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Sun May 25 3:30 am

MLB - Week 10 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Athletics (22‑31)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 35 18 30% 17% 12% 14% 8% 7% 12%
Current Standings 34 18 28% 17% 12% 14% 9% 7% 13%
Lose Next Game 34 19 26% 17% 12% 13% 9% 7% 15%


Current Series - Athletics (22‑31) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 35 18 30% 17% 12% 14% 8% 7% 12%
Current Standings 34 18 28% 17% 12% 14% 9% 7% 13%
Athletics Sweeps 34 19 26% 17% 12% 13% 9% 7% 15%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
110 of 110 100% 144 18 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 110 91% 134 28 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
90 of 110 82% 124 38 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 110 73% 114 48 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 110 70% 111 51 95% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 110 69% 110 52 93% 6% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 110 68% 109 53 89% 9% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 110 67% 108 54 86% 11% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 110 66% 107 55 80% 15% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 110 65% 106 56 74% 20% 1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 110 65% 105 57 67% 24% 2% 7% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 110 64% 104 58 58% 29% 3% 9% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 110 63% 103 59 50% 33% 5% 11% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 110 62% 102 60 41% 36% 8% 14% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 110 61% 101 61 33% 39% 10% 18% 1% <1% <1%
66 of 110 60% 100 62 25% 39% 14% 21% 2% <1% <1%
65 of 110 59% 99 63 17% 38% 17% 24% 3% <1% <1%
64 of 110 58% 98 64 13% 36% 20% 26% 4% <1% <1%
63 of 110 57% 97 65 8% 32% 23% 29% 7% 1% <1%
62 of 110 56% 96 66 5% 27% 26% 30% 10% 1% <1%
61 of 110 55% 95 67 3% 22% 28% 29% 15% 2% <1%
60 of 110 55% 94 68 2% 17% 29% 28% 20% 5% <1%
59 of 110 54% 93 69 1% 13% 28% 26% 24% 8% 1%
58 of 110 53% 92 70 <1% 8% 28% 21% 27% 12% 2%
57 of 110 52% 91 71 <1% 5% 25% 17% 30% 18% 5%
56 of 110 51% 90 72 <1% 3% 22% 14% 29% 22% 9%
55 of 110 50% 89 73 <1% 2% 18% 9% 27% 28% 16%
54 of 110 49% 88 74 <1% 1% 15% 6% 22% 31% 26%
53 of 110 48% 87 75 <1% 1% 11% 3% 17% 31% 38%
52 of 110 47% 86 76 <1% <1% 8% 1% 11% 28% 51%
51 of 110 46% 85 77 <1% <1% 6% 1% 7% 22% 65%
50 of 110 45% 84 78 <1% <1% 4% <1% 3% 16% 77%
49 of 110 45% 83 79 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 10% 86%
48 of 110 44% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 5% 93%
40 of 110 36% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 110 27% 64 98 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 110 18% 54 108 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 110 9% 44 118 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 110 0% 34 128 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs