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Thu Apr 25 10:30 pm

MLB - Week 6 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Padres (14‑14)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 17 10 10% 9% 6% 12% 9% 8% 45%
Current Standings 16 10 10% 9% 6% 12% 9% 8% 46%
Lose Next Game 16 11 9% 10% 6% 12% 10% 8% 46%


Current Series - Padres (14‑14) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 19 10 11% 10% 6% 13% 9% 9% 42%
Current Standings 16 10 10% 9% 6% 12% 9% 8% 46%
Padres Sweeps 16 13 7% 9% 6% 11% 9% 8% 49%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
136 of 136 100% 152 10 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 136 96% 146 16 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
120 of 136 88% 136 26 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
110 of 136 81% 126 36 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
103 of 136 76% 119 43 95% 3% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 136 75% 118 44 92% 5% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 136 74% 117 45 90% 6% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 136 74% 116 46 87% 8% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 136 73% 115 47 84% 9% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
98 of 136 72% 114 48 80% 12% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
97 of 136 71% 113 49 75% 14% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 136 71% 112 50 70% 17% <1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
95 of 136 70% 111 51 64% 21% 1% 14% <1% <1% <1%
94 of 136 69% 110 52 59% 24% 1% 16% <1% <1% <1%
93 of 136 68% 109 53 52% 27% 2% 19% 1% <1% <1%
92 of 136 68% 108 54 47% 29% 2% 21% 1% <1% <1%
91 of 136 67% 107 55 40% 32% 3% 24% 1% <1% <1%
90 of 136 66% 106 56 34% 33% 4% 26% 2% <1% <1%
89 of 136 65% 105 57 28% 34% 5% 29% 3% <1% <1%
88 of 136 65% 104 58 23% 34% 7% 32% 5% <1% <1%
87 of 136 64% 103 59 18% 34% 8% 33% 6% 1% <1%
86 of 136 63% 102 60 13% 32% 11% 34% 9% 1% <1%
85 of 136 63% 101 61 10% 31% 12% 35% 11% 1% <1%
84 of 136 62% 100 62 7% 29% 14% 35% 13% 2% <1%
83 of 136 61% 99 63 5% 25% 15% 34% 18% 3% <1%
82 of 136 60% 98 64 4% 21% 16% 33% 21% 5% <1%
81 of 136 60% 97 65 2% 18% 17% 31% 24% 6% 1%
80 of 136 59% 96 66 1% 16% 17% 28% 27% 9% 1%
79 of 136 58% 95 67 1% 12% 18% 25% 30% 12% 2%
78 of 136 57% 94 68 <1% 10% 18% 21% 31% 16% 4%
77 of 136 57% 93 69 <1% 7% 17% 18% 32% 19% 6%
76 of 136 56% 92 70 <1% 5% 16% 14% 32% 24% 9%
75 of 136 55% 91 71 <1% 3% 15% 11% 30% 27% 13%
74 of 136 54% 90 72 <1% 2% 13% 9% 27% 30% 20%
73 of 136 54% 89 73 <1% 2% 11% 6% 24% 31% 26%
72 of 136 53% 88 74 <1% 1% 10% 4% 18% 33% 34%
71 of 136 52% 87 75 <1% 1% 8% 2% 15% 30% 44%
70 of 136 51% 86 76 <1% <1% 6% 2% 11% 27% 53%
69 of 136 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 5% 1% 8% 24% 62%
68 of 136 50% 84 78 <1% <1% 4% <1% 6% 19% 70%
67 of 136 49% 83 79 <1% <1% 3% <1% 3% 16% 77%
66 of 136 49% 82 80 <1% <1% 3% <1% 2% 11% 84%
65 of 136 48% 81 81 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 7% 90%
64 of 136 47% 80 82 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
60 of 136 44% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
50 of 136 37% 66 96 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 136 29% 56 106 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 136 22% 46 116 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
20 of 136 15% 36 126 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 136 7% 26 136 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 136 0% 16 146 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs