The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (11‑9) vs Yankees (13‑6) 3 Games Remaining |
11 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Reds (9‑9) vs Angels (9‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Rangers (11‑9) vs Braves (12‑5) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Phillies (11‑8) vs White Sox (3‑15) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Pirates (11‑8) vs Red Sox (10‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Padres (11‑10) vs Blue Jays (10‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Guardians (13‑6) vs Athletics (8‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Royals (12‑7) vs Orioles (12‑6) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Rockies (4‑15) vs Mariners (9‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Tigers (10‑9) vs Twins (6‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Nationals (8‑10) vs Astros (6‑14) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (11‑9) vs Yankees (13‑6) |
4 | Rays Wins | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 4% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Rangers (11‑9) vs Braves (12‑5) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Braves Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 61% | ||
| Twins (6‑11) vs Tigers (10‑9) |
1 | Twins Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Astros (6‑14) vs Nationals (8‑10) |
1 | Astros Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Royals (12‑7) vs Orioles (12‑6) |
1 | Royals Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Red Sox (10‑10) vs Pirates (11‑8) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Mariners (9‑10) vs Rockies (4‑15) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Phillies (11‑8) vs White Sox (3‑15) |
0 | Phillies Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Reds (9‑9) vs Angels (9‑10) |
0 | Reds Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Angels Wins | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Padres (11‑10) vs Blue Jays (10‑9) |
0 | Padres Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Athletics (8‑11) vs Guardians (13‑6) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 60% | ||