The Most Important Games for the Pirates are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (5‑11) vs Nationals (6‑9) 4 Games Remaining |
9 | Pirates Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Astros (7‑8) vs Cardinals (7‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Tigers (9‑6) vs Brewers (8‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Rockies (3‑12) vs Dodgers (11‑6) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Phillies (9‑6) vs Giants (11‑4) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Reds (8‑8) vs Mariners (8‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Padres (13‑3) vs Cubs (11‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 81% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (9‑7) vs Marlins (8‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Mets (10‑5) vs Twins (5‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Blue Jays (9‑7) vs Braves (4‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (5‑11) vs Nationals (6‑9) |
3 | Pirates Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 82% | ||
| Mariners (8‑8) vs Reds (8‑8) |
1 | Mariners Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Cubs (11‑7) vs Padres (13‑3) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Rockies (3‑12) vs Dodgers (11‑6) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Blue Jays (9‑7) vs Braves (4‑11) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Twins (5‑11) vs Mets (10‑5) |
0 | Twins Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Marlins (8‑7) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (9‑7) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Brewers (8‑8) vs Tigers (9‑6) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Cardinals (7‑8) vs Astros (7‑8) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Phillies (9‑6) vs Giants (11‑4) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 81% | ||