The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (65‑49) vs Rangers (60‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
34 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 28% | 40% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 17% | 43% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Brewers (70‑44) vs Mets (63‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
20 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 24% | 48% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 19% | 34% | 5% | 11% | 13% | 9% | ||
| Braves (48‑66) vs Marlins (56‑58) 4 Games Remaining |
3 | Braves Sweeps 4 Games | 7% | 22% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 4 Games | 7% | 22% | 42% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 8% | ||
| Blue Jays (68‑48) vs Dodgers (66‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 26% | 39% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 19% | 46% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 8% | ||
| Red Sox (64‑52) vs Padres (64‑51) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 25% | 39% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 20% | 45% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Pirates (50‑66) vs Reds (59‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 22% | 42% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 22% | 42% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 9% | ||
| Nationals (45‑69) vs Giants (58‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 23% | 42% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 22% | 42% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 9% | ||
| Rockies (30‑84) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (54‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 22% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 22% | 42% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 8% | ||
| Cubs (66‑48) vs Cardinals (58‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 23% | 43% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 22% | 42% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Phillies (65‑49) vs Rangers (60‑56) |
11 | Phillies Wins | 8% | 24% | 42% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 6% | 20% | 43% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Brewers (70‑44) vs Mets (63‑52) |
7 | Brewers Wins | 6% | 23% | 44% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Mets Wins | 8% | 21% | 39% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Red Sox (64‑52) vs Padres (64‑51) |
2 | Red Sox Wins | 7% | 23% | 42% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Padres Wins | 7% | 21% | 43% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Rockies (30‑84) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (54‑60) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 7% | 22% | 42% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 7% | 22% | 42% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Blue Jays (68‑48) vs Dodgers (66‑49) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 7% | 23% | 41% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 7% | 21% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 8% | ||
| Marlins (56‑58) vs Braves (48‑66) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 7% | 22% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Braves Wins | 7% | 22% | 42% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 8% | ||
| Pirates (50‑66) vs Reds (59‑56) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 7% | 22% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Reds Wins | 7% | 22% | 42% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Cubs (66‑48) vs Cardinals (58‑58) |
0 | Cubs Wins | 7% | 22% | 43% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 7% | 22% | 42% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Giants (58‑57) vs Nationals (45‑69) |
0 | Giants Wins | 7% | 22% | 43% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 23% | 43% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 7% | 22% | 43% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 8% | ||