The Pirates What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Pirates play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 11 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 79% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 11 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 12 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 82% |
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Pirates Sweeps | 9 | 11 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 11 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Nationals Sweeps | 5 | 15 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 146 of 146 | 100% | 151 | 11 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 140 of 146 | 96% | 145 | 17 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 130 of 146 | 89% | 135 | 27 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 121 of 146 | 83% | 126 | 36 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 120 of 146 | 82% | 125 | 37 | 93% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 119 of 146 | 82% | 124 | 38 | 90% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 118 of 146 | 81% | 123 | 39 | 88% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 117 of 146 | 80% | 122 | 40 | 84% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 116 of 146 | 79% | 121 | 41 | 81% | 18% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 115 of 146 | 79% | 120 | 42 | 77% | 21% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 114 of 146 | 78% | 119 | 43 | 73% | 24% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 113 of 146 | 77% | 118 | 44 | 68% | 28% | 2% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 112 of 146 | 77% | 117 | 45 | 62% | 33% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 111 of 146 | 76% | 116 | 46 | 57% | 36% | 4% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 110 of 146 | 75% | 115 | 47 | 51% | 40% | 5% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 109 of 146 | 75% | 114 | 48 | 46% | 42% | 6% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 108 of 146 | 74% | 113 | 49 | 41% | 43% | 8% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 107 of 146 | 73% | 112 | 50 | 35% | 46% | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 106 of 146 | 73% | 111 | 51 | 29% | 46% | 12% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 105 of 146 | 72% | 110 | 52 | 24% | 47% | 14% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 104 of 146 | 71% | 109 | 53 | 20% | 45% | 16% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 103 of 146 | 71% | 108 | 54 | 16% | 43% | 18% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 102 of 146 | 70% | 107 | 55 | 12% | 41% | 21% | 20% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| 101 of 146 | 69% | 106 | 56 | 9% | 38% | 22% | 22% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| 100 of 146 | 68% | 105 | 57 | 7% | 35% | 24% | 23% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
| 99 of 146 | 68% | 104 | 58 | 5% | 30% | 26% | 23% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
| 98 of 146 | 67% | 103 | 59 | 4% | 26% | 27% | 24% | 16% | 4% | <1% |
| 97 of 146 | 66% | 102 | 60 | 3% | 22% | 27% | 24% | 19% | 5% | 1% |
| 96 of 146 | 66% | 101 | 61 | 2% | 19% | 28% | 23% | 21% | 7% | 1% |
| 95 of 146 | 65% | 100 | 62 | 1% | 15% | 28% | 22% | 24% | 9% | 2% |
| 94 of 146 | 64% | 99 | 63 | 1% | 12% | 27% | 21% | 25% | 11% | 3% |
| 93 of 146 | 64% | 98 | 64 | 1% | 10% | 26% | 18% | 27% | 15% | 4% |
| 92 of 146 | 63% | 97 | 65 | <1% | 8% | 24% | 16% | 28% | 18% | 6% |
| 91 of 146 | 62% | 96 | 66 | <1% | 6% | 23% | 14% | 28% | 21% | 8% |
| 90 of 146 | 62% | 95 | 67 | <1% | 5% | 21% | 11% | 27% | 24% | 11% |
| 89 of 146 | 61% | 94 | 68 | <1% | 3% | 20% | 9% | 27% | 26% | 15% |
| 88 of 146 | 60% | 93 | 69 | <1% | 3% | 18% | 7% | 24% | 28% | 20% |
| 87 of 146 | 60% | 92 | 70 | <1% | 2% | 16% | 5% | 21% | 30% | 25% |
| 86 of 146 | 59% | 91 | 71 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 4% | 19% | 30% | 32% |
| 85 of 146 | 58% | 90 | 72 | <1% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 15% | 30% | 39% |
| 84 of 146 | 58% | 89 | 73 | <1% | <1% | 11% | 2% | 12% | 27% | 47% |
| 83 of 146 | 57% | 88 | 74 | <1% | <1% | 9% | 1% | 10% | 25% | 54% |
| 82 of 146 | 56% | 87 | 75 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 22% | 61% |
| 81 of 146 | 55% | 86 | 76 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 67% |
| 80 of 146 | 55% | 85 | 77 | <1% | <1% | 7% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 74% |
| 79 of 146 | 54% | 84 | 78 | <1% | <1% | 5% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 79% |
| 78 of 146 | 53% | 83 | 79 | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 84% |
| 77 of 146 | 53% | 82 | 80 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 88% |
| 76 of 146 | 52% | 81 | 81 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 91% |
| 75 of 146 | 51% | 80 | 82 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 94% |
| 70 of 146 | 48% | 75 | 87 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| 60 of 146 | 41% | 65 | 97 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 50 of 146 | 34% | 55 | 107 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 40 of 146 | 27% | 45 | 117 | X | X | <1% | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 30 of 146 | 21% | 35 | 127 | X | X | <1% | X | X | X | >99% |
| 20 of 146 | 14% | 25 | 137 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 10 of 146 | 7% | 15 | 147 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 146 | 0% | 5 | 157 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |