB - Week 9 of 27

Phillies What If?

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Marlins (13-32)

Current Series - Marlins (13-32) - 2 Remaining Games

Remaining Games