The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (89‑59) vs Astros (75‑74) 1 Game Remaining |
6 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 94% | X | X | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 89% | X | X | 10% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mets (69‑79) vs Yankees (85‑63) 1 Game Remaining |
5 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 95% | X | X | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 91% | X | X | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Royals (66‑83) vs Red Sox (81‑68) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 92% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 92% | X | X | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| White Sox (76‑72) vs Cardinals (73‑76) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 92% | X | X | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 92% | X | X | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tigers (69‑79) vs Rockies (55‑93) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nationals (69‑81) vs Angels (56‑92) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Blue Jays (74‑75) vs Orioles (72‑77) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Twins (70‑78) vs Guardians (75‑74) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Athletics (60‑89) vs Mariners (70‑79) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (79‑70) vs Rangers (73‑76) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (89‑59) vs Astros (75‑74) |
6 | Rays Wins | 94% | X | X | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Astros Wins | 89% | X | X | 10% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mets (69‑79) vs Yankees (85‑63) |
5 | Mets Wins | 95% | X | X | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Yankees Wins | 91% | X | X | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Royals (66‑83) vs Red Sox (81‑68) |
0 | Royals Wins | 92% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 92% | X | X | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| White Sox (76‑72) vs Cardinals (73‑76) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 92% | X | X | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 92% | X | X | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tigers (69‑79) vs Rockies (55‑93) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rockies Wins | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nationals (69‑81) vs Angels (56‑92) |
0 | Nationals Wins | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Angels Wins | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Blue Jays (74‑75) vs Orioles (72‑77) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Orioles Wins | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Twins (70‑78) vs Guardians (75‑74) |
0 | Twins Wins | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Guardians Wins | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Athletics (60‑89) vs Mariners (70‑79) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mariners Wins | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (79‑70) vs Rangers (73‑76) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rangers Wins | 93% | X | X | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||