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Fri Apr 18 3:30 am

MLB - Week 5 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Marlins (8‑10)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 12 8 6% 12% 13% 5% 6% 6% 52%
Current Standings 11 8 6% 12% 13% 5% 6% 6% 53%
Lose Next Game 11 9 5% 11% 12% 5% 6% 7% 54%


Current Series - Marlins (8‑10) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 14 8 7% 12% 13% 5% 6% 7% 50%
Current Standings 11 8 6% 12% 13% 5% 6% 6% 53%
Marlins Sweeps 11 11 4% 10% 12% 5% 6% 7% 57%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
143 of 143 100% 154 8 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
140 of 143 98% 151 11 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 143 91% 141 21 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
120 of 143 84% 131 31 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
113 of 143 79% 124 38 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
112 of 143 78% 123 39 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
111 of 143 78% 122 40 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
110 of 143 77% 121 41 86% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
109 of 143 76% 120 42 82% 17% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
108 of 143 76% 119 43 78% 20% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
107 of 143 75% 118 44 74% 24% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
106 of 143 74% 117 45 69% 29% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
105 of 143 73% 116 46 64% 33% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1%
104 of 143 73% 115 47 59% 36% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1%
103 of 143 72% 114 48 53% 41% 3% 3% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 143 71% 113 49 47% 44% 5% 4% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 143 71% 112 50 41% 47% 6% 6% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 143 70% 111 51 36% 49% 8% 6% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 143 69% 110 52 31% 51% 10% 7% 1% <1% <1%
98 of 143 69% 109 53 25% 52% 13% 9% 1% <1% <1%
97 of 143 68% 108 54 21% 52% 15% 10% 2% <1% <1%
96 of 143 67% 107 55 17% 51% 18% 11% 2% <1% <1%
95 of 143 66% 106 56 13% 48% 22% 13% 3% <1% <1%
94 of 143 66% 105 57 10% 46% 25% 14% 5% <1% <1%
93 of 143 65% 104 58 8% 43% 27% 15% 6% 1% <1%
92 of 143 64% 103 59 6% 38% 31% 16% 8% 1% <1%
91 of 143 64% 102 60 4% 34% 33% 16% 10% 2% <1%
90 of 143 63% 101 61 3% 30% 35% 17% 12% 3% <1%
89 of 143 62% 100 62 2% 26% 37% 16% 14% 4% 1%
88 of 143 62% 99 63 2% 22% 37% 15% 17% 6% 1%
87 of 143 61% 98 64 1% 18% 37% 15% 19% 9% 2%
86 of 143 60% 97 65 1% 14% 38% 14% 20% 10% 2%
85 of 143 59% 96 66 <1% 11% 36% 13% 22% 14% 4%
84 of 143 59% 95 67 <1% 8% 35% 11% 23% 17% 6%
83 of 143 58% 94 68 <1% 7% 32% 10% 23% 20% 9%
82 of 143 57% 93 69 <1% 5% 31% 7% 22% 22% 12%
81 of 143 57% 92 70 <1% 3% 29% 6% 20% 24% 18%
80 of 143 56% 91 71 <1% 2% 26% 5% 18% 25% 23%
79 of 143 55% 90 72 <1% 2% 23% 3% 15% 26% 31%
78 of 143 55% 89 73 <1% 1% 21% 2% 13% 26% 37%
77 of 143 54% 88 74 <1% 1% 18% 2% 10% 25% 45%
76 of 143 53% 87 75 <1% 1% 16% 1% 8% 22% 53%
75 of 143 52% 86 76 <1% <1% 14% 1% 6% 20% 60%
74 of 143 52% 85 77 <1% <1% 12% <1% 4% 16% 68%
73 of 143 51% 84 78 <1% <1% 10% <1% 3% 13% 75%
72 of 143 50% 83 79 <1% <1% 8% <1% 2% 10% 80%
71 of 143 50% 82 80 <1% <1% 7% <1% 1% 7% 84%
70 of 143 49% 81 81 <1% <1% 6% <1% 1% 5% 89%
69 of 143 48% 80 82 <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% 3% 92%
68 of 143 48% 79 83 <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% 2% 94%
60 of 143 42% 71 91 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 143 35% 61 101 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 143 28% 51 111 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 143 21% 41 121 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
20 of 143 14% 31 131 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 143 7% 21 141 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 143 0% 11 151 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs