PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Apr 21 3:30 am

MLB - Week 6 of 28

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Mets (15‑7)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 14 9 6% 12% 11% 6% 7% 7% 51%
Current Standings 13 9 6% 11% 11% 6% 7% 7% 52%
Lose Next Game 13 10 5% 11% 11% 6% 7% 7% 54%


Current Series - Mets (15‑7) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 16 9 7% 12% 12% 6% 7% 7% 49%
Current Standings 13 9 6% 11% 11% 6% 7% 7% 52%
Mets Sweeps 13 12 5% 10% 11% 7% 7% 7% 55%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
140 of 140 100% 153 9 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 140 93% 143 19 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
120 of 140 86% 133 29 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
110 of 140 79% 123 39 96% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
109 of 140 78% 122 40 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
108 of 140 77% 121 41 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
107 of 140 76% 120 42 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
106 of 140 76% 119 43 87% 12% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
105 of 140 75% 118 44 83% 15% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
104 of 140 74% 117 45 78% 19% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
103 of 140 74% 116 46 74% 23% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 140 73% 115 47 68% 27% 2% 3% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 140 72% 114 48 64% 30% 2% 4% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 140 71% 113 49 56% 36% 3% 5% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 140 71% 112 50 50% 39% 4% 6% <1% <1% <1%
98 of 140 70% 111 51 45% 42% 5% 8% <1% <1% <1%
97 of 140 69% 110 52 39% 45% 6% 9% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 140 69% 109 53 33% 48% 9% 10% 1% <1% <1%
95 of 140 68% 108 54 28% 48% 11% 12% 2% <1% <1%
94 of 140 67% 107 55 23% 48% 14% 14% 2% <1% <1%
93 of 140 66% 106 56 18% 48% 16% 16% 3% <1% <1%
92 of 140 66% 105 57 14% 46% 19% 16% 4% <1% <1%
91 of 140 65% 104 58 11% 43% 21% 19% 6% 1% <1%
90 of 140 64% 103 59 9% 40% 24% 19% 7% 1% <1%
89 of 140 64% 102 60 6% 35% 28% 20% 9% 2% <1%
88 of 140 63% 101 61 4% 33% 30% 20% 11% 2% <1%
87 of 140 62% 100 62 3% 28% 31% 20% 14% 3% <1%
86 of 140 61% 99 63 2% 24% 32% 20% 17% 5% 1%
85 of 140 61% 98 64 1% 20% 33% 19% 19% 7% 1%
84 of 140 60% 97 65 1% 16% 33% 18% 22% 9% 2%
83 of 140 59% 96 66 1% 13% 32% 17% 23% 12% 3%
82 of 140 59% 95 67 <1% 10% 30% 15% 25% 15% 5%
81 of 140 58% 94 68 <1% 7% 29% 12% 25% 19% 7%
80 of 140 57% 93 69 <1% 6% 27% 9% 25% 23% 11%
79 of 140 56% 92 70 <1% 4% 26% 8% 23% 25% 14%
78 of 140 56% 91 71 <1% 3% 23% 5% 22% 27% 20%
77 of 140 55% 90 72 <1% 2% 20% 4% 18% 29% 27%
76 of 140 54% 89 73 <1% 1% 17% 3% 15% 29% 35%
75 of 140 54% 88 74 <1% 1% 15% 2% 12% 27% 43%
74 of 140 53% 87 75 <1% <1% 13% 1% 9% 24% 52%
73 of 140 52% 86 76 <1% <1% 11% 1% 7% 22% 60%
72 of 140 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 9% <1% 5% 17% 69%
71 of 140 51% 84 78 <1% <1% 8% <1% 3% 14% 76%
70 of 140 50% 83 79 <1% <1% 5% <1% 2% 11% 82%
69 of 140 49% 82 80 <1% <1% 5% <1% 1% 7% 87%
68 of 140 49% 81 81 <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 5% 91%
67 of 140 48% 80 82 <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% 3% 94%
60 of 140 43% 73 89 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 140 36% 63 99 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 140 29% 53 109 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 140 21% 43 119 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
20 of 140 14% 33 129 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 140 7% 23 139 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 140 0% 13 149 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs